{"id":43611,"date":"2026-03-30T09:04:23","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T09:04:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-cad-guvenli-liman-talebinin-abd-dolarini-guclendirmesiyle-13930-civarina-tirmanarak-iki-ayin-en-yuksek-seviyesine-ulasti\/"},"modified":"2026-03-30T09:04:23","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T09:04:23","slug":"usd-cad-guvenli-liman-talebinin-abd-dolarini-guclendirmesiyle-13930-civarina-tirmanarak-iki-ayin-en-yuksek-seviyesine-ulasti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-cad-guvenli-liman-talebinin-abd-dolarini-guclendirmesiyle-13930-civarina-tirmanarak-iki-ayin-en-yuksek-seviyesine-ulasti\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/CAD, g\u00fcvenli liman talebinin ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesiyle 1,3930 civar\u0131na t\u0131rmanarak iki ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/CAD, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya seans\u0131nda be\u015finci g\u00fcn \u00fcst \u00fcste y\u00fckselerek 1,3900 civar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve iki ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Hareketin arkas\u0131nda, g\u00fcvenli liman talebiyle ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131 vard\u0131.\n\nABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY), 100,00 seviyesinin biraz \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve 100,35 ile iki haftan\u0131n zirvesine yak\u0131n seyretti. Haberlere g\u00f6re ABD, \u0130srail ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 i\u00e7eren Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi t\u0131rmanabilir; Pentagon\u2019un \u0130ran\u2019a kara harek\u00e2t\u0131 i\u00e7in 10 bin ek asker g\u00f6nderebilece\u011fi iddia edildi.\n\n<h3>Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131 ve Kanada Dolar\u0131<\/h3>\nDaha y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131, Kanada dolar\u0131n\u0131 (piyasalarda \u201cLoonie\u201d diye an\u0131l\u0131r) destekleyebilecek bir unsur olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Kanada, ABD\u2019ye en fazla petrol ihra\u00e7 eden \u00fclkedir; bu nedenle petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f normalde Kanada dolar\u0131na destek verir.\n\nGrafik taraf\u0131nda USD\/CAD, y\u00fckselen 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcssel hareketli ortalama; son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k vererek trendi g\u00f6steren ortalama) \u00fczerinde kald\u0131 ve 1,36 b\u00f6lgesinden itibaren kapan\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi; 0-100 aras\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7ekte fiyat\u0131n ne kadar h\u0131zland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 70,00\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ivmeye i\u015faret ederken, y\u00fckseli\u015fin k\u0131sa vadede \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131\u201d hale gelmi\u015f olabilece\u011fini de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.\n\nDestek 1,3750\u2019de, ard\u0131ndan 1,3700\u2019de. G\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n 1,3760\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na inmesi, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir sinyal olarak izleniyor. Diren\u00e7 1,3895 civar\u0131nda; bu seviyenin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 1,3930 b\u00f6lgesini hedefleyebilir. Bu seviye \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131 a\u015fan d\u00f6nemin zirvesi olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor.\n\nGe\u00e7en y\u0131l \u0130ran kaynakl\u0131 gerilimin USD\/CAD kurunu 1,3930 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki \u00e7ok ayl\u0131k zirveye itti\u011fi d\u00f6nem hat\u0131rlan\u0131yor. O y\u00fckseli\u015f, jeopolitik riskler art\u0131nca yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ABD dolar\u0131na \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d olarak y\u00f6nelmesinden kaynaklanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bug\u00fcn ise tablo daha sakin ve parite 1,3550 seviyesine daha yak\u0131n i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.\n\n<h3>Faiz Fark\u0131 Pariteyi S\u00fcr\u00fckl\u00fcyor<\/h3>\nAna belirleyici art\u0131k k\u00fcresel \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmadan \u00e7ok faiz oran\u0131 fark\u0131. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) politika faizini %3,5\u2019te tutarken, Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faizi %3,25. Aradaki fark (iki \u00fclke faizi aras\u0131ndaki \u201cgetiri fark\u0131\u201d), dolar varl\u0131klar\u0131na para giri\u015fini destekliyor. Bu temel destek ge\u00e7en y\u0131l da vard\u0131, ancak kriz man\u015fetleri daha bask\u0131nd\u0131.\n\nHam petrol g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalsa da \u2014 WTI (ABD tipi ham petrol) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85 dolar civar\u0131nda \u2014 Kanada dolar\u0131na her zamanki kadar destek vermiyor. Tarihsel olarak petrol y\u00fckseli\u015fi loonie\u2019yi destekler; ancak piyasa \u015fu an daha \u00e7ok faize, yani getirinin y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu \u00fclkeye odaklan\u0131yor. Faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n etkisi, Kanada\u2019n\u0131n petrol gelirlerinin olumlu etkisini geride b\u0131rak\u0131yor.\n\nPiyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 da 2025\u2019te Orta Do\u011fu geriliminin zirve yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6neme k\u0131yasla belirgin \u015fekilde daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Piyasa korkusunu \u00f6l\u00e7en VIX (oynakl\u0131k endeksi; S&#038;P 500 opsiyonlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen \u201ckorku g\u00f6stergesi\u201d) 14 ile d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerde. Bu da opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n (gelecekte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerin primi) daha ucuz oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bu ortamda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in put (sat\u0131m opsiyonu; fiyattaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalan\u0131r) alabilir veya beklenmedik y\u00fckseli\u015fe haz\u0131rlanmak i\u00e7in call (al\u0131m opsiyonu; fiyattaki y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalan\u0131r) alabilir.\n\nCFTC (ABD Vadeli \u0130\u015flemler Komisyonu) verileri, b\u00fcy\u00fck spek\u00fclat\u00f6rlerin ABD dolar\u0131nda net uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (al\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon miktar\u0131 eksi sat\u0131\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon miktar\u0131) son \u00e7eyrekte %15\u2019ten fazla azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu, ge\u00e7en y\u0131ldaki a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde piyasaya yedirildi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. \u0130\u015flemler art\u0131k ani jeopolitik geli\u015fmelerden \u00e7ok ekonomik veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan etkileniyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CAD Asya\u2019da be\u015finci g\u00fcn y\u00fckselip 1,3900 ile iki ay\u0131n zirvesini test etti. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc DXY ve risk alg\u0131s\u0131 destekliyor. Teknikte RSI 70 \u00fcst\u00fc; 1,3750 destek, 1,3895\u20131,3930 diren\u00e7. Fed\u2013BoC faiz fark\u0131 belirleyici, petrol etkisi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43611","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43611","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43611"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43611\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43611"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43611"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43611"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}