{"id":43610,"date":"2026-03-30T09:03:37","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T09:03:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/dxy-10030-zirvesinden-gerileyerek-10000e-yakin-seyrediyor-sahin-fed-beklentileri-dususu-sinirliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-30T09:03:37","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T09:03:37","slug":"dxy-10030-zirvesinden-gerileyerek-10000e-yakin-seyrediyor-sahin-fed-beklentileri-dususu-sinirliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/dxy-10030-zirvesinden-gerileyerek-10000e-yakin-seyrediyor-sahin-fed-beklentileri-dususu-sinirliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"DXY, 100,30 zirvesinden gerileyerek 100,00\u2019e yak\u0131n seyrediyor; \u015fahin Fed beklentileri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY), ayl\u0131k zirve olan 100,30 civar\u0131ndan gerileyerek 100,00 seviyesine y\u00f6neldi. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 uygulayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi (yani faizi y\u00fcksek tutma veya art\u0131rma ihtimali) ve sava\u015fla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 y\u00fckselen enerji fiyatlar\u0131, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn derinle\u015fmesini s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.\n\n4 saatlik grafikte bu geri \u00e7ekilme, \u201cd\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u201d sinyali veren ikili tepe (double-top) g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc olu\u015fturuyor. MACD (momentum g\u00f6stergesi; k\u0131sa ve uzun vadeli ortalamalar aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131 izler) s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalsa da sinyal \u00e7izgisine yakla\u015f\u0131yor; RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi; fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m durumunu \u00f6l\u00e7er) 60 civar\u0131nda ve bu, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ama a\u015f\u0131r\u0131ya ka\u00e7mayan bir seyre i\u015faret ediyor.\n\n<h3>\u00d6nemli Teknik Seviyeler<\/h3>\nDXY, Aral\u0131k sonunda 99,10 civar\u0131nda taban yapt\u0131ktan sonra y\u00fckselen 100 periyotluk EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren trend g\u00f6stergesi) \u00fczerinde kal\u0131yor. 100,00 alt\u0131na sarkarsa 99,70 civar\u0131nda destek g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir; daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 100 periyotluk EMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nceki yatay seyir b\u00f6lgesiyle kesi\u015fti\u011fi 99,40 band\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n\nYukar\u0131da diren\u00e7 100,20, ard\u0131ndan 100,50 seviyesinde. 100,20 \u00fczeri kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k y\u00fckseli\u015fi desteklerken, 99,70\u2019in alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m oda\u011f\u0131 yeniden 99,40\u2019a \u00e7evirebilir.\n\nTeknik b\u00f6l\u00fcmde bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131 kullan\u0131ld\u0131. 30 Mart 05:20 GMT\u2019de, varl\u0131k ad\u0131n\u0131n DXU de\u011fil DXY oldu\u011fu do\u011fruland\u0131 ve d\u00fczeltme yap\u0131ld\u0131.\n\n<h3>Piyasa G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc ve Strateji<\/h3>\nBug\u00fcnk\u00fc tablo daha karma\u015f\u0131k. Piyasa art\u0131k faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlamaktan (yani fiyatlara \u00f6nceden yans\u0131tmak) \u00e7ok, faiz indirimlerini beklemeye kay\u0131yor. DXY 104,50 civar\u0131nda seyrederken, \u015fubat istihdam verisi 195 bin ki\u015filik art\u0131\u015fla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir so\u011fumaya i\u015faret etti ve Fed \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 azaltt\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n enflasyon 3,1 ile inat\u00e7\u0131 (kolay d\u00fc\u015fmeyen) kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in politika de\u011fi\u015fiminin zaman\u0131 belirsiz.\n\nBu belirsizlik, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda \u201cy\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131k\u201d stratejilerini (fiyat\u0131n sert dalgalanmas\u0131ndan faydalanmay\u0131 hedefleyen yakla\u015f\u0131m) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karabilir. Kur vadeli i\u015flemleri (gelecekte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) \u00fczerine opsiyon (belirli tarihe kadar alma\/satma hakk\u0131) al\u0131m\u0131nda, \u00f6zellikle straddle (ayn\u0131 vade ve kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131yla hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu; fiyat hangi y\u00f6ne sert giderse gitsin kazan\u00e7 hedefler) dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Piyasa \u015fu anda eyl\u00fcle kadar faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %60 g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; bu takvimi de\u011fi\u015ftirecek her veri dolar taraf\u0131nda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rabilir.\n\nY\u00f6nl\u00fc beklentisi olanlar i\u00e7in 104,00 seviyesi yeni ana destek konumuna geldi. 105,20 direncinin \u00fczerinde \u201cparan\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda\u201d (out-of-the-money; mevcut fiyattan k\u00e2ra ge\u00e7mesi zor) al\u0131m opsiyonu satmak, prim (opsiyon sat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n pe\u015fin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fccret) toplayarak dolar\u0131n yukar\u0131 ivmesinin zay\u0131flayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle pozisyon almak isteyenler i\u00e7in bir se\u00e7enek olabilir.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dolar endeksinde kritik viraj: DXY 100,30\u2019dan 100,00\u2019e \u00e7ekildi. Double-top bask\u0131s\u0131 artarken Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir. Destek 99,70\/99,40; diren\u00e7 100,20\/100,50. Oynakl\u0131\u011fa straddle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43610","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43610","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43610"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43610\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43610"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43610"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43610"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}