{"id":43600,"date":"2026-03-30T07:04:45","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T07:04:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-jpy-dort-gunluk-yukselisin-ardindan-160larin-ortasindaki-zirveden-geriledi-ancak-mudahale-uyarilari-ortaminda-dusus-sinirli-kaldi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-30T07:04:45","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T07:04:45","slug":"usd-jpy-dort-gunluk-yukselisin-ardindan-160larin-ortasindaki-zirveden-geriledi-ancak-mudahale-uyarilari-ortaminda-dusus-sinirli-kaldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-jpy-dort-gunluk-yukselisin-ardindan-160larin-ortasindaki-zirveden-geriledi-ancak-mudahale-uyarilari-ortaminda-dusus-sinirli-kaldi\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY, d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan 160\u2019lar\u0131n ortas\u0131ndaki zirveden geriledi; ancak m\u00fcdahale uyar\u0131lar\u0131 ortam\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY, Asya\u2019da Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc 160,00 seviyesinin ortalar\u0131ndan geri \u00e7ekildi; Temmuz 2024\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015f serisini bozdu ve 159,70\u2013159,65 band\u0131na indi. \u015eimdilik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalabilece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor.\n\nBoJ (Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kazuo Ueda ile Maliye Bakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Atsushi Mimura\u2019n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131, yenin de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in ad\u0131m at\u0131labilece\u011fi beklentisini art\u0131rd\u0131. Bu durum JPY\u2019de short kapama (yende d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonu olanlar\u0131n zarar etmemek i\u00e7in geri al\u0131m yapmas\u0131) getirdi ve USD\/JPY\u2019yi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti. Ancak Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma riskleri, yenin daha fazla de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.\n\nTeknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde parite, 4 saatlik grafikte y\u00fckselen 100 periyotluk EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcssel hareketli ortalama; son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren trend g\u00f6stergesi) \u00fczerinde kal\u0131yor ve 157,20 civar\u0131ndan gelen y\u00fckseli\u015f trend \u00e7izgisiyle destek buluyor. RSI (G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi; 0\u2013100 aras\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7ekte al\u0131m-sat\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir) 54\u2019e yak\u0131n; bu da ivmenin n\u00f6trden pozitif tarafa yak\u0131n oldu\u011funu, h\u0131zl\u0131 bir s\u0131\u00e7rama yerine daha dengeli bir y\u00fckseli\u015fe i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nMACD (Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama\/Iraksama; iki hareketli ortalama aras\u0131ndaki farkla trend ve ivmeyi \u00f6l\u00e7er) \u201csinyal\u201d \u00e7izgisinin (MACD\u2019nin ortalamas\u0131) az da olsa \u00fczerinde ve pozitif b\u00f6lgede. Ancak histogram\u0131n (MACD ile sinyal \u00e7izgisi aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131 \u00e7ubuklarla g\u00f6sterir) daralmas\u0131, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmenin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Destekler 159,40, ard\u0131ndan 159,00 ve 100 periyotluk EMA\u2019n\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fi 158,70 civar\u0131nda.\n\nDiren\u00e7ler 160,20 ve 160,30 seviyelerinde. 160,30 \u00fczeri k\u0131r\u0131lma, 160,80 hedefini g\u00fcndeme getirebilir. 158,70 alt\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 ini\u015f ise y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosunu zay\u0131flat\u0131r ve daha geni\u015f bir d\u00fczeltmeye i\u015faret eder.\n\nUSD\/JPY\u2019nin 160,50 b\u00f6lgesinden geri \u00e7ekildi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; Japon yetkililerin para birimini desteklemek i\u00e7in devreye girebileceklerini s\u00f6ylemesi bu hareketi tetikledi. Bu s\u00f6zl\u00fc uyar\u0131 (m\u00fcdahale sinyali) yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yeni geri almas\u0131na neden oluyor; ancak bu geri \u00e7ekilmenin alan\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalabilir. Ana e\u011filim, dolar\u0131n yen kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmaya devam etti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.\n\nBu m\u00fcdahale tehdidi ciddiye al\u0131nmal\u0131. \u015eubat 2026 Japon d\u0131\u015f ticaret verileri, ithalat maliyetlerinde y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %12 art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret etti; bu da i\u00e7eride yenin daha fazla zay\u0131flamas\u0131n\u0131 engellemek i\u00e7in motivasyonu art\u0131r\u0131yor. Kritik soru, parite 160,50\u2019nin \u00fczerinde \u201ckal\u0131c\u0131\u201d \u015fekilde yerle\u015fmeden \u00f6nce yetkililerin ad\u0131m at\u0131p atmayaca\u011f\u0131.\n\nDolar\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fc, para politikas\u0131 farklar\u0131yla destekleniyor. Ge\u00e7en hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan ABD T\u00dcFE (CPI; t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, enflasyonu \u00f6l\u00e7er) %3,1 ile beklentinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. Bu da Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) faiz indiriminde acele etmeyebilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. ABD ile Japonya aras\u0131ndaki geni\u015f faiz fark\u0131, USD\/JPY\u2019nin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fcn ana itici g\u00fcc\u00fc olmaya devam ediyor.\n\nBelirsizlik nedeniyle, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda \u201copsiyon\u201d kullanarak riskin s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilir. Opsiyon (belirli bir fiyattan alma ya da satma hakk\u0131; zorunluluk de\u011fil) ile zarar\/riski ba\u015ftan s\u0131n\u0131rlamak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin devam edece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler, 160,50 civar\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike; opsiyonun ge\u00e7erli oldu\u011fu fiyat) al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (call; y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisi) de\u011ferlendirerek 160,80\u2019e hareketi hedefleyebilir; bu y\u00f6ntem olas\u0131 s\u00fcrpriz m\u00fcdahale kaynakl\u0131 sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 sermayeyi korumaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olur.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY 160 zirvesinden geri \u00e7ekildi: BoJ ve Maliye\u2019den m\u00fcdahale sinyali short kapamay\u0131 tetikledi. Trend h\u00e2l\u00e2 yukar\u0131; destek 159,40\u2013158,70, diren\u00e7 160,30. Fed\u2019in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc enflasyonu dolar\u0131 destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43600","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43600","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43600"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43600\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43600"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43600"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43600"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}