{"id":43593,"date":"2026-03-30T05:06:54","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T05:06:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/asya-islemlerinde-aud-usd-06850ye-geriledi-orta-dogudaki-gerilimler-riskten-kacisi-tetikleyerek-avustralya-dolarini-baskiladi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-30T05:06:54","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T05:06:54","slug":"asya-islemlerinde-aud-usd-06850ye-geriledi-orta-dogudaki-gerilimler-riskten-kacisi-tetikleyerek-avustralya-dolarini-baskiladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/asya-islemlerinde-aud-usd-06850ye-geriledi-orta-dogudaki-gerilimler-riskten-kacisi-tetikleyerek-avustralya-dolarini-baskiladi\/","title":{"rendered":"Asya i\u015flemlerinde AUD\/USD 0,6850\u2019ye geriledi; Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilimler riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131 tetikleyerek Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131lad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, Asya erken i\u015flemlerinde %0,3 d\u00fc\u015ferek 0,6850 civar\u0131na indi. Parite, 6 \u015eubat\u2019taki dip seviyeye ba\u011fl\u0131 0,6900 destek seviyesinin (fiyat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 e\u015fik) alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131. Bu hareket, \u201criskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klardan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p daha g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) ortam\u0131n\u0131n Avustralya Dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratmas\u0131yla geldi.\n\nS&#038;P 500 vadeli i\u015flemleri (endeksin gelecekteki fiyat\u0131na y\u00f6nelik kontratlar) Asya seans\u0131nda %0,4 geriledi. Haberlere g\u00f6re ABD, Tahran\u2019dan gelen uyar\u0131larla birlikte \u0130ran\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131 kara harek\u00e2t\u0131 i\u00e7in 10.000 ek asker se\u00e7ene\u011fini de\u011ferlendiriyor.\n\nAvustralya\u2019da Ba\u015fbakan Anthony Albanese, benzin ve dizelde akaryak\u0131t t\u00fcketim vergisinin (pompa fiyat\u0131na yans\u0131yan vergi) \u00fc\u00e7 ay s\u00fcreyle %50\u2019ye indirilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ad\u0131m, Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 arz kesintileri (tedarikte aksamalar) nedeniyle enerji fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckselirken hane halk\u0131 maliyetlerini azaltmay\u0131 hedefliyor.\n\nABD Dolar\u0131 yatay seyretti; DXY (ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endeks) 100,00 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. Piyasa fiyatlamas\u0131 2026\u2019daki iki faiz indirimi beklentisinden uzakla\u015ft\u0131. CME FedWatch\u2019a (vadeli i\u015flemler fiyatlar\u0131ndan Fed beklentisini hesaplayan g\u00f6sterge) g\u00f6re bu y\u0131l en az bir Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %24,6\u2019ya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.\n\nTeknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde AUD\/USD, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcssel hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (EMA: son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren ortalama) bulundu\u011fu 0,6995\u2019in alt\u0131nda. Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlan\u0131lan seviye) 0,6920 ve 0,6995\u2019te. Destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma alan\u0131) 0,6750 civar\u0131nda, ard\u0131ndan 0,6660\u2019ta. 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi; fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m durumunu \u00f6l\u00e7er) 20,00\u201340,00 band\u0131na geriledi.\n\nABD\u2019de son tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (Non-Farm Payrolls; tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki istihdam de\u011fi\u015fimi) verisi 250 binin \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. \u00c7ekirdek enflasyon (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) %3,1\u2019in \u00fczerinde y\u00fcksek kalmaya devam ediyor. Bu tablo Fed\u2019in politika gev\u015fetmesi i\u00e7in gerek\u00e7e b\u0131rakm\u0131yor; faiz fark\u0131 (\u00fclkeler aras\u0131ndaki faiz oran\u0131 fark\u0131n\u0131n kur \u00fczerindeki etkisi) kanal\u0131yla ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekliyor. Piyasa, 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda Fed\u2019in faiz indirimi ihtimalini tamamen fiyatlamadan \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.\n\nAyr\u0131ca ge\u00e7en y\u0131l Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flatan risk alg\u0131s\u0131, Orta Do\u011fu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 endi\u015felerinden \u00c7in\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yava\u015flamas\u0131 kayg\u0131lar\u0131na kayd\u0131. Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca ihracat\u0131 demir cevheri bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde %15\u2019in \u00fczerinde d\u00fc\u015ferek ton ba\u015f\u0131na 105 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu durum, Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferini do\u011frudan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor.\n\nT\u00fcrev (opsiyon gibi, de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnler) i\u015flemleri yapanlar i\u00e7in bu ortam, daha fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften ya da bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerde yatay seyirden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. 0,6500 veya 0,6450 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike; opsiyonun al\u0131m-sat\u0131m hakk\u0131n\u0131 verdi\u011fi fiyat) sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put; kur d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) almak, trendin s\u00fcrmesine y\u00f6nelik net bir y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon sa\u011flar. Alternatif olarak, \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyattan uzak) al\u0131m opsiyonu (call; kur y\u00fckselirse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) satmak veya \u201cbear call spread\u201d (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisiyle, farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131nda call al\u0131p-satarak risk ve getiriyi s\u0131n\u0131rlayan strateji) kurmak, paritenin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde y\u00fckselmeyece\u011fi varsay\u0131m\u0131yla gelir yaratabilir.\n\nMevcut d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi s\u00fcrerken AUD\/USD opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility; opsiyon fiyat\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) ge\u00e7mi\u015f zirvelere k\u0131yasla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalabilir. Bu da put al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 daha ucuz hale getirerek, 2023 sonundaki \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131 dip seviyelere do\u011fru olas\u0131 yeni bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f dalgas\u0131na maliyeti g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir \u015fekilde pozisyon alma imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunabilir. Merkez bankas\u0131 mesajlar\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli; beklenmedik bir de\u011fi\u015fim g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc h\u0131zla de\u011fi\u015ftirebilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jeopolitik risk ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileriyle AUD\/USD 0,6850\u2019ye gerileyip 0,6900 deste\u011fini k\u0131rd\u0131. DXY 100 \u00fcst\u00fcnde, Fed\u2019de art\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fckseldi. Demir cevheri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, opsiyonlarda put stratejilerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43593","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43593","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43593"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43593\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43593"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43593"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43593"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}