{"id":43589,"date":"2026-03-30T05:02:28","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T05:02:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abd-iran-geriliminin-tirmanmasiyla-sp-500-vadeli-islemleri-asya-islemlerinde-06-duserek-son-yedi-ayin-en-dusuk-seviyesine-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-30T05:02:28","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T05:02:28","slug":"abd-iran-geriliminin-tirmanmasiyla-sp-500-vadeli-islemleri-asya-islemlerinde-06-duserek-son-yedi-ayin-en-dusuk-seviyesine-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-iran-geriliminin-tirmanmasiyla-sp-500-vadeli-islemleri-asya-islemlerinde-06-duserek-son-yedi-ayin-en-dusuk-seviyesine-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD-\u0130ran geriliminin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131yla S&#038;P 500 vadeli i\u015flemleri Asya i\u015flemlerinde %0,6 d\u00fc\u015ferek son yedi ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"S&#038;P 500 vadeli i\u015flemleri (gelecekteki bir tarihte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m yapmay\u0131 sa\u011flayan kontratlar) Pazartesi ABD seans\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde Asya i\u015flemlerinde %0,6 d\u00fc\u015ferek 6.370\u2019e geriledi ve yedi ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. \u0130ran krizine \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm bulunup bulunmayaca\u011f\u0131na dair belirsizlik riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131rken vadeli i\u015flemler bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.\n\nReuters\u2019a g\u00f6re ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, Financial Times\u2019a ABD\u2019nin \u201c\u0130ran\u2019daki petrol\u00fc alabilece\u011fini\u201d s\u00f6yledi. Buna ihracat merkezi olan Harg Adas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Kharg Island) ele ge\u00e7irilmesi de dahil; Trump adan\u0131n savunmas\u0131z oldu\u011funu \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc. Trump ayr\u0131ca Tahran\u2019la g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin \u201cson derece iyi gitti\u011fini\u201d, el\u00e7iler \u00fczerinden dolayl\u0131 temaslar\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve bir anla\u015fman\u0131n \u201colduk\u00e7a h\u0131zl\u0131\u201d sa\u011flanabilece\u011fini belirtti.\n\n<h3>Jeopolitik Risk Vadeli \u0130\u015flemleri A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00c7ekiyor<\/h3>\nWall Street Journal, ge\u00e7en hafta ABD Savunma Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Pentagon) \u0130ran\u2019a 10 bin ek asker konu\u015fland\u0131rmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fini yazd\u0131. \u0130ran devlet televizyonunda Ebrahim Zolfaqari, \u201cABD askerleri Basra K\u00f6rfezi\u2019nin k\u00f6pekbal\u0131klar\u0131 i\u00e7in iyi bir yiyecek olacak\u201d dedi.\n\nPiyasalar bu hafta ABD\u2019den gelecek makro verilere de odaklan\u0131yor. \u00d6ne \u00e7\u0131kanlar aras\u0131nda tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (Nonfarm Payrolls: ABD\u2019de tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerde ayl\u0131k istihdam de\u011fi\u015fimi) ve ISM Sat\u0131nalma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi (PMI: \u015firket y\u00f6neticilerinin anketlerine dayal\u0131, ekonomik faaliyetin y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endeks) bulunuyor. Nike, McCormick &#038; Company ve Conagra Brands\u2019in de bu hafta bilan\u00e7olar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 bekleniyor.\n\n\u015eu anda CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX: S&#038;P 500 i\u00e7in beklenen dalgalanmay\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d) 13 civar\u0131nda. Bu seviye, ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki gerilim d\u00f6nemlerinde g\u00f6r\u00fclen s\u0131\u00e7ramalara k\u0131yasla belirgin \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Bu durum piyasada \u201crahatl\u0131k\u201d alg\u0131s\u0131na i\u015faret ederken, SPY gibi endekslerde koruyucu sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta gibi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan opsiyon) g\u00f6rece ucuz k\u0131l\u0131yor. Endekslere s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 miktarda put eklemek, beklenmedik oynakl\u0131\u011fa kar\u015f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli bir korunma (hedge: riski dengeleme ama\u00e7l\u0131 pozisyon) olabilir.\n\n<h3>Volatilite D\u00fc\u015f\u00fckken Opsiyonlarla Konumlanma<\/h3>\nPetrol oda\u011f\u0131 bug\u00fcn de \u00f6nemini koruyor. WTI ham petrol (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) varil fiyat\u0131, s\u00fcren \u00fcretim k\u0131s\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 ve K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz\u2019deki gerilimlerin etkisiyle 82 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar olas\u0131 arz \u015foklar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fc borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonlar\u0131nda (ETF: endeks\/ sekt\u00f6r sepetini izleyen, borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren fon) XLE gibi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerde al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call: fiyat y\u00fckseli\u015fine oynayan opsiyon) kullanarak pozisyon alabiliyor. Bu, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki riskler beklenmedik bi\u00e7imde artarsa yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc kazan\u00e7 potansiyeli sa\u011flar.\n\nBu hafta dikkatler Ki\u015fisel T\u00fcketim Harcamalar\u0131 (PCE) fiyat endeksine \u00e7evrildi. PCE, Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) en \u00e7ok izledi\u011fi enflasyon g\u00f6stergesidir. Beklentiden s\u0131cak (y\u00fcksek) bir veri, faiz indirimi beklentilerini zay\u0131flat\u0131p dalgalanmay\u0131 art\u0131rabilir; bu da mevcut korunma pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferini y\u00fckseltebilir.\n\n2025\u2019teki olaylarda yetkililerden gelen \u00e7eli\u015fkili mesajlar, man\u015fetlerden \u00e7ok piyasan\u0131n verdi\u011fi tepkinin izlenmesi gerekti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Piyasalarda sekt\u00f6r baz\u0131nda ima edilen volatilite (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen oynakl\u0131k) seviyeleri takip edilerek riskin nerede fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131labilir. Opsiyon maliyetlerinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu d\u00f6nemler, olas\u0131 bir kriz s\u0131ras\u0131nda de\u011fil, kriz \u00f6ncesinde savunma pozisyonu kurmak i\u00e7in daha elveri\u015fli olabilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jeopolitik gerilim t\u0131rman\u0131rken S&#038;P 500 vadeli i\u015flemleri %0,6 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 6.370\u2019e indi; Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran petrol\u00fcne dair s\u00f6zleri risk alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 bozdu. VIX 13\u2019te, hedge put\u2019lar ucuz; odak PCE ve istihdam.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43589","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43589","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43589"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43589\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43589"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43589"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43589"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}