{"id":43584,"date":"2026-03-30T04:03:52","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T04:03:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/asya-seansinda-nzd-usd-05730-civarina-gerileyerek-iranin-isgal-edilecegine-yonelik-endiseler-ve-riskten-kacis-ortaminda-bes-gunluk-kayip-serisini-uzatti\/"},"modified":"2026-03-30T04:03:52","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T04:03:52","slug":"asya-seansinda-nzd-usd-05730-civarina-gerileyerek-iranin-isgal-edilecegine-yonelik-endiseler-ve-riskten-kacis-ortaminda-bes-gunluk-kayip-serisini-uzatti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/asya-seansinda-nzd-usd-05730-civarina-gerileyerek-iranin-isgal-edilecegine-yonelik-endiseler-ve-riskten-kacis-ortaminda-bes-gunluk-kayip-serisini-uzatti\/","title":{"rendered":"Asya seans\u0131nda NZD\/USD 0,5730 civar\u0131na gerileyerek \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n i\u015fgal edilece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik endi\u015feler ve riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f ortam\u0131nda be\u015f g\u00fcnl\u00fck kay\u0131p serisini uzatt\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"NZD\/USD, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde 0,5730 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rerek \u00fcst \u00fcste be\u015finci seansta da geriledi ve 0,5750 seviyesinin alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131. Bu hareket, ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a olas\u0131 bir kara harek\u00e2t\u0131 (askerin karadan girmesi) endi\u015feleriyle riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131n (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) artmas\u0131yla geldi.\n\nWall Street Journal ge\u00e7en hafta, ABD Savunma Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Pentagon) \u0130ran\u2019a 10.000 ilave asker g\u00f6ndermeyi de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fini yazd\u0131. \u0130ran devlet televizyonu, Ebrahim Zolfaqari\u2019nin \u201cABD askerleri Basra K\u00f6rfezi\u2019nin k\u00f6pekbal\u0131klar\u0131 i\u00e7in iyi yiyecek olur\u201d s\u00f6zlerini yay\u0131mlad\u0131.\n\n<h3>Odaktaki ABD Verileri<\/h3>\nBu hafta ABD\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 g\u00f6stergeleri, Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc hari\u00e7 ayl\u0131k istihdam de\u011fi\u015fimi) ve ISM Sat\u0131n Alma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi (PMI: imalat\/hizmetlerde faaliyet ve e\u011filimi \u00f6l\u00e7en anket) Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) politika beklentilerini etkileyebilir. Bu veriler, ABD faiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcndeki de\u011fi\u015fim i\u00e7in izleniyor.\n\nYeni Zelanda\u2019da ANZ\u2013Roy Morgan T\u00fcketici G\u00fcven Endeksi martta 91,3\u2019e gerileyerek \u015fubattaki 100,1\u2019in alt\u0131na indi. ANZ \u0130\u015f D\u00fcnyas\u0131 G\u00fcveni ve Faaliyet Beklentisi verileri sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. \u00c7in\u2019in mart PMI verileri de g\u00fcndemde.\n\nYeni Zelanda Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBNZ) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Anna Breman, banka olarak enerjiden kaynaklanan ge\u00e7ici enflasyonu (enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli art\u0131\u015f\u0131n enflasyona etkisi) g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edebileceklerini, ancak fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131 s\u00fcrer ve enflasyon beklentileri bozulursa (gelecek enflasyon tahminleri y\u00fckselirse) faiz art\u0131rabileceklerini s\u00f6yledi. Piyasalar, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma sonras\u0131 y\u00fckselen enerji maliyetleri nedeniyle daha erken s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmay\u0131 (faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentisi) daha fazla fiyatl\u0131yor.\n\n<h3>Oynakl\u0131k ve Pozisyonlanma<\/h3>\nSon bir ayda yeniden g\u00fcndeme gelen diplomatik gerilim, CBOE Oynakl\u0131k Endeksi\u2019ni (VIX: S&#038;P 500 opsiyonlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen piyasadaki korku\/oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi) yeniden 24\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Tarihsel olarak VIX\u2019in 20 \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 oldu\u011fu d\u00f6nemlerde NZD, 2020\u2019den bu yana son 10 \u00f6rne\u011fin 8\u2019inde USD kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda zay\u0131f performans g\u00f6sterdi. Bu, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n korunma (hedge: olas\u0131 kayba kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon alma) ama\u00e7l\u0131 i\u015flem yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve NZD gibi risk hassasiyeti y\u00fcksek para birimleri i\u00e7in ortam\u0131n zorla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.\n\nBu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde, artan oynakl\u0131k ve olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 stratejiler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. 0,5650 civar\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun i\u015flem g\u00f6rece\u011fi hedef fiyat) NZD\/USD sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon) almak, sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 do\u011frudan korunma sa\u011flar. Jeopolitik ba\u015fl\u0131klar k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015firse bu opsiyonlar\u0131n primi (fiyat\u0131) y\u00fckselir.\n\n2025\u2019te belirginle\u015fen ekonomik ayr\u0131\u015fma da bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. Son ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi 245 bin art\u0131\u015fla g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelerek Fed\u2019in faiz indiriminde acele etmeyece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Yeni Zelanda\u2019da i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 g\u00fcveni ikinci ay \u00fcst \u00fcste gerilerken, \u00c7in\u2019de Caixin \u0130malat PMI 49,9\u2019a indi. PMI\u2019\u0131n 50\u2019nin alt\u0131 daralmaya (faaliyetin k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesi) i\u015faret eder; bu da Yeni Zelanda\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ticaret orta\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan zay\u0131flama sinyali.\n\nNZD\/USD\u2019de kademeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 oynakl\u0131k primi \u00f6demeden pozisyon almak i\u00e7in \u201cay\u0131 put spread\u201d (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc spread: daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put al\u0131p daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put satma) stratejisi kullan\u0131labilir. Bu y\u00f6ntem maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcr ve \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 0,5700\u20130,5650 band\u0131na do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilmeden faydalanmay\u0131 hedefler.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Risk i\u015ftah\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131yor, NZD\/USD be\u015finci seansta da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor! \u0130ran gerilimi ve artan VIX bask\u0131 yarat\u0131rken ABD istihdam\/ISM verileri Fed beklentilerini \u015fekillendiriyor; RBNZ enerji enflasyonu sertle\u015firse faiz art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43584","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43584","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43584"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43584\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43584"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43584"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43584"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}