{"id":43582,"date":"2026-03-30T04:02:22","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T04:02:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/altin-4-445-dolar-civarinda-islem-goruyor-petrol-fiyatlarindaki-sert-yukselisin-enflasyon-endiselerini-ve-iran-gerilimini-artirmasiyla-1in-uzerinde-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-30T04:02:22","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T04:02:22","slug":"altin-4-445-dolar-civarinda-islem-goruyor-petrol-fiyatlarindaki-sert-yukselisin-enflasyon-endiselerini-ve-iran-gerilimini-artirmasiyla-1in-uzerinde-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/altin-4-445-dolar-civarinda-islem-goruyor-petrol-fiyatlarindaki-sert-yukselisin-enflasyon-endiselerini-ve-iran-gerilimini-artirmasiyla-1in-uzerinde-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n 4.445 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki sert y\u00fckseli\u015fin enflasyon endi\u015felerini ve \u0130ran gerilimini art\u0131rmas\u0131yla %1\u2019in \u00fczerinde geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD) Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc %1\u2019den fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 4.445 dolar civar\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131. WTI tipi ham petrol yakla\u015f\u0131k %3 y\u00fckselerek 102,50 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve enflasyon beklentilerini yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131.\n\nEnflasyon beklentilerinin y\u00fckselmesi, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faizi daha uzun s\u00fcre sabit tutmas\u0131na veya para politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131na (faizi art\u0131rma ya da finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131rma) yol a\u00e7abilir. Bu durum genellikle faiz getirisi olmayan (elde tutarken faiz\/kupon \u00f6demeyen) alt\u0131n gibi varl\u0131klara talebi azalt\u0131r.\n\n<h3>Orta Do\u011fu Riski ve Piyasalar\u0131n Oda\u011f\u0131<\/h3>\nABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a kara harek\u00e2t\u0131 (askerin sahadan ilerledi\u011fi do\u011frudan operasyon) se\u00e7ene\u011fini de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fine dair haberlerin ard\u0131ndan piyasa oda\u011f\u0131 Orta Do\u011fu\u2019ya \u00e7evrildi. Wall Street Journal, Pentagon\u2019un \u0130ran\u2019a 10.000 ek asker g\u00f6nderece\u011fini yazd\u0131.\n\nReuters\u2019\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, Financial Times\u2019a \u0130ran ile anla\u015fman\u0131n yak\u0131nda gelebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Trump, el\u00e7iler \u00fczerinden y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen dolayl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin iyi ilerledi\u011fini ve anla\u015fman\u0131n nispeten h\u0131zl\u0131 yap\u0131labilece\u011fini belirtti.\n\nTeknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde alt\u0131n 4.445 dolar civar\u0131nda bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda ve 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama: son 20 g\u00fcn fiyatlar\u0131na daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k vererek e\u011filimi g\u00f6steren takip g\u00f6stergesi) 4.735 dolar civar\u0131ndaki seviyesinin alt\u0131nda. RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi: fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m durumunu \u00f6l\u00e7en momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 20,00\u201340,00 band\u0131nda. Fiyat, 4.900 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na indikten sonra 5.300 dolar b\u00f6lgesinden ba\u015flayan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc.\n\nDiren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlan\u0131lan seviye) 4.736 ve 4.915 dolarda. Fiyat 4.915 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kapan\u0131\u015f yaparsa (g\u00fcn\/4 saat gibi se\u00e7ilen periyotta kapan\u0131\u015f), \u00fcstte 5.080 dolar g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. Destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma seviyesi) 4.307 dolar civar\u0131nda; 4.307 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa (a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ge\u00e7ilirse) 4.100 dolar b\u00f6lgesi izlenebilir.\n\n<h3>Merkez Bankas\u0131 Talebi ve Makro Etkenler<\/h3>\nMerkez bankalar\u0131 2022\u2019de toplam 1.136 ton alt\u0131n ald\u0131; yakla\u015f\u0131k 70 milyar dolar de\u011ferindeki bu al\u0131m, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda rekor d\u00fczeydi. Alt\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fu zaman ABD Dolar\u0131 ve ABD Hazine tahvilleriyle (ABD\u2019nin bor\u00e7lanma senetleri; getirileri faiz seviyelerini yans\u0131t\u0131r) ters y\u00f6nde hareket eder ve dolar cinsinden fiyatlan\u0131r.\n\n2025\u2019teki geli\u015fmelere bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a kara harek\u00e2t\u0131 tehdidine kar\u015f\u0131 piyasalar\u0131n karma\u015f\u0131k tepki verdi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Petrol varil ba\u015f\u0131na 102 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karken, alt\u0131n daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 endi\u015feleriyle \u00f6nce 4.450 dolara do\u011fru geriledi. Trump\u2019\u0131n anla\u015fman\u0131n yak\u0131n oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemesi ile asker\u00ee haz\u0131rl\u0131k haberlerinin ayn\u0131 anda gelmesi belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131rd\u0131.\n\nMart 2026 itibar\u0131yla do\u011frudan asker\u00ee tehditlerin etkisi azalsa da b\u00f6lgedeki temel gerilim s\u00fcr\u00fcyor ve bu durum petrol fiyatlar\u0131na taban (a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayan seviye) olu\u015fturuyor. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l bahsedilen anla\u015fma tam olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmedi\u011fi i\u00e7in piyasa yeni haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131na olduk\u00e7a hassas. Bu ortam, man\u015fet riskinin (haberlerle ani fiyat hareketi riski) enerji ve de\u011ferli metaller t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinde (dayanak varl\u0131ktan t\u00fcretilen, vadeli i\u015flem ve opsiyon gibi \u00fcr\u00fcnler) \u00f6nemli olmaya devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.\n\nGe\u00e7en y\u0131lki sert d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f nedeniyle alt\u0131n opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) y\u00fcksek kal\u0131yor. CBOE Gold Volatility Index (GVZ), son alt\u0131 ayda ortalama 18,5\u2019in \u00fczerinde seyretti; bu seviye tarihsel ortalamalar\u0131n \u00fczerinde ve piyasan\u0131n fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131 bekledi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu tablo, straddle veya strangle gibi opsiyon stratejilerinin (straddle: ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m-sat\u0131m opsiyonu birlikte; strangle: farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m-sat\u0131m opsiyonu birlikte) iki y\u00f6nde de sert hareketten faydalanmak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nHam petrol stoklar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131 seyrederken, EIA (ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi) raporlar\u0131nda \u00fcst \u00fcste haftalarda stok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi arz risklerine kar\u015f\u0131 piyasan\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 tepki vermesine zemin haz\u0131rl\u0131yor. Ani fiyat s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 korunma (hedge: riski azaltma) amac\u0131yla WTI veya Brent\u2019te uzun vadeli al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call option: belirlenen fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) de\u011ferlendirilebilir. 2025\u2019teki endi\u015fe d\u00f6neminde g\u00f6r\u00fclen h\u0131zl\u0131 %3 y\u00fckseli\u015f bu davran\u0131\u015fa \u00f6rnek.\n\nTemel tarafta alt\u0131n i\u00e7in uzun vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc destekleyen unsur, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 al\u0131mlar\u0131. D\u00fcnya Alt\u0131n Konseyi\u2019nin 2025 d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek raporuna g\u00f6re merkez bankalar\u0131 rezervlerine 290 ton daha ekledi ve bu birikim e\u011filimi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu al\u0131mlar, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir destek olu\u015fturabilir; sert geri \u00e7ekilmeler biriktirme f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Petrol %3 s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131, enflasyon beklentileri y\u00fckseldi: Alt\u0131n %1\u2019den fazla d\u00fc\u015ferek 4.445 dolara geriledi. Orta Do\u011fu man\u015fetleri oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131rken, teknik seviyeler 4.307 destek; 4.736-4.915 diren\u00e7. Merkez bankas\u0131 talebi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43582","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43582","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43582"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43582\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43582"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43582"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43582"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}