{"id":43556,"date":"2026-03-28T04:06:25","date_gmt":"2026-03-28T04:06:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/aud-usd-dorduncu-seansta-da-geriledi-orta-dogu-gerilimiyle-guclenen-abd-dolari-karsisinda-avustralya-dolari-06900-seviyesinin-altina-zayifladi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-28T04:06:25","modified_gmt":"2026-03-28T04:06:25","slug":"aud-usd-dorduncu-seansta-da-geriledi-orta-dogu-gerilimiyle-guclenen-abd-dolari-karsisinda-avustralya-dolari-06900-seviyesinin-altina-zayifladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/aud-usd-dorduncu-seansta-da-geriledi-orta-dogu-gerilimiyle-guclenen-abd-dolari-karsisinda-avustralya-dolari-06900-seviyesinin-altina-zayifladi\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc seansta da geriledi; Orta Do\u011fu gerilimiyle g\u00fc\u00e7lenen ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Avustralya Dolar\u0131 0,6900 seviyesinin alt\u0131na zay\u0131flad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc kez geriledi. Parite 0,6866 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken iki ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini yeniledi. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki jeopolitik gerginlikler ve y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tuttu.\n\nABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) 100,19 civar\u0131nda seyretti ve haftay\u0131 %0,50\u2019nin \u00fczerinde art\u0131da kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yordu. DXY, dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endekstir. AUD\/USD ise haftay\u0131 %2\u2019den fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatmaya gidiyordu; bu, Ekim 2025\u2019ten bu yana en sert haftal\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f.\n\n

Kritik Seviyelerin Alt\u0131nda Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Bozuldu<\/h3>\nAUD\/USD, 0,7000 seviyesinin alt\u0131na indikten sonra d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimine (ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc) d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Bu hareket, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama (SMA) olan 0,7015\u2019in de alt\u0131na sarkmas\u0131yla h\u0131zland\u0131. SMA, son 50 g\u00fcn\u00fcn kapan\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ortalamas\u0131d\u0131r ve trendi izlemek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r. Parite ayr\u0131ca 0,6900 civar\u0131ndaki destek b\u00f6lgesinin alt\u0131na indi; bu seviye art\u0131k diren\u00e7 olarak \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor (yani fiyat y\u00fckselince sat\u0131\u015fla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilir).\n\nG\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 37\u2019ye do\u011fru geriledi. RSI, fiyat hareketinin h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en bir g\u00f6stergedir; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ivmesinin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor, ancak \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m\u201d b\u00f6lgesine (genelde 30 alt\u0131) hen\u00fcz girmedi. MACD g\u00f6stergesi sinyal \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131 ve negatif b\u00f6lgede daha da derinle\u015fti. MACD, iki hareketli ortalama aras\u0131ndaki farkla trend ve ivmeyi \u00f6l\u00e7er; histogram\u0131n daha negatif olmas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret eder.\n\nDestek, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 0,6815 civar\u0131nda. 0,6815\u2019in alt\u0131nda g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f, 0,6700\u2019e do\u011fru yeni bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f alan\u0131 a\u00e7abilir.\n\nToparlanma i\u00e7in \u00f6nce 0,6900\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f gerekiyor. Daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f i\u00e7in 0,7000 civar\u0131ndaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekir.\n\n

2026\u2019ya Girerken D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f Senaryosu G\u00fc\u00e7leniyor<\/h3>\n2025\u2019in sonlar\u0131nda i\u015faret etti\u011fimiz AUD\/USD\u2019deki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosu g\u00fc\u00e7 kazand\u0131. Parite \u015fu anda 0,6650 civar\u0131nda. O d\u00f6nemde de belirleyici olan ABD dolar\u0131ndaki kal\u0131c\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7, \u015eubat 2026 tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisiyle artt\u0131. Tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam, ABD\u2019de tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda yarat\u0131lan yeni i\u015f say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir. Veri beklentiyi a\u015farak 215 bin yeni istihdama i\u015faret etti. Bu tablo, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risklerin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc destekliyor.\n\nOrta Do\u011fu\u2019daki jeopolitik gerilimler, \u00f6zellikle H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresindeki t\u0131rman\u0131\u015f, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d talebini art\u0131rarak ABD dolar\u0131na y\u00f6nelimi g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. G\u00fcvenli liman, belirsizlikte yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha az riskli g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi anlam\u0131na gelir. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde Avustralya dolar\u0131, i\u00e7eride zay\u0131flayan veriler nedeniyle bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda. Avustralya\u2019da son enflasyon %2,8 geldi; bu, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) y\u0131l i\u00e7inde para politikas\u0131n\u0131 gev\u015fetebilece\u011fi beklentisini art\u0131rd\u0131. Para politikas\u0131n\u0131 gev\u015fetmek, faiz indirimi veya daha destekleyici ad\u0131mlar anlam\u0131na gelir.\n\nBu farkl\u0131la\u015fma, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc t\u00fcrev i\u015flemleri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. T\u00fcrev, de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa (burada d\u00f6viz kuru) ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnlerdir. 0,6600 alt\u0131ndaki kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike) sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131na (put) talep art\u0131yor. Put opsiyonu, belirli bir fiyattan sat\u0131\u015f hakk\u0131 verir; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisiyle al\u0131n\u0131r. AUD\/USD 1 ayl\u0131k ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility) %11,5\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. \u0130ma edilen oynakl\u0131k, opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015faret etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanmad\u0131r ve belirsizli\u011fin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe oynayarak put almay\u0131 ya da y\u00fckseli\u015fin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnerek \u201cparan\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda\u201d (out-of-the-money) al\u0131m opsiyonu (call) spreadi satmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir. Call spreadi, bir call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 ba\u015fka bir call sat\u0131larak getirinin s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir stratejidir.\n\nTemel tarafta emtia fiyatlar\u0131 da tabloyu zorluyor. Demir cevheri fiyat\u0131 yak\u0131n zamanda ton ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na indi ve Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor. Avustralya ekonomisi emtia ihracat\u0131na duyarl\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in bu t\u00fcr d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler kur \u00fczerinde olumsuz etkili olabilir. Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan, 2025\u2019in sonlar\u0131nda destek olan seviyeler \u015fimdi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7. 0,6815 seviyesi art\u0131k uzak bir tavan g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcnde ve piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131 ciddi bi\u00e7imde de\u011fi\u015fmeden test edilmesi zor.\n\n\u015eimdilik en olas\u0131 y\u00f6n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131. 0,6700 gibi psikolojik seviye ge\u00e7en ay net \u015fekilde k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131 ve art\u0131k olas\u0131 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck tepki y\u00fckseli\u015flerinde ilk diren\u00e7 konumunda. Bu seviyenin yeniden a\u015f\u0131lamamas\u0131, sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 0,6500 seviyesini hedeflemeye te\u015fvik edebilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dikkat: AUD\/USD\u2019de sert sat\u0131\u015f! Parite 0,6866 ile 2 ay\u0131n dibinde; jeopolitik risk ve petrol dolar talebini k\u00f6r\u00fckl\u00fcyor. 0,6900 alt\u0131 ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131; 0,6815 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,6700\u20130,6500 g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43556","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43556","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43556"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43556\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43556"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43556"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43556"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}