{"id":43524,"date":"2026-03-27T18:02:42","date_gmt":"2026-03-27T18:02:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-cad-iran-savasi-endiselerinin-uzamasiyla-abd-dolarinin-kanada-dolari-karsisinda-guclenmesiyle-13850nin-uzerinde-kaliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-27T18:02:42","modified_gmt":"2026-03-27T18:02:42","slug":"usd-cad-iran-savasi-endiselerinin-uzamasiyla-abd-dolarinin-kanada-dolari-karsisinda-guclenmesiyle-13850nin-uzerinde-kaliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-cad-iran-savasi-endiselerinin-uzamasiyla-abd-dolarinin-kanada-dolari-karsisinda-guclenmesiyle-13850nin-uzerinde-kaliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/CAD, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 endi\u015felerinin uzamas\u0131yla ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Kanada Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle 1,3850\u2019nin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/CAD cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc be\u015finci g\u00fcn \u00fcst \u00fcste y\u00fckseldi ve iki aydan uzun s\u00fcrenin en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Yaz\u0131 haz\u0131rlan\u0131rken 1,3860 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Piyasalar, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n uzayaca\u011f\u0131 endi\u015fesiyle **g\u00fcvenli liman** (risk art\u0131nca yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n s\u0131\u011f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 varl\u0131k) aray\u0131\u015f\u0131na y\u00f6neldi.\n\nKanada Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (CAD) haftay\u0131 %1\u2019den fazla kay\u0131pla kapatmas\u0131 bekleniyordu. Daha y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131 CAD\u2019i desteklemedi. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc **g\u00fcvenli liman** olarak ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na (USD) talep artt\u0131.\n\n<h3>Orta Do\u011fu \u00c7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 G\u00fcvenli Liman Talebini Art\u0131r\u0131yor<\/h3>\nSava\u015fa ili\u015fkin \u00e7eli\u015fkili haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 da piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n duygu ve beklentileri) olumsuz etkiledi. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, \u0130ran\u2019la g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin \u201c\u00e7ok iyi\u201d gitti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n enerji tesislerine sald\u0131r\u0131 i\u00e7in son tarihi 6 Nisan\u2019a erteledi.\n\nWall Street Journal, Pentagon\u2019un iddia edilen bir **kara harek\u00e2t\u0131** (karadan askeri operasyon) i\u00e7in 10.000 ek asker konu\u015fland\u0131rabilece\u011fini yazd\u0131. Habere g\u00f6re bu durum sava\u015f\u0131 uzatabilir ve **H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131**\u2019n\u0131n (k\u00fcresel petrol sevkiyat\u0131nda kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) s\u00fcresiz kapal\u0131 kalmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir.\n\nMerkez bankalar\u0131 da para politikas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7iriyor. Fed yetkilileri Michael Barr ve Philip Jefferson, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015fla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 y\u00fckselen **enflasyon** (fiyatlar\u0131n genel d\u00fczeyindeki art\u0131\u015f) bask\u0131lar\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekti.\n\n**CME FedWatch Tool** (piyasan\u0131n Fed faiz beklentisini olas\u0131l\u0131k olarak g\u00f6steren ara\u00e7), bu y\u0131l en az bir **faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131** (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n politika faizini y\u00fckseltmesi) ihtimalini %50 olarak g\u00f6sterdi. Bu, bir ay \u00f6nce fiyatlanan 50 baz puanl\u0131k (bps) **faiz indirimi** (faizin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi) beklentisinin tersine d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret etti ve ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekledi.\n\n<h3>Politika Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ve Opsiyon Pozisyonlar\u0131<\/h3>\nBug\u00fcn 27 Mart 2026 itibar\u0131yla, yeniden artan jeopolitik stresle benzer bir tablo g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. **CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX)** (piyasa korkusunu \u00f6l\u00e7en oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi), son iki haftada 13\u2019ten 17,5\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Bu, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yeniden tedirgin olup **korunma** (olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta gibi i\u015flem) arad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.\n\nPiyasan\u0131n Fed politikas\u0131na dair beklentisi de belirgin bi\u00e7imde de\u011fi\u015fiyor. Bir ay \u00f6nce **Fed fon vadeli i\u015flemleri** (Fed\u2019in gelecekteki faizinin piyasa taraf\u0131ndan fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler), 2026 sonuna kadar iki faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %85 olarak g\u00f6steriyordu; bug\u00fcn bu oran %40\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na indi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoC) faizi sabit tutmas\u0131 veya indirim sinyali vermesi bekleniyor. Bu da belirgin bir **politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131** (merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n farkl\u0131 y\u00f6nde hareket etmesi) yarat\u0131yor.\n\nBu ortamda, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc harekete haz\u0131rlanmak i\u00e7in USD\/CAD **al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131na (call)** (belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) ilgi art\u0131yor. Daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli bir strateji olarak **y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc call spread** (iki al\u0131m opsiyonunu birlikte kullanarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme y\u00f6ntemi) uygulanabilir: \u00d6rne\u011fin 1,3700 **kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike)** call almak ve 1,3900 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call satmak. Bu y\u00f6ntem, maksimum riski ba\u015ftan s\u0131n\u0131rlar ve paritenin ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki zirvelere yakla\u015fmas\u0131 halinde kazan\u00e7 potansiyeli sunar.\n\nWTI ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131 bu ay %8 y\u00fckselerek varil ba\u015f\u0131na 88 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019na destek veremiyor. \u015eu anda piyasada belirleyici unsur, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na y\u00f6nelik **g\u00fcvenli liman** talebi. Bu da petrol g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalsa bile USD\/CAD\u2019in y\u00fckseli\u015finin s\u00fcrebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jeopolitik gerilim ve \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d talebi USD\/CAD\u2019i 5 g\u00fcnd\u00fcr ta\u015f\u0131y\u0131p 1,3860\u2019la iki ay zirvesine itti. Fed indirimi fiyatlamas\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6kerken, BoC g\u00fcvercin; call opsiyon ilgisi art\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43524","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43524","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43524"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43524\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43524"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43524"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43524"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}