{"id":31295,"date":"2026-03-27T05:02:53","date_gmt":"2026-03-27T05:02:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/orta-doguda-tirmanan-gerilimlerin-golgesinde-avustralya-dolari-ucuncu-seansta-da-zayifladi-aud-usd-06900in-altina-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-27T05:02:53","modified_gmt":"2026-03-27T05:02:53","slug":"orta-doguda-tirmanan-gerilimlerin-golgesinde-avustralya-dolari-ucuncu-seansta-da-zayifladi-aud-usd-06900in-altina-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/orta-doguda-tirmanan-gerilimlerin-golgesinde-avustralya-dolari-ucuncu-seansta-da-zayifladi-aud-usd-06900in-altina-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da t\u0131rmanan gerilimlerin g\u00f6lgesinde Avustralya Dolar\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc seansta da zay\u0131flad\u0131, AUD\/USD 0,6900\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc kez geriledi ve 0,6900 seviyesinin alt\u0131na indi. Parite %0,76 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilimin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 ve ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda ate\u015fkes sa\u011flanaca\u011f\u0131na dair \u015f\u00fcpheler, risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) zay\u0131flatt\u0131. Wall Street g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapat\u0131rken, y\u00fckselen ABD Hazine tahvili getirileri (devlet tahvillerinin faizi) ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekledi.\n\nABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endeks) %0,37 artarak 100,00\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Sava\u015f\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda fiili kapanmaya yak\u0131n bir durum yaratmas\u0131yla enerji fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckseldi; y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana WTI ham petrol (ABD tipi ham petrol referans\u0131) %64 artarken, benzin yakla\u015f\u0131k %80 y\u00fckseldi.\n\n<h3>ABD \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc Piyasas\u0131 Sinyalleri<\/h3>\n21 Mart\u2019ta sona eren haftaya ait ABD \u0130lk \u0130\u015fsizlik Ba\u015fvurular\u0131 205 binden 210 bine y\u00fckseldi. Veri beklentilere paralel geldi ve son yakla\u015f\u0131k iki y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine yak\u0131n seyrini korudu. D\u00f6rt haftal\u0131k ortalama 210,75 binden 210,5 bine gerileyerek i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda daha istikrarl\u0131 bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme i\u015faret etti.\n\nAUD\/USD, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sonras\u0131 0,7100\u2019a do\u011fru y\u00fckselmi\u015fti; ancak ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na talep art\u0131nca y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc tersine \u00e7evirdi. Parite 0,6892 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Diren\u00e7 (yukar\u0131 hareketi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran seviye) 0,7000 ve 0,7070 yak\u0131n\u0131nda; destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc durdurabilecek seviye) 0,6890 ve 0,6800 civar\u0131nda.\n\nRBA, enflasyonu %2\u20133 band\u0131nda tutmay\u0131 politika faiziyle hedefler; ayr\u0131ca niceliksel gev\u015feme\/s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma (tahvil al\u0131m\u0131yla piyasaya para verme ya da tahvil satarak piyasadan para \u00e7ekme) uygulayabilir. Demir cevheri Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ihracat kalemidir: y\u0131ll\u0131k 118 milyar dolar (2021 verisi) ve ana pazar \u00c7in\u2019dir.\n\n<h3>Opsiyon Stratejileri ve Oynakl\u0131k<\/h3>\n2025\u2019in ba\u015f\u0131nda WTI petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen sert s\u0131\u00e7rama art\u0131k ana belirleyici de\u011fil; ham petrol \u015fu anda varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85 dolar civar\u0131nda daha dengeli. Bu durum, daha \u00f6nce Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 bask\u0131layan ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (belirsizlikte yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131\u011f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 varl\u0131k) talebini azalt\u0131yor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, petrolde ani \u015fok olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmas\u0131n\u0131 dikkate alabilir. Bu ortamda, net risk tan\u0131ml\u0131 stratejiler (maksimum zarar\/kar\u0131 ba\u015ftan belli olan) \u00f6rne\u011fin dikey spread (ayn\u0131 vadede farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 iki opsiyonla kurulan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskli pozisyon) gibi yap\u0131lar, do\u011frudan sat\u0131\u015f (a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa sat\u0131\u015f) pozisyonlar\u0131na g\u00f6re daha cazip g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.\n\nRBA\u2019n\u0131n son toplant\u0131da politika faizini %4,50\u2019de sabit tutmas\u0131, ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re daha az \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz art\u0131rmaya daha yatk\u0131n) bir duru\u015fa i\u015faret ediyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) faizlerde \u201cdaha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek\u201d mesaj\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; bu da ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 temel olarak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tutuyor. Bu politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, AUD\/USD\u2019de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015flerin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu nedenle 0,6900 \u00fczerindeki seviyelerde al\u0131m (call) opsiyonu satmak (prim geliri elde etmek i\u00e7in y\u00fckseli\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon almak) olas\u0131 bir strateji olabilir.\n\nAyr\u0131ca \u00c7in fakt\u00f6r\u00fc \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u00c7in\u2019in son verilerinde imalat PMI\u2019\u0131n (Sat\u0131n Alma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi; 50\u2019nin alt\u0131 daralma, \u00fcst\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme) 49,8\u2019e gerilemesi, Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ticaret orta\u011f\u0131nda toparlanman\u0131n zay\u0131f kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu zemin, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe yak\u0131n ya da yatay destekliyor. AUD\/USD\u2019de sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu almak, \u00c7in kaynakl\u0131 olas\u0131 yeni hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131klar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flayabilir.\n\nGe\u00e7en y\u0131l parite 0,6900 seviyesinin alt\u0131na belirgin bi\u00e7imde inmi\u015fti; bug\u00fcn ayn\u0131 seviye g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir diren\u00e7 konumunda. \u0130ma edilen oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen hareketlilik) 2025\u2019teki zirveye g\u00f6re d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7in opsiyonlar daha ucuz. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 ve zay\u0131f temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 0,6700 civar\u0131nda olan sat\u0131m opsiyonu almak, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 0,6500\u2019e do\u011fru olas\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye kar\u015f\u0131 hesapl\u0131 bir pozisyonlanma olabilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Risk i\u015ftah\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, AUD\/USD \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcnd\u00fcr gerileyip 0,6900 alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131. Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi ve y\u00fckselen ABD tahvil getirileri dolar\u0131 destekliyor; RBA-Fed ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, \u00c7in PMI zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31295","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31295","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31295"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31295\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31295"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31295"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31295"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}