{"id":31288,"date":"2026-03-27T02:03:43","date_gmt":"2026-03-27T02:03:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abd-dolar-endeksi-yenilenen-guvenli-liman-talebiyle-ust-uste-ucuncu-seansta-030-yukseldi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-27T02:03:43","modified_gmt":"2026-03-27T02:03:43","slug":"abd-dolar-endeksi-yenilenen-guvenli-liman-talebiyle-ust-uste-ucuncu-seansta-030-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-dolar-endeksi-yenilenen-guvenli-liman-talebiyle-ust-uste-ucuncu-seansta-030-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD Dolar Endeksi, yenilenen g\u00fcvenli liman talebiyle \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc seansta %0,30 y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,30 y\u00fckselerek 99,56\u2019dan 99,90\u2019a yakla\u015ft\u0131. B\u00f6ylece dolara talep \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc g\u00fcn de s\u00fcrd\u00fc. Endeks, \u015fubat ay\u0131ndaki 96,00 civar\u0131ndaki dip seviyesinden bu yana 3 puan\u0131n \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseldi; mart ortas\u0131nda 101,00 civar\u0131ndaki zirvelerden geri \u00e7ekilse de 100,00 seviyesine yak\u0131n seyrediyor.\n\n\u0130ran, sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Washington\u2019\u0131n 15 maddelik ate\u015fkes plan\u0131n\u0131 reddetti ve sava\u015f tazminat\u0131 ile H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinde egemenlik gibi taleplerin de yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 be\u015f kar\u015f\u0131 \u015fart a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bo\u011faz, Bat\u0131l\u0131 m\u00fcttefik gemilere kapal\u0131 kalmaya devam ediyor. Deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 uzmanlar\u0131, y\u0131l sonundan \u00f6nce normal ticari ge\u00e7i\u015fin yeniden ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 beklemiyor.\n\nJaponya per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc 30 g\u00fcnl\u00fck devlet petrol rezervini piyasaya s\u00fcrmeye ba\u015flad\u0131; Filipinler ise enerji arz\u0131 nedeniyle ulusal acil durum ilan etti. Ba\u015fkan Trump per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc, bo\u011faz\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in cuma g\u00fcn\u00fcne i\u015faret edilen son tarihten emin olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi; \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ham petrol arz\u0131n\u0131 \u201cdevralman\u0131n\u201d (kontrol alt\u0131na alman\u0131n) h\u00e2l\u00e2 \u201cbir se\u00e7enek\u201d oldu\u011funu belirtti.\n\nABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) mart ay\u0131nda faizi %3,50-%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tuttu. Fed\u2019in \u201cnokta grafi\u011fi\u201d (\u00fcyelerin y\u0131l sonu faiz beklentilerini g\u00f6steren tablo) bu y\u0131l bir faiz indirimi beklentisini korudu. Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Powell \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 \u201cenerji \u015foku\u201d olarak nitelendirirken, Michael Barr faizlerin y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131 gerekebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Piyasalar, yak\u0131n vadede faiz indirimi ihtimalini b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde fiyatlamadan \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.\n\nGrafik taraf\u0131nda fiyat 99,92\u201399,93 band\u0131ndayd\u0131. Destek seviyeleri 99,90, 99,76, 99,70 ve 99,50\u201399,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131; ard\u0131ndan 98,50. Diren\u00e7 seviyeleri ise 99,96, 100,00, 100,50 ve 101,00.\n\nBu ortam ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 belirgin \u015fekilde destekliyor; dolar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda ba\u015fl\u0131ca \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (belirsizlikte yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00f6neldi\u011fi varl\u0131k) olmas\u0131 beklenebilir. \u0130ran kaynakl\u0131 jeopolitik risk ile Fed\u2019in \u201c\u015fahin\u201d duru\u015fu (faizleri y\u00fcksek tutma e\u011filimi) dolara g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir destek veriyor. DXY\u2019nin 100,00 gibi \u201cpsikolojik seviye\u201dyi (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi yuvarlak rakam) test etmesi ve a\u015fmas\u0131 olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.\n\nH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma, belirgin bir \u201cenerji \u015foku\u201d yaratarak riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fcksek tutuyor. Brent petrol \u201cvadeli i\u015flemleri\u201d (gelecekte teslim i\u00e7in bug\u00fcn fiyatta anla\u015fma) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 120 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rken, tablo 2022\u2019de Ukrayna i\u015fgali sonras\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclen piyasa dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Bo\u011faz kapal\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece dolar\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman talebi canl\u0131 kalabilir.\n\nFed\u2019in duru\u015fu da dolar\u0131 destekliyor; di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimlerine g\u00f6re \u201cgetiri avantaj\u0131\u201d (faiz fark\u0131 nedeniyle daha y\u00fcksek kazan\u00e7 potansiyeli) yarat\u0131yor. Son T\u00dcFE (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi) %4,1 ile Fed\u2019in hedefinin \u00fczerinde geldi; bu da faizin %3,75\u2019te sabit tutulmas\u0131n\u0131 gerek\u00e7elendiriyor.\n\n\u201cT\u00fcrev\u201d (de\u011feri d\u00f6viz, endeks gibi bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 finansal s\u00f6zle\u015fme) i\u015flemi yapanlar i\u00e7in bu, euro ve yen gibi paralara kar\u015f\u0131 dolar lehine pozisyon fikrini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Bu durum \u201copsiyon\u201d piyasas\u0131nda (\u00f6nceden belirlenen fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) da g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor: Haziran vadeli DXY kontrat\u0131nda \u201ccall opsiyonu\u201d (y\u00fckseli\u015ften k\u00e2r etme hakk\u0131) i\u00e7in \u201ca\u00e7\u0131k pozisyon\u201d (kapanmam\u0131\u015f kontrat say\u0131s\u0131) artarken, \u00f6zellikle 101,00 \u201ckullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131\u201d (opsiyondaki i\u015flem fiyat\u0131) \u00e7evresinde yo\u011funla\u015f\u0131yor. \u201cBull call spread\u201d (iki call opsiyonuyla maliyeti ve riski s\u0131n\u0131rlayan y\u00fckseli\u015f stratejisi) y\u00fckseli\u015fi hedeflerken riski tan\u0131mlamak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilir.\n\nBuna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k y\u00fckseli\u015fte ivme kayb\u0131 sinyalleri de var. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte hareketin \u201cuzad\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d (k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede fazla y\u00fckseldi\u011fi) g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; \u0130ran\u2019la gerilim beklenmedik \u015fekilde azal\u0131rsa sert bir geri \u00e7ekilme m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki ay i\u00e7in DXY\u2019de veya UUP ETF\u2019te (dolar endeksini izleyen borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonu) \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d put opsiyonu (kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyattan uzak, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta gibi) almak, keskin bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli \u201chedge\u201d (korunma) sa\u011flayabilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DXY \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcnd\u00fcr y\u00fckseliyor, 100 e\u015fi\u011fine dayand\u0131: H\u00fcrm\u00fcz krizi enerji \u015foku ve g\u00fcvenli liman talebini art\u0131r\u0131rken, Fed\u2019in \u015fahin tonu faiz indirimi beklentilerini t\u00f6rp\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Opsiyonlarda 101 call\u2019lar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31288","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31288","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31288"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31288\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31288"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31288"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31288"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}