{"id":31276,"date":"2026-03-27T00:02:21","date_gmt":"2026-03-27T00:02:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/iran-gerilimi-ve-yukselen-petrol-fiyatlari-risk-istahini-baskiliyor-dow-jones-sp-500-ve-nasdaq-vadeli-islemleri-sert-geriliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-27T00:02:21","modified_gmt":"2026-03-27T00:02:21","slug":"iran-gerilimi-ve-yukselen-petrol-fiyatlari-risk-istahini-baskiliyor-dow-jones-sp-500-ve-nasdaq-vadeli-islemleri-sert-geriliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/iran-gerilimi-ve-yukselen-petrol-fiyatlari-risk-istahini-baskiliyor-dow-jones-sp-500-ve-nasdaq-vadeli-islemleri-sert-geriliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran gerilimi ve y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131 risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor; Dow Jones, S&#038;P 500 ve Nasdaq vadeli i\u015flemleri sert geriliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"ABD hisseleri per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc geriledi. Dow yakla\u015f\u0131k 230 puan (%0,5), S&#038;P 500 %0,8 ve Nasdaq Bile\u015fik Endeksi %1,1 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fteydi. Dow vadeli kontratlar\u0131 seans\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 46.200\u2019den 46.800\u2019e kadar y\u00fckseldikten sonra yeniden erken seans seviyelerine do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekildi. (Vadeli kontrat: \u0130leride belirli bir fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m yapmay\u0131 sa\u011flayan s\u00f6zle\u015fme.)\n\nGece saatlerinde Asya piyasalar\u0131, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ABD\u2019nin 15 maddelik ate\u015fkes teklifini reddetmesi ve sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n durdurulmas\u0131 ile H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kontrol\u00fcne ba\u011flanan bir kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6neri g\u00fcndeme getirmesinin ard\u0131ndan d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. G\u00fcney Kore Kospi %3\u2019ten fazla gerilerken, \u00c7in \u015eanghay Endeksi ile Hong Kong Hang Seng yakla\u015f\u0131k %1 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.\n\n<h3>K\u00fcresel Piyasalar Artan Gerilimlere Tepki Veriyor<\/h3>\nAvrupa piyasalar\u0131 da zay\u0131flad\u0131; Stoxx 600 yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,8 gerilerken Brent petrol 106 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. (Brent: K\u00fcresel petrol fiyatlamas\u0131nda referans t\u00fcr.) Daha sonra gelen haberlerde, ABD\u2019nin sald\u0131r\u0131lara verdi\u011fi be\u015f g\u00fcnl\u00fck ara s\u00fcresinin 48 saat i\u00e7inde sona yakla\u015fmas\u0131 ve Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 Donanmas\u0131 Komutan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne dair iddia yer ald\u0131. (Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131: \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n askeri g\u00fcc\u00fc i\u00e7inde ayr\u0131 bir yap\u0131.)\n\nK\u00f6rfez \u00fclkeleri, Irak topraklar\u0131ndan \u0130ran ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 k\u0131nayan ortak a\u00e7\u0131klama yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Abu Dabi\u2019de ise engellenen bir balistik f\u00fczenin (balistik f\u00fcze: Uzun menzilde atmosfer d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda da ilerleyen, y\u00fcksek h\u0131zla hedefe y\u00f6nelen f\u00fcze) par\u00e7alar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi sonucu iki ki\u015fi hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybetti. Brent yakla\u015f\u0131k %5 art\u0131\u015fla 107 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine, WTI (WTI: ABD ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) %4\u2019ten fazla y\u00fckseli\u015fle 95 dolar civar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD tahvil faizi %4,4\u2019e yakla\u015f\u0131rken (tahvil faizi: Devlet tahvillerinin getirisi), 20 ve 30 y\u0131ll\u0131k getiriler %5\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131.\n\nTeknoloji hisseleri, Google Research\u2019\u00fcn TurboQuant\u2019\u0131 tan\u0131tmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geriledi. \u015eirket, bu y\u00f6ntemin bellek ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 alt\u0131 kata kadar azalt\u0131rken do\u011fruluk kayb\u0131 yaratmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. (Bellek: \u00c7iplerin veri saklama kapasitesi; do\u011fruluk: Yapay zek\u00e2 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n isabeti.) Samsung %5, SK Hynix %6 d\u00fc\u015ferken, Lam Research ve Applied Materials yakla\u015f\u0131k %4 geriledi. Haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 205 binden 210 bine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; devam eden ba\u015fvurular 32 bin azalarak 1,82 milyona indi. Fed faizi %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda b\u0131rakt\u0131 ve 2026 i\u00e7in bir faiz indirimi \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. CME FedWatch (FedWatch: Piyasan\u0131n faiz beklentisini olas\u0131l\u0131kla g\u00f6steren ara\u00e7) hazirana kadar de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmama ihtimalini %89 g\u00f6steriyor.\n\nBa\u015fkan Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n son tarihinin yakla\u015fmas\u0131yla, \u0130ran\u2019la gerilimin t\u0131rmanma riskini piyasalar\u0131n ana belirleyicisi olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 koruma al\u0131yoruz; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc CBOE Volatilite Endeksi\u2019nin (VIX: Piyasadaki korku\/oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi) H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda tam \u00f6l\u00e7ekli \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma riskini yeterince fiyatlamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Ge\u00e7mi\u015f Ortado\u011fu krizlerinde, \u00f6rne\u011fin 1990 K\u00f6rfez Sava\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde VIX\u2019in iki kattan fazla artm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131, oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n buradan h\u0131zla y\u00fckselebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. (Oynakl\u0131k: Fiyatlar\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede sert dalgalanmas\u0131.)\n\nBrent\u2019in varil ba\u015f\u0131na 107 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ablukan\u0131n do\u011frudan sonucu; ancak as\u0131l risk arz\u0131n tamamen kesilmesi. (Arz kesintisi: Piyasaya \u00fcr\u00fcn ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n durmas\u0131.) ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan k\u00fcresel petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n %20\u2019sinden fazlas\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fini d\u00fczenli olarak raporluyor; bu nedenle uzun s\u00fcreli kapanma fiyatlar\u0131 daha da yukar\u0131 itebilir. Bu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riske kar\u015f\u0131, WTI ve Brent vadeli i\u015flemleri \u00fczerinde al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131yla (al\u0131m opsiyonu\/call: Belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) uzun pozisyon (uzun pozisyon: Fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131na oynayan i\u015flem) ta\u015f\u0131yoruz.\n\n<h3>Portf\u00f6y Korumas\u0131 ve Faiz Bask\u0131s\u0131<\/h3>\nJeopolitik gerilim ile y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n birle\u015fimi, geni\u015f hisse endeksleri i\u00e7in net bir bask\u0131 unsuru. Uzun vadeli portf\u00f6ylerimizi, S&#038;P 500 \u00fczerinde sat\u0131m opsiyonu (sat\u0131m opsiyonu\/put: Belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) alarak ve Dow Jones vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda k\u0131sa pozisyon a\u00e7arak (k\u0131sa pozisyon: Fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne oynayan i\u015flem) koruyoruz. G\u00fcvenilir bir diplomatik \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm g\u00f6rmeden bu savunmac\u0131 duru\u015fu korumak gerekiyor; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc kal\u0131c\u0131 y\u00fcksek enerji maliyetleri \u015firket k\u00e2rlar\u0131n\u0131 ve t\u00fcketimi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7eker.\n\nTeknoloji taraf\u0131nda Micron ve Samsung gibi bellek \u00e7ip \u00fcreticilerindeki sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n yaln\u0131zca ge\u00e7ici olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Alphabet\u2019in yapay zek\u00e2 i\u00e7in bellek alan\u0131ndaki ilerlemesini uzun vadeli talep a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ciddi bir risk olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor ve temel yar\u0131 iletken ETF\u2019lerinde (ETF: Endeks\/g\u00f6stergeyi izleyen borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonu) k\u0131sa pozisyon ba\u015flat\u0131yoruz. Bu, bir \u201c\u00e7ift i\u015flem\u201d kurgusu yarat\u0131yor: Alphabet\u2019te uzun, etkilenmesi beklenen \u015firketlerde ise d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde pozisyon. (\u00c7ift i\u015flem\/pairs trade: Bir varl\u0131kta al\u0131m, benzerinde sat\u0131m yaparak g\u00f6reli performansa oynama.)\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131n<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ortado\u011fu gerilimi t\u0131rmand\u0131, risk i\u015ftah\u0131 s\u00f6nd\u00fc: ABD hisseleri d\u00fc\u015ferken Asya\/Avrupa zay\u0131flad\u0131. Brent 107 dolar\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131, tahvil faizleri y\u00fckseldi. Piyasalar H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riski ve opsiyonlu korunmay\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31276","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31276","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31276"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31276\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31276"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31276"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31276"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}