{"id":31272,"date":"2026-03-26T23:03:41","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T23:03:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/trumpun-aciklamalari-usd-jpyyi-15970e-tasirken-dolar-guclu-seyrini-koruyor-yen-uzerindeki-baski-suruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-26T23:03:41","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T23:03:41","slug":"trumpun-aciklamalari-usd-jpyyi-15970e-tasirken-dolar-guclu-seyrini-koruyor-yen-uzerindeki-baski-suruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/trumpun-aciklamalari-usd-jpyyi-15970e-tasirken-dolar-guclu-seyrini-koruyor-yen-uzerindeki-baski-suruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump\u2019un a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 USD\/JPY\u2019yi 159,70\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131rken, dolar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrini koruyor, yen \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY, 26 Mart Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc 159,70 civar\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi. ABD Dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kal\u0131rken Japon Yeni \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7in parite genel olarak yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc seyrini korudu.\n\nABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, \u0130ran ile gerilim s\u0131ras\u0131nda petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki son y\u00fckseli\u015fin ve borsadaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn bekledi\u011finden daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Ekonomide olu\u015fabilecek zarar\u0131n da telafi edilece\u011fini ifade etti.\n\n<h3>Dolar\/Yen Trend G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\nABD Dolar\u0131; Trump\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d talebi (risk artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) ve jeopolitik gerilimler s\u00fcrerken yatay seyreden tahvil getirilerinin (tahvil faizleri) deste\u011fiyle g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131. Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) agresif faiz indirimi yapaca\u011f\u0131 beklentilerini yeniden ayarlad\u0131.\n\n4 saatlik grafikte USD\/JPY 159,64 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. K\u0131sa vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm n\u00f6tr kald\u0131; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc parite son zirvelerine yak\u0131n b\u00f6lgede yatay seyretti. Parite 20 ve 100 periyotluk Basit Hareketli Ortalamalar\u0131n (SMA: belirli bir d\u00f6nem fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ortalamas\u0131) \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rken, RSI (G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131\/ivmesini \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) 60 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131.\n\nDestek seviyeleri 159,44 ve 159,28 olarak izlenirken, diren\u00e7 159,70 seviyesinde. 159,28\u2019in alt\u0131na gerileme, oda\u011f\u0131 20 periyotluk SMA\u2019ya \u00e7evirebilir.\n\nTeknik analiz b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131 deste\u011fiyle haz\u0131rland\u0131.\n\n<h3>Opsiyon Stratejisi De\u011ferlendirmeleri<\/h3>\nGe\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, dolar\u0131n yen kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda belirgin \u015fekilde g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u0130ran gerilimi s\u0131ras\u0131nda Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 USD\/JPY\u2019yi 160 seviyesine do\u011fru ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. 160 seviyesi \u201cpsikolojik e\u015fik\u201dtir (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6zellikle takip etti\u011fi yuvarlak seviye). Bu da g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendini destekledi.\n\nBug\u00fcn ana tablo b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde benzer. Parite 164,50 civar\u0131nda. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7, Fed ile Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) aras\u0131ndaki \u201cfaiz fark\u0131\u201dndan (iki \u00fclkenin faiz oranlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki fark) besleniyor. 2026 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki veriler, BoJ\u2019un k\u0131sa vadeli politika faizini s\u0131f\u0131ra yak\u0131n tuttu\u011funu, ABD faizlerinin ise g\u00f6rece y\u00fcksek kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu durum, sermaye ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 dolara y\u00f6nlendirebiliyor.\n\nBu kal\u0131c\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimi nedeniyle, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in USD\/JPY\u2019de al\u0131m (call) opsiyonu almak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan bir strateji olabilir. Call opsiyonu, belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli bir fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 verir; b\u00f6ylece 166 seviyesine olas\u0131 hareketten yararlan\u0131rken risk \u00f6denen primle (opsiyon \u00fccreti) s\u0131n\u0131rlan\u0131r. Benzer kurulumlar 2025\u2019teki kademeli y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u0131ras\u0131nda i\u015fe yaram\u0131\u015ft\u0131.\n\nAncak oynakl\u0131k (volatilite: fiyatlar\u0131n ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131\/sert dalgaland\u0131\u011f\u0131) da izlenmeli. Yen\u2019de \u201cz\u0131mni volatilite\u201d (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen beklenen oynakl\u0131k) Tokyo\u2019dan gelen politika sinyallerinde tarihsel olarak s\u0131\u00e7rayabiliyor. 2025 sonlar\u0131nda BoJ politika g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irmesine i\u015faret etti\u011finde g\u00f6r\u00fclen sert ama ge\u00e7ici dalgalanmalar buna \u00f6rnek. Bu nedenle sadece y\u00f6n de\u011fil, fiyat hareketinin artmas\u0131ndan da fayda sa\u011flayan opsiyon kurgular\u0131 kullanmak mant\u0131kl\u0131 olabilir.\n\nDaha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerden uzun (long) pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131yanlar i\u00e7in 162,00 civar\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun hak fiyat\u0131) sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu almak \u201chedge\u201d (korunma: olumsuz harekete kar\u015f\u0131 koruma) i\u015flevi g\u00f6rebilir. Put opsiyonu, belirli bir fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 verir; ani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte veya s\u00fcrpriz politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011finde biriken k\u00e2r\u0131 korumaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olur. Bu, yenin beklenmedik g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta gibi \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dikkat: USD\/JPY 159,70\u2019e y\u00fckselerek 160 psikolojik e\u015fi\u011fine yakla\u015ft\u0131. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar, Trump kaynakl\u0131 g\u00fcvenli liman talebi ve Fed-BoJ faiz fark\u0131 trendi desteklerken, volatiliteye kar\u015f\u0131 opsiyonla korunma \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31272","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31272","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31272"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31272\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31272"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31272"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31272"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}