{"id":31247,"date":"2026-03-26T17:02:37","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T17:02:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abdde-dort-haftalik-ortalama-ilk-issizlik-basvurulari-2105-bine-geriledi-onceki-21075-bin-seviyesinden-hafif-dusus-gosterdi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-26T17:02:37","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T17:02:37","slug":"abdde-dort-haftalik-ortalama-ilk-issizlik-basvurulari-2105-bine-geriledi-onceki-21075-bin-seviyesinden-hafif-dusus-gosterdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abdde-dort-haftalik-ortalama-ilk-issizlik-basvurulari-2105-bine-geriledi-onceki-21075-bin-seviyesinden-hafif-dusus-gosterdi\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD\u2019de d\u00f6rt haftal\u0131k ortalama ilk i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 210,5 bine geriledi; \u00f6nceki 210,75 bin seviyesinden hafif d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6sterdi."},"content":{"rendered":"ABD\u2019de ilk i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131n d\u00f6rt haftal\u0131k hareketli ortalamas\u0131 20 Mart itibar\u0131yla 210,5 bin oldu. \u00d6nceki d\u00f6rt haftal\u0131k ortalama 210,75 bindi.\n\nBu, \u00f6nceki veriye g\u00f6re 0,25 binlik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f anlam\u0131na geliyor. Son veri, son d\u00f6nemdeki e\u011filimde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir de\u011fi\u015fime i\u015faret ediyor.\n\n<h3>\u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc Piyasas\u0131nda Dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k<\/h3>\n\u0130\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131n istikrarl\u0131 seyri, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n dayan\u0131kl\u0131 oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc destekliyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) k\u0131sa vadede faiz indirimine gitmesi i\u00e7in belirgin bir bask\u0131 hissetmeyece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu nedenle, \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d (faiz indirimine daha yak\u0131n) bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f beklentisini zay\u0131flatmak ve olas\u0131 faiz indirimlerinin zamanlamas\u0131n\u0131 ileri \u00f6telemek gerekiyor.\n\nFed\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla beklemede kalmas\u0131, yaz aylar\u0131 i\u00e7in h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert faiz indirimlerini fiyatlayan k\u0131sa vadeli faiz piyasas\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnleri \u00fczerinde bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesine yol a\u00e7abilir. Burada kastedilen \u201cfaiz t\u00fcrevleri\u201d, faize ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler; \u00f6rne\u011fin vadeli i\u015flemler ve opsiyonlard\u0131r. Son enflasyon verileri de bu temkinli duru\u015fu destekliyor: \u015eubat 2026 i\u00e7in \u00e7ekirdek PCE (g\u0131da ve enerji gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 tutulan, Fed\u2019in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 enflasyonu) %2,8 seviyesinde kald\u0131. Bu ortam, SOFR oran\u0131na (teminatl\u0131 gecelik bor\u00e7lanma faizi; ABD\u2019de k\u0131sa vadeli faizler i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli g\u00f6sterge) ba\u011fl\u0131 vadeli i\u015flem s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerindeki y\u00fckseli\u015fleri \u201csatmay\u0131\u201d (yani y\u00fckseli\u015flerde pozisyon azaltmay\u0131\/ters pozisyon almay\u0131) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.\n\nBu istikrar, piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tutuyor; VIX endeksi (S&#038;P 500 i\u00e7in beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d) \u015fu s\u0131ralar 13,5 civar\u0131nda. Bu durum, opsiyon primi satmay\u0131 (opsiyon yazarak prim geliri elde etmeyi) daha cazip k\u0131labilir; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ekonomi hisse piyasalar\u0131 i\u00e7in tampon i\u015flevi g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. \u0130yi performans g\u00f6steren teknoloji hisselerinde \u201ccovered call\u201d (eldeki hisse \u00fczerine al\u0131m opsiyonu satarak gelir elde etme) yazmak veya SPY gibi geni\u015f piyasa ETF\u2019lerinde \u201ccash-secured put\u201d (nakitle kar\u015f\u0131lanan sat\u0131m opsiyonu sat\u0131\u015f\u0131; olas\u0131 al\u0131m i\u00e7in nakit haz\u0131r tutarak prim toplama) satmak de\u011ferlendirilebilir.\n\nGe\u00e7mi\u015fe bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, bu sakin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm 2025 sonbahar\u0131nda resesyon endi\u015felerinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve piyasan\u0131n daha gergin oldu\u011fu d\u00f6neme g\u00f6re belirgin bir fark olu\u015fturuyor. Ancak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oynakl\u0131k rehavete yol a\u00e7mamal\u0131. B\u00fcy\u00fck endekslerde \u201cuzun vadeli koruyucu put\u201d (uzun vadeli sat\u0131m opsiyonu; sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flere kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta) bulundurmak, jeopolitik veya ekonomik beklenmedik \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 korunma (hedge) amac\u0131yla daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilir.\n\n<h3>Faiz ve Hisse Taraf\u0131nda Konumlanma<\/h3>\nG\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam verileri, t\u00fcketicinin harcama g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor; bu da ekonomiye duyarl\u0131 \u201cd\u00f6ng\u00fcsel\u201d sekt\u00f6rlere (ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyle g\u00fc\u00e7lenen sekt\u00f6rler) destek verir. XLY gibi t\u00fcketici iste\u011fe ba\u011fl\u0131 harcama ETF\u2019lerinde y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc opsiyon stratejileri de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Bu, faiz indirim ihtimalinin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde genellikle geride kalan \u201cfaize duyarl\u0131\u201d sekt\u00f6rlerde (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131\/indirimi beklentilerinden daha \u00e7ok etkilenen sekt\u00f6rler), \u00f6rne\u011fin kamu hizmetleri (utilities) taraf\u0131nda daha zay\u0131f bir duru\u015fla e\u015fle\u015ftirilebilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>S\u00fcrpriz yok: ABD\u2019de i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131n 4 haftal\u0131k ortalamas\u0131 210,5 bine gerileyerek i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n direncini korudu. Bu, Fed\u2019in indirim bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131p faiz t\u00fcrevlerinde bask\u0131y\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilir. VIX d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck; opsiyon primi stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, koruyucu putla temkin \u00f6neriliyor. D\u00f6ng\u00fcseller desteklenir, faize duyarl\u0131lar geride kalabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31247","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31247","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31247"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31247\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31247"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31247"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31247"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}