{"id":31240,"date":"2026-03-26T15:04:20","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T15:04:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/iran-geriliminin-tirmanmasiyla-risk-istahi-azalirken-dolar-gucleniyor-kuresel-hisse-ve-tahvil-piyasalarindaki-zayiflikla-petrol-yukseliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-26T15:04:20","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T15:04:20","slug":"iran-geriliminin-tirmanmasiyla-risk-istahi-azalirken-dolar-gucleniyor-kuresel-hisse-ve-tahvil-piyasalarindaki-zayiflikla-petrol-yukseliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/iran-geriliminin-tirmanmasiyla-risk-istahi-azalirken-dolar-gucleniyor-kuresel-hisse-ve-tahvil-piyasalarindaki-zayiflikla-petrol-yukseliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran geriliminin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131yla risk i\u015ftah\u0131 azal\u0131rken Dolar g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor; k\u00fcresel hisse ve tahvil piyasalar\u0131ndaki zay\u0131fl\u0131kla petrol y\u00fckseliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"Yenilenen riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f, \u0130ran\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma t\u0131rman\u0131rken ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekledi. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckselirken k\u00fcresel hisse senedi ve tahvil piyasalar\u0131 zay\u0131flad\u0131; Dolar, ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerinin \u00e7o\u011fu kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda de\u011fer kazand\u0131.\n\nPiyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131; enerji arz\u0131nda \u015fok (ani ve sert fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131), zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ra\u011fmen b\u00fcy\u00fck merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n para politikas\u0131n\u0131 (faiz kararlar\u0131 ve likidite duru\u015fu) s\u0131k\u0131 tutmas\u0131 ve y\u00fckselen bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerinin kamu b\u00fct\u00e7eleri \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131s\u0131 endi\u015felerini yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Bu unsurlar riskli varl\u0131klar\u0131 (hisse senedi gibi dalgalanmaya a\u00e7\u0131k \u00fcr\u00fcnler) bask\u0131larken, stres d\u00f6nemlerinde Dolarla fonlama (Dolar cinsinden bor\u00e7lanma ve likidite ihtiyac\u0131) talebini art\u0131rd\u0131.\n\n<h3>T\u0131rmanma ve Piyasa Belirsizli\u011fi<\/h3>\nAxios, ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik \u201cson darbe\u201d i\u00e7in askeri se\u00e7enekler geli\u015ftirdi\u011fini; bunun kara unsurlar\u0131 ve geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 bir bombard\u0131man kampanyas\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7erebilece\u011fini yazd\u0131. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fmadaki geli\u015fmeler ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n olas\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n risk i\u015ftah\u0131) i\u00e7in temel belirsizlik kayna\u011f\u0131 olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.\n\nYenilenen riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f Dolar\u2019\u0131 yukar\u0131 itiyor; bu durum 2025\u2019te \u0130ran \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen \u00e7alkant\u0131y\u0131 hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: Dolar\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) bu y\u0131l ilk kez 106,5 seviyesini a\u015ft\u0131; bu da g\u00fcvenli limana ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131 (riskten uzakla\u015f\u0131p daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme) g\u00f6steriyor. Ayn\u0131 anda petrol fiyatlar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrederken k\u00fcresel hisseler zay\u0131fl\u0131yor.\n\nPiyasa, b\u00fcy\u00fcyen bir enerji arz \u015fokuna tepki veriyor. WTI ham petrol vadeli i\u015flemleri (gelecekteki teslimat i\u00e7in bug\u00fcnden fiyat\u0131 belirlenen petrol kontrat\u0131) Basra K\u00f6rfezi\u2019nde yeni arz kesintisi endi\u015feleriyle varil ba\u015f\u0131na 90 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX: S&#038;P 500 i\u00e7in beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d) 20\u2019ye do\u011fru y\u00fckseliyor; bu, piyasa belirsizli\u011finin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bu seviye, 2025\u2019teki sava\u015f\u0131n zirvesinde g\u00f6r\u00fclen 30+ d\u00fczeyi kadar olmasa da, y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimi olumsuz.\n\nBu tablo riskli varl\u0131klar i\u00e7in sert bir kombinasyon. B\u00fcy\u00fck merkez bankalar\u0131, yap\u0131\u015fkan enflasyonla (kolay d\u00fc\u015fmeyen fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131) m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faizleri uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutmaya kararl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvili faizi (10 y\u0131ll\u0131k getirisi) yeniden %4,5\u2019in \u00fczerine y\u00f6nelirken, artan bor\u00e7lanma maliyetleri zaten zorlanan \u015firket ve kamu finansman\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu ortam, piyasa stresi d\u00f6nemlerinde Dolarla fonlama ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak para biriminde bir taban (a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayan destek) olu\u015fturuyor.\n\n<h3>Pozisyonlanma ve Risk Y\u00f6netimi<\/h3>\n\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan strateji, hisselerde olas\u0131 ek d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 koruma almak olabilir; bunun i\u00e7in S&#038;P 500 gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck endekslerde sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) sat\u0131n almak tercih edilebilir. Ayn\u0131 zamanda risk ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131na duyarl\u0131 para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda vadeli i\u015flemler (futures: ileri tarihte al\u0131m-sat\u0131m taahh\u00fcd\u00fc veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) veya al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call: fiyat y\u00fckselirse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) ile ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019nda uzun pozisyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisiyle pozisyon) f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n kendisi de k\u00e2rl\u0131 bir i\u015flem konusu olabilir; VIX al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131, piyasa korkusundaki art\u0131\u015fa do\u011frudan pozisyon alman\u0131n bir yolunu sunar.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jeopolitik tansiyon y\u00fckseliyor: \u0130ran \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131yla riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f h\u0131zland\u0131, petrol 90 dolar\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcnde. K\u00fcresel hisse-tahvil zay\u0131f, DXY 106,5\u2019i a\u015ft\u0131. Y\u00fcksek faizler, artan bor\u00e7lanma maliyeti dolar\u0131 destekliyor. Put, dolar long, VIX opsiyonlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31240","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31240","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31240"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31240\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31240"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31240"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31240"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}