{"id":31232,"date":"2026-03-26T13:04:08","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T13:04:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/eur-usd-116nin-altina-geriledi-ecbden-sahin-mesajlarin-destegi-zayifladi-risk-istahi-guclu-petrol-onculugunde-korfezde-sakinlesme-gerekli\/"},"modified":"2026-03-26T13:04:08","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T13:04:08","slug":"eur-usd-116nin-altina-geriledi-ecbden-sahin-mesajlarin-destegi-zayifladi-risk-istahi-guclu-petrol-onculugunde-korfezde-sakinlesme-gerekli","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/eur-usd-116nin-altina-geriledi-ecbden-sahin-mesajlarin-destegi-zayifladi-risk-istahi-guclu-petrol-onculugunde-korfezde-sakinlesme-gerekli\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD 1,16\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na geriledi; ECB\u2019den \u015fahin mesajlar\u0131n deste\u011fi zay\u0131flad\u0131, risk i\u015ftah\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, petrol \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde K\u00f6rfez\u2019de sakinle\u015fme gerekli"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc risk i\u015ftah\u0131na ra\u011fmen yeniden 1,16\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na indi. Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) beklenmedik \u015fekilde \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na daha yak\u0131n) mesajlar\u0131yla gelen erken y\u00fckseli\u015fin bir k\u0131sm\u0131 geri verildi. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce piyasa, Fed\u2019e (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) k\u0131yasla ECB\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik faiz beklentilerini daha sert g\u00fcncelledi.\n\nPiyasan\u0131n nisan ay\u0131 i\u00e7in ECB faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini \u201cfiyatlamas\u0131\u201d (vadeli i\u015flemler ve faiz \u00fcr\u00fcnleri \u00fczerinden olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131\/etkiyi yans\u0131tmas\u0131) petrol\u00fc yak\u0131ndan takip ederek geri \u00e7ekildi. Pazartesi 22 baz puana (bp; baz puan, y\u00fczde 0,01) kadar \u00e7\u0131kan beklenti 14 bp\u2019ye indi, ard\u0131ndan 17 bp\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi.\n\n

ECB Mesajlar\u0131 ve Piyasan\u0131n Yeniden Fiyatlamas\u0131<\/h3>\nECB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Christine Lagarde, merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n \u201cteredd\u00fct\u201d nedeniyle geri durmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Ayr\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda, \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na daha uzak, daha gev\u015fek politika yanl\u0131s\u0131) \u00fcye Villeroy ise faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n zamanlamas\u0131n\u0131 konu\u015fmak i\u00e7in erken oldu\u011funu belirterek itiraz etti.\n\nSon EUR\/USD y\u00fckseli\u015finin, K\u00f6rfez\u2019de net bir gerilimin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fclmezse k\u0131r\u0131lgan oldu\u011fu; paritede 1,1500\u2019nin alt\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn olas\u0131 oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor. Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde \u00f6nemli bir veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklenmiyor; ECB yetkilileri Guindos ve Muller\u2019\u0131n konu\u015fmalar\u0131 takip edilecek.\n\nT\u00fcrev (opsiyon ve vadeli i\u015flemler gibi) piyasa yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n dikkat etmesi gereken tan\u0131d\u0131k bir tablo g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. 2025\u2019te de ECB\u2019den gelen s\u00fcrpriz \u201c\u015fahin\u201d y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015fimi, enerji piyasalar\u0131 hareket edince h\u0131zla geri al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu y\u00fckseli\u015f zay\u0131f kalm\u0131\u015f ve 1,1600 \u00fczerinde tutunamam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.\n\nEuro, ge\u00e7en hafta 1,1020\u2019ye do\u011fru y\u00fckseldi. \u015eubat Euro B\u00f6lgesi HICP (uyumla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f t\u00fcketici enflasyonu; \u00fclkeler aras\u0131 k\u0131yas i\u00e7in standartla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) verisi beklenenden y\u00fcksek gelerek %2,8\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bunun \u00fczerine piyasa, 2026 i\u00e7in olas\u0131 ECB faiz indirimlerini bir s\u00fcreli\u011fine g\u00fcndemden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. Ancak bu beklentiler zay\u0131flay\u0131nca kur tekrar 1,0950 civar\u0131na indi.\n\nBu k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131n yeniden enerji fiyatlar\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Avrupa do\u011fal gaz vadeli i\u015flemleri (gelecekteki teslimat i\u00e7in bug\u00fcnden fiyatlanan kontratlar) son bir haftada %15\u2019ten fazla geriledi; bu da enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131yor. Sonu\u00e7 olarak piyasa ECB indirimlerini yeniden fiyatlamaya ba\u015fl\u0131yor; bu dinamik euro \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kuruyor. ECB y\u00f6netiminden gelen temkinli a\u00e7\u0131klamalar da bu \u201cg\u00fcvercin yeniden fiyatlamay\u0131\u201d destekliyor.\n\n

Y\u00fckseli\u015fi S\u0131n\u0131rlayan T\u00fcrev Pozisyonlanma<\/h3>\nBu tablo, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in son y\u00fckseli\u015fin yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinden \u00e7ok sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. EUR\/USD\u2019de 1,0900 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike; opsiyonda hakk\u0131n kullan\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 kur seviyesi) sat\u0131m (put; kur d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) opsiyonu almak, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 1,0850 destek seviyesine do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilmeye kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon almak i\u00e7in daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilir. Bu, 2025\u2019teki gibi ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z bir ralli tekrarlan\u0131rsa a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n riskine kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flar.\n\nFed\u2019in istikrarl\u0131 duru\u015fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, ECB taraf\u0131nda \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d beklenti g\u00fcncellemelerinin parite \u00fczerinde daha belirgin etkisi olabilir. Bu nedenle, \u201cparan\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda\u201d (out-of-the-money; mevcut kurun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalan, bug\u00fcn kullan\u0131lsa k\u00e2r sa\u011flamayan) al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 satmak veya ay\u0131 call spread\u2019i (daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call sat\u0131lan; y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kal\u0131rsa kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen strateji) kurmak, euronun y\u00fckseli\u015finin 1,1020 zirvesi civar\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcndekiler i\u00e7in \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir. Bu sayede yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131, y\u00fckseli\u015fin bitti\u011fi varsay\u0131m\u0131yla opsiyon primi (opsiyon bedeli) toplayabilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Euroda alarm: EUR\/USD 1,16 alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131. ECB\u2019nin \u015fahin sinyali petrol ve gaz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyle h\u0131zla t\u00f6rp\u00fclendi; piyasa nisan art\u0131\u015f ihtimalini geri \u00e7ekti. T\u00fcrev pozisyonlanma ralli yerine sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31232","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31232","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31232"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31232\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31232"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31232"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31232"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}