{"id":31206,"date":"2026-03-26T07:08:14","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T07:08:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/temkinli-islemler-iranin-abdnin-ateskes-teklifini-reddetmesinin-ardindan-asya-seansinda-nzd-usd-paritesini-05800e-yakin-tutuyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-26T07:08:14","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T07:08:14","slug":"temkinli-islemler-iranin-abdnin-ateskes-teklifini-reddetmesinin-ardindan-asya-seansinda-nzd-usd-paritesini-05800e-yakin-tutuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/temkinli-islemler-iranin-abdnin-ateskes-teklifini-reddetmesinin-ardindan-asya-seansinda-nzd-usd-paritesini-05800e-yakin-tutuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Temkinli i\u015flemler, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ABD\u2019nin ate\u015fkes teklifini reddetmesinin ard\u0131ndan Asya seans\u0131nda NZD\/USD paritesini 0,5800\u2019e yak\u0131n tutuyor"},"content":{"rendered":"NZD\/USD, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya seans\u0131nda Yeni Zelanda Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Kiwi) zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla 0,5800 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Hareket, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ABD\u2019nin ate\u015fkes \u00f6nerisini ve ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019la ili\u015fkilendirilen 15 maddelik uzla\u015fma plan\u0131n\u0131 reddetmesinin ard\u0131ndan geldi.\n\n\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Fars haber ajans\u0131, Tahran\u2019\u0131n mevcut ko\u015fullarda ate\u015fkes ve g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri uygulanabilir g\u00f6rmedi\u011fini bildirdi. The Wall Street Journal ise \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n do\u011frudan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler \u00f6ncesinde baz\u0131 \u015fartlar\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131lanmas\u0131n\u0131 istedi\u011fini aktard\u0131. Buna g\u00f6re \u0130ran; K\u00f6rfez\u2019deki t\u00fcm ABD \u00fcslerinin kapat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131, tazminat \u00f6denmesini, t\u00fcm yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131, f\u00fcze program\u0131n\u0131 (\u00fclkenin roket\/f\u00fcze kapasitesi) k\u0131s\u0131tlama olmadan s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeyi ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerindeki otoritesinin tan\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 talep ediyor.\n\nSava\u015f ihtimalinin s\u00fcrmesi, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (riskli d\u00f6nemlerde tercih edilen varl\u0131k\/para) olarak ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na y\u00f6nelmesine neden oldu. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY)\u2014dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge\u201499,65 civar\u0131nda kald\u0131 ve \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015flere yak\u0131n seyretti.\n\nABD Dolar\u0131, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) bu y\u0131l daha \u201cgev\u015fek\u201d bir para politikas\u0131na (faiz indirimlerine ve daha kolay finansman ko\u015fullar\u0131na) ge\u00e7meyece\u011fi beklentisinden de destek buldu. Yeni Zelanda\u2019da ise Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBNZ) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Anna Breman, politikan\u0131n her iki y\u00f6ne de kayabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi; faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 da faiz indirimini de d\u0131\u015flamad\u0131.\n\nArtan jeopolitik belirsizlik nedeniyle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131nda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert dalgalanmas\u0131) artmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemesi gerekiyor. 2025\u2019teki gerilim d\u00f6neminde d\u00f6viz oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 endeksleri %15\u2019in \u00fczerinde y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. Benzer \u015fekilde VIX endeksi\u2014ABD borsas\u0131nda \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d olarak da bilinen, beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge\u20142022\u2019deki ilk jeopolitik \u015foklarda bir haftada %45\u2019ten fazla s\u0131\u00e7ram\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu ortamda \u201cstraddle\u201d gibi opsiyon stratejileri (ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu almak), y\u00f6n fark etmeksizin b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketinden kazan\u00e7 hedefledi\u011fi i\u00e7in \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n\nTemel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, Kiwi\u2019ye k\u0131yasla ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 desteklemeye devam ediyor. 2025\u2019te Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015fu, RBNZ\u2019nin belirsizli\u011fiyle z\u0131tla\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131; benzer ayr\u0131\u015fma yeniden g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. ABD\u2019de \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) %2,6\u2019ya gerilerken, Yeni Zelanda\u2019n\u0131n son \u00e7eyreklik T\u00dcFE\u2019si (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi) %3,9 ile y\u00fcksek kal\u0131yor. Bu tablo, NZD\/USD\u2019de vadeli i\u015flemler (futures: ileri tarihli al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmeleri) \u00fczerinden k\u0131sa pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 veya sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon) almay\u0131 daha mant\u0131kl\u0131 bir yakla\u015f\u0131m haline getiriyor.\n\n0,5800 seviyesi yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli; bu seviye 2023 sonu ve 2025 gerilimleri boyunca parite i\u00e7in kritik bir destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerde al\u0131mlar\u0131n geldi\u011fi seviye) olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, otomatik sat\u0131\u015f emirlerinin (belirli ko\u015ful ger\u00e7ekle\u015fince devreye giren algoritmik emirler) devreye girmesiyle 0,5650 b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc tetikleyebilir. Bu nedenle 0,5800 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, k\u0131sa pozisyonlar\u0131 art\u0131rmak i\u00e7in teyit sinyali olarak kullan\u0131labilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jeopolitik risk NZD\/USD\u2019yi 0,5800\u2019e bast\u0131rd\u0131: \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ate\u015fkesi reddi dolara g\u00fcvenli liman talebi getirdi. Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 Kiwi\u2019yi zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. 0,5800 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,5650 g\u00fcndeme geliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31206","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31206","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31206"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31206\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31206"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31206"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31206"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}