{"id":31205,"date":"2026-03-26T07:07:24","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T07:07:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/orta-doguda-baris-umutlariyla-gumus-asya-seansindaki-onceki-kayiplarin-ardindan-72-dolar-civarinda-islem-goruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-26T07:07:24","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T07:07:24","slug":"orta-doguda-baris-umutlariyla-gumus-asya-seansindaki-onceki-kayiplarin-ardindan-72-dolar-civarinda-islem-goruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/orta-doguda-baris-umutlariyla-gumus-asya-seansindaki-onceki-kayiplarin-ardindan-72-dolar-civarinda-islem-goruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da bar\u0131\u015f umutlar\u0131yla g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, Asya seans\u0131ndaki \u00f6nceki kay\u0131plar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 72 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f (XAG\/USD), \u00f6nceki g\u00fcnk\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kay\u0131plar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde yakla\u015f\u0131k 71,50 dolara y\u00fckseldi. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da gerilimin d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fi umutlar\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 olarak petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n gerilemesi, enflasyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131) endi\u015felerini ve ek faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentilerini azaltt\u0131. Bu durum, faiz getirisi olmayan (elde tutana faiz \u00f6demeyen) g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fc destekledi.\n\nBeyaz Saray, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin h\u00e2l\u00e2 s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Haberlere g\u00f6re Trump y\u00f6netimi Pakistan \u00fczerinden \u0130ran\u2019a 15 maddelik bir \u00f6neri iletti. \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililer teklifi inceliyor ancak Washington\u2019la g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeye haz\u0131r olduklar\u0131na dair bir i\u015faret vermedi; Tahran ayr\u0131ca ABD\u2019nin ate\u015fkes teklifini reddedece\u011fini duyurdu.\n\n\u0130ran ise bunun yerine, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinde egemen kontrol (bo\u011faz \u00fczerinde tam yetki) i\u00e7eren be\u015f maddelik bir plan \u00f6nerdi. ABD ve \u0130ran\u2019dan gelen \u00e7eli\u015fkili mesajlar, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 temkinli tuttu ve finansal piyasalar\u0131 tedirgin etmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc.\n\nABD ayr\u0131ca Orta Do\u011fu\u2019ya binlerce asker konu\u015fland\u0131rma (asker sevkiyat\u0131) emri verdi. Bu geli\u015fme, olas\u0131 bir kara harek\u00e2t\u0131 (karadan askeri operasyon) ihtimaline y\u00f6nelik endi\u015feleri art\u0131rd\u0131. G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f bu ay, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 aksakl\u0131klar nedeniyle enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi sonucu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc; bu da enflasyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak b\u00fcy\u00fck merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131 daha \u015fahin (faizleri art\u0131rmaya daha yatk\u0131n) bir duru\u015fa itti.\n\nTD Securities, petrol \u015fokundan (petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda ani sert hareket) gelen kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyallerin, ABD ekonomisi d\u00fczensiz seyrederken Fed\u2019i zorlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Kurum, Fed\u2019in yak\u0131n vadede beklemede kalmas\u0131n\u0131, ko\u015fullar uygun olursa 2026\u2019n\u0131n daha ileri d\u00f6nemlerinde faiz indirimi (faizleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme) ihtimalini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.\n\nABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerindeki mevcut tablo, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f i\u00e7in \u201cikili sonu\u00e7\u201d (ya iyi ya k\u00f6t\u00fc gibi iki u\u00e7 senaryo) riskini art\u0131r\u0131yor ve piyasay\u0131 opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n alan\u0131na \u00e7eviriyor. G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f fiyat\u0131n\u0131n (yakla\u015f\u0131k 71,50 dolar) petrol piyasas\u0131 alg\u0131s\u0131na ve gerilimin d\u00fc\u015fmesi ihtimaline do\u011frudan ba\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u00d6ne \u00e7\u0131kan unsur, sert bir fiyat hareketinin olas\u0131 olmas\u0131; ancak y\u00f6n\u00fcn belirsiz kalmas\u0131.\n\nBu gerilim, t\u00fcrev piyasalarda (fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnler: opsiyon, vadeli i\u015flem gibi) da net bi\u00e7imde izleniyor; z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi beklenen fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) y\u00fcksek. CBOE Silver Volatility Index (VXSLV), 45 seviyelerine yak\u0131n i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; bu de\u011fer, tarihsel ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde ve piyasan\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir hareketi fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Brent petrol\u00fcn (uluslararas\u0131 petrol g\u00f6stergesi) bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi umutlar\u0131yla varil ba\u015f\u0131na 155 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinden 115 dolar civar\u0131na gerilemesi, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn toparlanmas\u0131ndaki temel etken olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n\nY\u00f6n tahmini yapmak yerine, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar oynakl\u0131k sat\u0131n almay\u0131 (fiyat\u0131n hangi y\u00f6ne gidece\u011finden \u00e7ok sert hareket edece\u011fine oynamak) de\u011ferlendirebilir. G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f vadeli i\u015flemleri (gelecekte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) veya ETF\u2019ler (borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren yat\u0131r\u0131m fonu) \u00fczerinde uzun straddle ya da strangle (ayn\u0131 vadede al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu kombinasyonlar\u0131; biri paraya yak\u0131n, di\u011feri daha uzak seviyelerden) stratejileri, bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131yla yukar\u0131 ya da askeri \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n netle\u015fmesiyle a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc sert k\u0131r\u0131lmada kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, belirsizli\u011fin kendisinden yararlan\u0131r ve jeopolitik sonucun do\u011fru tahmin edilmesi ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131r.\n\n2025\u2019te enerji kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131n\u0131n (enerjinin fiyatlar\u0131 yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekmesi) merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131 \u015fahin d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe zorlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve bunun de\u011ferli metalleri bask\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u015eimdi ise piyasa h\u0131zla yeniden fiyatl\u0131yor; Fed Funds vadeli i\u015flemleri (Fed politika faizi beklentisini yans\u0131tan s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler), \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fe kadar faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %40 olarak i\u015faret ediyor; iki hafta \u00f6nce bu oran %15\u2019ti. Bu hassasiyet, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019dan gelecek her haberin faiz beklentilerine ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f fiyat\u0131na h\u0131zla yans\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f 71,50 dolara y\u00fckseldi: Brent\u2019in 155\u2019ten 115\u2019e d\u00fc\u015fmesi enflasyon\/\u015fahin Fed bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azaltt\u0131. Ancak ABD\u2011\u0130ran belirsizli\u011fi z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 45\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131; piyasada sert hareket, y\u00f6n belirsiz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31205","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31205","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31205"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31205\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31205"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31205"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31205"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}