{"id":31203,"date":"2026-03-26T07:04:25","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T07:04:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/orta-dogudaki-catismaya-iliskin-belirsizlik-surerken-usd-cad-dort-gunluk-yukselisini-uzatti-13830a-yaklasarak-iki-ayin-zirvesini-gordu\/"},"modified":"2026-03-26T07:04:25","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T07:04:25","slug":"orta-dogudaki-catismaya-iliskin-belirsizlik-surerken-usd-cad-dort-gunluk-yukselisini-uzatti-13830a-yaklasarak-iki-ayin-zirvesini-gordu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/orta-dogudaki-catismaya-iliskin-belirsizlik-surerken-usd-cad-dort-gunluk-yukselisini-uzatti-13830a-yaklasarak-iki-ayin-zirvesini-gordu\/","title":{"rendered":"Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya ili\u015fkin belirsizlik s\u00fcrerken USD\/CAD d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fini uzatt\u0131; 1,3830\u2019a yakla\u015farak iki ay\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc."},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/CAD paritesi Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00fcst \u00fcste d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc kez y\u00fckselerek Asya seans\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3830 seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu, son iki ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesi oldu.\n\nHareketin arkas\u0131nda, ABD, \u0130srail ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 i\u00e7eren Orta Do\u011fu sava\u015f\u0131na ili\u015fkin belirsizlik nedeniyle ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi vard\u0131. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) (dolar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 genel g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endeks) 99,65 civar\u0131nda seyretti ve \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 korudu.\n\n<h3>Jeopolitik Belirsizlik Dolar Talebini Art\u0131r\u0131yor<\/h3>\n\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ABD ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere do\u011frudan dahil olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemesinin ard\u0131ndan ABD dolar\u0131na talep g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131. Reuters\u2019a g\u00f6re \u0130ran, Pakistan arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla iletilen bir ayl\u0131k ate\u015fkes \u00f6nerisi ile 15 maddelik uzla\u015fma plan\u0131n\u0131 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 buldu ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinde egemenlik talep etti.\n\n\u00dcst d\u00fczey bir \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkili, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler ilerlerse Pakistan veya T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de yap\u0131labilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Piyasa fiyatlamalar\u0131 ayr\u0131ca, daha y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyon beklentilerini yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekmesi nedeniyle ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) bu y\u0131l faiz indirmeyece\u011fi beklentisini yans\u0131tt\u0131. (Enflasyon beklentisi: piyasalar\u0131n gelecekte fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ne kadar olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rmesi.)\n\nKanada dolar\u0131, risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) zay\u0131f kalmas\u0131yla, antipodlar (Avustralya ve Yeni Zelanda para birimleri gibi) hari\u00e7 bir\u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimine kar\u015f\u0131 geride kald\u0131. Kanada\u2019n\u0131n net petrol ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 olmas\u0131 (ithal etti\u011finden daha fazla petrol satmas\u0131), arz kesintisiyle y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n genel olarak Kanada dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyebilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor.\n\n<h3>Petrol\u00fcn Etkisi Neden Yeniden \u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kabilir<\/h3>\nGe\u00e7mi\u015f veriler, USD\/CAD ile petrol fiyatlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki bu t\u00fcr ayr\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n (normalde birlikte hareket etmesi beklenen iki g\u00f6sterge aras\u0131nda ge\u00e7ici kopma) genellikle kal\u0131c\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. 2022\u2019de enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki s\u0131\u00e7ramaya bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ilk gecikmenin ard\u0131ndan Kanada dolar\u0131n\u0131n, d\u0131\u015f ticaret ko\u015fullar\u0131 (\u00fclkenin ihracat fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ithalat fiyatlar\u0131na g\u00f6re durumu) iyile\u015ftik\u00e7e ABD dolar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 belirgin \u015fekilde g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.\n\nBug\u00fcn, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) ham petrol\u00fc (ABD referans ham petrol fiyat\u0131) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kal\u0131rken, bu temel destek Kanada dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in daha g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr hale geliyor. Mart 2026 ba\u015f\u0131na ait son istatistikler, Kanada\u2019n\u0131n enerji ihracat\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re %9 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bunun \u00fclkenin d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesini (ihracat-ithalat fark\u0131) do\u011frudan destekledi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu da Kanada dolar\u0131na g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir destek sa\u011fl\u0131yor.\n\nFed\u2019in yava\u015f ve veriye ba\u011fl\u0131 (kararlar\u0131n ekonomik verilerle \u015fekillendi\u011fi) bir yakla\u015f\u0131m izledi\u011fi ortamda, Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoC) ise inat\u00e7\u0131 i\u00e7 enflasyon nedeniyle faiz indirimi i\u00e7in daha az alan oldu\u011funa i\u015faret etti. Bu durum, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n faiz avantaj\u0131n\u0131 daralt\u0131yor. ABD\u2019de i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n %4,1 olmas\u0131 Fed\u2019in acele etmesi i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir neden yaratm\u0131yor ve politika g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc daha istikrarl\u0131 k\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu nedenle pariteyi etkileyen ana unsur tekrar emtia fiyatlar\u0131na, \u00f6zellikle petrole kay\u0131yor.\n\nBu tabloya g\u00f6re yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda USD\/CAD\u2019de y\u00fckseli\u015fin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131ndan fayda sa\u011flayan stratejileri de\u011ferlendirebilir. Paritede \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (mevcut fiyattan daha yukar\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131) al\u0131m opsiyonu spread\u2019i satmak, prim (opsiyon sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda al\u0131nan gelir) toplamaya imkan verirken riski tan\u0131mlar. Bu strateji, paritenin yatay kalmas\u0131 veya gerilemesi halinde k\u00e2r sa\u011flar. Ayr\u0131ca g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc petrol dinamiklerinin, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n Kanada dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda sert y\u00fckseli\u015flerini s\u0131n\u0131rlayaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyle uyumludur.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CAD d\u00f6rt g\u00fcn \u00fcst \u00fcste y\u00fckselip 1,3830 ile iki ay\u0131n zirvesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Orta Do\u011fu belirsizli\u011fi dolar\u0131 besliyor; ancak 85$ \u00fczeri petrol ve BoC duru\u015fu CAD\u2019\u0131 destekleyip y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31203","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31203","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31203"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31203\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31203"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31203"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31203"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}