{"id":31188,"date":"2026-03-26T03:03:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T03:03:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-chf-ikinci-seansta-da-yukseliste-045-artisla-07900-uzerindeki-100-gunluk-hodan-toparlanarak-200-gunluk-hoyu-hedefliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-26T03:03:12","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T03:03:12","slug":"usd-chf-ikinci-seansta-da-yukseliste-045-artisla-07900-uzerindeki-100-gunluk-hodan-toparlanarak-200-gunluk-hoyu-hedefliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-chf-ikinci-seansta-da-yukseliste-045-artisla-07900-uzerindeki-100-gunluk-hodan-toparlanarak-200-gunluk-hoyu-hedefliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/CHF ikinci seansta da y\u00fckseli\u015fte: %0,45 art\u0131\u015fla 0,7900 \u00fczerindeki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck HO\u2019dan toparlanarak 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck HO\u2019yu hedefliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/CHF \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc ikinci g\u00fcn \u00fcst \u00fcste y\u00fckseldi. 0,7900\u2019un hemen \u00fczerindeki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck **basit hareketli ortalamadan (SMA: belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ortalama fiyat\u0131)** destek al\u0131p toparland\u0131ktan sonra yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,45 de\u011fer kazand\u0131. Parite 0,7915 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, ABD Dolar\u0131 **jeopolitik belirsizlik (\u00fclkeler aras\u0131 gerilim ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 risk)** ile destek buldu.\n\nParite, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki sava\u015fla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 net bir tetikleyici olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00e7o\u011funlukla yatay seyretti. Son iki g\u00fcnde 0,7946\u2019daki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019ya do\u011fru y\u00fckseldi. Bu seviye, 0,8000\u2019e giden yolda **diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran seviye)** g\u00f6revi g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.\n\n**RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge)** 50\u2019nin \u00fczerinde ve **a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine (fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede fazla y\u00fckselmi\u015f olabilece\u011fi alan)** do\u011fru ilerliyor; bu da yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmenin g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. 0,7946\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde odak 0,8000\u2019e, ard\u0131ndan **YTD zirvesi (y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bug\u00fcne en y\u00fcksek seviye)** olan 0,8040\u2019a kayar.\n\n0,8040 a\u015f\u0131l\u0131rsa bir sonraki diren\u00e7, 5 Kas\u0131m\u2019daki **swing zirvesi (k\u0131sa\/orta vadeli tepe)** olan 0,8124 olur.\n\nBug\u00fcn itibar\u0131yla (26 Mart 2026) temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, **merkez bankas\u0131 politikas\u0131 ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na (\u00fclkelerin faiz ve para politikas\u0131n\u0131n farkl\u0131 y\u00f6nlere gitmesi)** kaym\u0131\u015f durumda. \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131 (SNB) ge\u00e7en hafta s\u00fcrpriz bir \u015fekilde faizi **25 baz puan (0,25 y\u00fczde puan)** indirdi. Bu ad\u0131m frank\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131rken, SNB\u2019yi politikay\u0131 gev\u015feten ilk b\u00fcy\u00fck merkez bankas\u0131 konumuna ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. ABD\u2019de ise son enflasyon verisi %2,8 ile y\u00fcksek kald\u0131; bu da Fed\u2019in faizleri daha uzun s\u00fcre sabit tutabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nBu politika fark\u0131, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda USD\/CHF\u2019te yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Nisan sonu veya May\u0131s vadeli **al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli bir fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme)** almak, beklenen y\u00fckseli\u015fe **tan\u0131ml\u0131 riskle (maksimum zarar \u00f6nceden belli)** kat\u0131lman\u0131n bir yolu. Mevcut **\u00f6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma)** yakla\u015f\u0131k %7,2 iken, 0,8350 civar\u0131ndaki **kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun hedef fiyat\u0131)** y\u0131l i\u00e7i zirvelerin yeniden test edilmesi ihtimali i\u00e7in cazip g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CHF iki g\u00fcn y\u00fckseldi: 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019dan g\u00fc\u00e7 al\u0131p 0,7915\u2019te. Jeopolitik risk ve SNB\u2019nin s\u00fcrpriz indirimi dolar\u0131 destekliyor. 0,7946 a\u015f\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,8000-0,8040 hedef; opsiyonla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 risk.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31188","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31188","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31188"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31188\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31188"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31188"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31188"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}