{"id":31185,"date":"2026-03-26T03:01:27","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T03:01:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abd-hazine-tahvil-faizlerindeki-dusus-ve-olasi-abd-iran-muzakereleri-petrol-fiyatlarini-baskilarken-altin-yaklasik-2-yukseldi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-26T03:01:27","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T03:01:27","slug":"abd-hazine-tahvil-faizlerindeki-dusus-ve-olasi-abd-iran-muzakereleri-petrol-fiyatlarini-baskilarken-altin-yaklasik-2-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-hazine-tahvil-faizlerindeki-dusus-ve-olasi-abd-iran-muzakereleri-petrol-fiyatlarini-baskilarken-altin-yaklasik-2-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD Hazine tahvil faizlerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ve olas\u0131 ABD-\u0130ran m\u00fczakereleri petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131larken alt\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %2 y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD) \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %2 y\u00fckseldi ve 4.556 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Petrol vadeli i\u015flemleri, yakla\u015f\u0131k d\u00f6rt hafta \u00f6nce ba\u015flayan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 bitirmek i\u00e7in ABD\u2013\u0130ran aras\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler olabilece\u011fine dair haberlerle d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.\n\nABD, \u0130ran\u2019a 15 maddelik bir teklif g\u00f6nderdi; g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Pakistan veya T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de ba\u015flayabilece\u011fi konu\u015fuluyor. \u0130ran medyas\u0131 teklifin reddedildi\u011fini yazarken, di\u011fer kaynaklar \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc daha sonra yan\u0131t verece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.\n\n<h3>Dolar, Tahvil Faizleri ve Alt\u0131n<\/h3>\nABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY)\u2014dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endeks\u2014yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,40 y\u00fckselerek 99,55\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k Hazine tahvili faizi (getiri oran\u0131) 4 baz puan d\u00fc\u015ferek %4,328\u2019e indi; bu durum alt\u0131n\u0131 destekledi.\n\nZay\u0131f ge\u00e7en ABD 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil ihalesi (Hazine\u2019nin bor\u00e7lanmak i\u00e7in tahvil sat\u0131\u015f\u0131) 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k faizi %3,936\u2019ya do\u011fru itti. ABD ithalat fiyatlar\u0131 \u015eubat\u2019ta %1,3 artt\u0131; bu, Mart 2022\u2019den bu yana en b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015f. Piyasa beklentisi %0,5\u2019ti. Ocak art\u0131\u015f\u0131 %0,2 idi.\n\nPiyasalar, 2026\u2019da Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) faiz indirimi beklentilerini sildi ve 4 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatlad\u0131. Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc takvimde 21 Mart\u2019ta biten haftaya ait ABD haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 (Initial Jobless Claims\u2014i\u015fsiz kalanlar\u0131n ilk yard\u0131m ba\u015fvurular\u0131) ve Cook, Miran, Jefferson, Logan ve Barr\u2019\u0131n konu\u015fmalar\u0131 var.\n\nTeknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde alt\u0131n, 100 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA (basit hareketli ortalama: belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki fiyatlar\u0131n ortalamas\u0131) aras\u0131nda yatay. 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019ya yak\u0131n 4.083 dolar civar\u0131 destek \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u0130zlenen seviyeler: 4.592, 4.600, 4.961, 4.500, 4.305 ve 4.098 dolar.\n\n<h3>K\u0131ymetli Metalde Z\u0131t Etkenler<\/h3>\nPiyasa alt\u0131n i\u00e7in iki z\u0131t y\u00f6nde \u00e7ekiliyor. ABD\u2013\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi ihtimali, alt\u0131n\u0131n \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (kriz d\u00f6neminde talep g\u00f6ren varl\u0131k) \u00f6zelli\u011fini zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n kolay d\u00fc\u015fmemesi) alt\u0131na tabandan destek veriyor. Bu tablo, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda sert fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131n (volatilite: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve geni\u015f aral\u0131kta oynamas\u0131) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nAna konu enflasyon. \u015eubat ay\u0131 ABD ithalat fiyatlar\u0131 Mart 2022\u2019den bu yana en sert art\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. \u015eubat 2026 T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) verisi de beklentinin \u00fczerinde %3,5 gelerek fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Sonu\u00e7 olarak yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar 2026 i\u00e7in Fed faiz indirimi senaryosunu tamamen \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131; ek s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma (faizin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 veya finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131 kalmas\u0131) ihtimalini \u00f6ne ald\u0131.\n\nPetrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, tansiyonun d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fi umuduna ba\u011flan\u0131yor. Bu durum risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) ge\u00e7ici olarak art\u0131r\u0131r ve alt\u0131n i\u00e7in olumsuz r\u00fczg\u00e2r yarat\u0131r. Ancak \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n herhangi bir teklife resmen \u201cevet\u201d demedi\u011fi unutulmamal\u0131. Olumsuz bir haber hem petrol hem alt\u0131nda h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015fimine yol a\u00e7abilir. Bu nedenle alt\u0131nda do\u011frudan \u201ck\u0131sa pozisyon\u201d (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen i\u015flem) ta\u015f\u0131mak riskli.\n\nAlt\u0131n, 100 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamalar aras\u0131nda yatay seyretti\u011fi i\u00e7in bu yatayl\u0131ktan faydalanan stratejiler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, opsiyonlarda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 satmay\u0131 (opsiyon primi toplamak i\u00e7in volatiliteye kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon almak) hedefleyen \u201ciron condor\u201d gibi stratejileri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, kabaca 4.100\u20134.600 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hedeflenen bant olarak tan\u0131mlar. Bu seviyelerin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u015fekilde k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, pozisyonlar\u0131 kapat\u0131p yeni y\u00f6ne uyum sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in sinyal say\u0131l\u0131r.\n\nBu hafta Fed yetkililerinin konu\u015fmalar\u0131 piyasa y\u00f6n\u00fc i\u00e7in kritik. Son enflasyon verileri nedeniyle \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na\/mevcut s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015fa yak\u0131n) mesajlar gelebilir; bu da dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar, alt\u0131n\u0131 4.305 dolara yak\u0131n son dip seviyesini test etmeye itebilir.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131n<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alt\u0131n %2 s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131, g\u00f6zler ABD\u2013\u0130ran temas\u0131nda: ons 4.556 dolarda. Dolar g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken tahvil faizleri geriledi. Enflasyon \u015foku Fed indirimi rafa kald\u0131rd\u0131; 4.100\u20134.600 band\u0131nda sert volatilite kap\u0131da.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31185","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31185","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31185"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31185\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31185"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31185"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31185"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}