{"id":31175,"date":"2026-03-26T00:02:40","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T00:02:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/aud-usd-karisik-avustralya-enflasyon-verileri-petrol-volatilitesi-ve-rba-beklentilerinin-yatirimcilari-tedirgin-etmesiyle-06960-civarinda-seyrediyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-26T00:02:40","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T00:02:40","slug":"aud-usd-karisik-avustralya-enflasyon-verileri-petrol-volatilitesi-ve-rba-beklentilerinin-yatirimcilari-tedirgin-etmesiyle-06960-civarinda-seyrediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/aud-usd-karisik-avustralya-enflasyon-verileri-petrol-volatilitesi-ve-rba-beklentilerinin-yatirimcilari-tedirgin-etmesiyle-06960-civarinda-seyrediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k Avustralya enflasyon verileri, petrol volatilitesi ve RBA beklentilerinin yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 tedirgin etmesiyle 0,6960 civar\u0131nda seyrediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k Avustralya enflasyon verilerini ve k\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131ndaki (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme e\u011filimi) de\u011fi\u015fimi de\u011ferlendirmesiyle 0,6960 b\u00f6lgesine geriledi. Parite, g\u00fcn i\u00e7indeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan k\u0131sa vadede temkinli seyrini koruyarak 0,6962 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131.\n\nAvustralya\u2019da \u015fubat ay\u0131 man\u015fet T\u00dcFE (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi: t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131ndaki genel de\u011fi\u015fim) y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda yakla\u015f\u0131k %3,7\u2019ye geriledi. RBA K\u0131rp\u0131lm\u0131\u015f Ortalama T\u00dcFE (Trimmed Mean: u\u00e7 de\u011ferleri d\u0131\u015flayarak hesaplanan, daha kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) ayl\u0131k %0,2, y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,3 artt\u0131. Bu da \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun (ge\u00e7ici fiyat hareketlerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f enflasyon) RBA\u2019n\u0131n hedefinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi.\n\n<h3>Key Macro Drivers<\/h3>\n\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 petrol fiyat\u0131 oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131, enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131rd\u0131. Bu durum, RBA\u2019n\u0131n para politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131 (faizlerin y\u00fcksek tutulmas\u0131) tutabilece\u011fi beklentisini desteklerken, ABD Dolar\u0131 da Fed\u2019in temkinli duru\u015fu ve s\u00fcren enflasyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131yla g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131.\n\n4 saatlik grafikte parite, 20 ve 100 periyotluk SMA\u2019lar\u0131n (Basit Hareketli Ortalama: belirli d\u00f6nem fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ortalamas\u0131) alt\u0131nda kald\u0131 ve her iki ortalama da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc seyretti. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 40 civar\u0131nda kald\u0131; bu, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7ok hafif negatif e\u011filime i\u015faret etti.\n\nDiren\u00e7 0,6964 ve 0,6972 seviyelerinde bulunurken, destek 0,6959 ve 0,6944\u2019teydi. 0,6944 alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lma, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn devam\u0131 i\u00e7in tetikleyici olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyordu.\n\nAUD\/USD\u2019nin dar bir bantta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; parite \u00fczerinde birbirine z\u0131t etkenler etkili. Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA) \u015fahin (faizleri y\u00fcksek tutma e\u011filiminde) kalma bask\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda. \u00d6zellikle Brent petrol\u00fcn varil ba\u015f\u0131na 105 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131, enflasyonu yeniden h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir. RBA, politika faizini (cash rate: Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n temel faiz oran\u0131) son d\u00f6rt toplant\u0131da %4,60\u2019ta sabit tuttu; bu da yak\u0131n vadede gev\u015femeye (faiz indirimine) s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 alan oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.\n\n<h3>Strategy And Volatility Setup<\/h3>\n\u015eubat T\u00dcFE\u2019sinin %3,7\u2019ye gerilemesi k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli bir rahatlama sa\u011flasa da artan enerji maliyetleri nedeniyle bunun ge\u00e7ici oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekliyor ve sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. Piyasa \u015fimdilik \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekten \u00f6nce RBA\u2019dan faiz indirimi beklemiyor.\n\nABD taraf\u0131nda ise ABD Dolar\u0131, temkinli bir Fed\u2019den destek buluyor. Son \u00e7ekirdek PCE (Ki\u015fisel T\u00fcketim Harcamalar\u0131 \u00e7ekirdek endeksi: Fed\u2019in izledi\u011fi enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) %3,1 ile Fed\u2019in %2 hedefinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. \u015eubat tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam da (non-farm payrolls: tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerde ayl\u0131k istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131) 250 bin ki\u015fi ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc geldi. Bu veriler, Fed\u2019in faiz indiriminde acele etmeyece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirerek Dolar\u2019\u0131 sa\u011flam tutuyor.\n\nBu temel \u00e7eli\u015fki, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (volatilite: fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve geni\u015f aral\u0131kta de\u011fi\u015fmesi) artabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (opsiyon gibi, de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 finansal ara\u00e7) yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, 0,6972 direncinin alt\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fan paritede olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmadan faydalanabilecek stratejileri de\u011ferlendirmesi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. 0,6944 deste\u011finin alt\u0131nda bir kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131yla (strike price: opsiyonun al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m fiyat\u0131) sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan opsiyon) almak, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn tetikleyece\u011fi olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 daha temkinli bir pozisyon alma yolu olabilir.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD 0,6960\u2019a \u00e7ekildi: Kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k Avustralya T\u00dcFE\u2019si, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve petrol oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n aray\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fckl\u00fcyor. Teknikte SMA\u2019lar a\u015fa\u011f\u0131, kritik e\u015fik 0,6944; k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f h\u0131zlanabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31175","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31175","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31175"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31175\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31175"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31175"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31175"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}