{"id":31169,"date":"2026-03-25T23:01:30","date_gmt":"2026-03-25T23:01:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/petrolun-gerilemesi-ve-iranin-abdnin-ateskes-planini-reddetmesinin-ardindan-altin-hafta-basindaki-dort-ayin-en-dusuk-seviyelerinden-toparlandi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-25T23:01:30","modified_gmt":"2026-03-25T23:01:30","slug":"petrolun-gerilemesi-ve-iranin-abdnin-ateskes-planini-reddetmesinin-ardindan-altin-hafta-basindaki-dort-ayin-en-dusuk-seviyelerinden-toparlandi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/petrolun-gerilemesi-ve-iranin-abdnin-ateskes-planini-reddetmesinin-ardindan-altin-hafta-basindaki-dort-ayin-en-dusuk-seviyelerinden-toparlandi\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrol\u00fcn gerilemesi ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ABD\u2019nin ate\u015fkes plan\u0131n\u0131 reddetmesinin ard\u0131ndan alt\u0131n, hafta ba\u015f\u0131ndaki d\u00f6rt ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerinden toparland\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), haftan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda d\u00f6rt ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckseldi; sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan al\u0131c\u0131lar yeniden piyasaya d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Fiyat, g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yakla\u015f\u0131k %2 art\u0131\u015fla 4.566 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve dokuz g\u00fcnl\u00fck aral\u0131ks\u0131z d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f serisinin ard\u0131ndan \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fi kaydetti.\n\nFiyatlar, ABD-\u0130ran geriliminde diplomatik ad\u0131m beklentilerinin Petrol\u2019\u00fc (ham petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131) son zirvelerden geri \u00e7ekmesiyle g\u00fc\u00e7lendi; bu da k\u0131sa vadeli enflasyon (genel fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) endi\u015felerini azaltt\u0131. \u0130srail\u2019in Channel 12 kanal\u0131na g\u00f6re ABD, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131na (n\u00fckleer faaliyetlerine) s\u0131n\u0131rlamalar ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131k tutulmas\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7eren 15 maddelik bir planla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131, bir ayl\u0131k ate\u015fkes teklif etti; kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yapt\u0131r\u0131mlarda (ekonomik k\u0131s\u0131tlamalarda) gev\u015feme g\u00fcndeme geldi.\n\n<h3>Diplomatik Sinyaller Ve Piyasa Tepkisi<\/h3>\nPress TV\u2019ye g\u00f6re \u0130ran, plan\u0131n sunulu\u015f bi\u00e7imini reddetti ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n bitmesinin \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u015fartlar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. S\u0131ralanan ko\u015fullar aras\u0131nda sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n ve suikastlar\u0131n durmas\u0131, yeniden sava\u015f \u00e7\u0131kmayaca\u011f\u0131na dair g\u00fcvence, zararlar\u0131n tazmini, b\u00f6lgedeki farkl\u0131 cephelerde \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n sona ermesi ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerindeki kontrol\u00fcn kabul\u00fc yer ald\u0131.\n\nWTI (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) bu hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda 100 dolar yak\u0131n\u0131ndan geriledikten sonra 88,00 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; ancak kriz \u00f6ncesi seviyelerin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 ve y\u00fcksek Hazine tahvili getirileri (ABD\u2019nin bor\u00e7lanma faizleri) Alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc.\n\nTeknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde Alt\u0131n, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019den (basit hareketli ortalama: son 200 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131) tepki verdi ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019deki (k\u0131sa vadeli ortalama) dirence yakla\u015ft\u0131. RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi: fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m durumunu g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) 30\u2019un alt\u0131ndan 37 civar\u0131na y\u00fckselirken, MACD (momentum\/trend g\u00f6stergesi) sinyal \u00e7izgisinin ve s\u0131f\u0131r \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. \u0130zlenecek seviyeler: 4.619, 4.968, 5.000, 4.306 ve 4.107 dolar.\n\n<h3>\u0130kili Sonu\u00e7 \u0130\u00e7in Opsiyon Stratejileri<\/h3>\nAte\u015fkesin ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmeye devam edece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler i\u00e7in alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flemlerinde al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak dikkat \u00e7ekici olabilir. 4.619 dolara yak\u0131n 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 bu i\u015flem i\u00e7in tetikleyici say\u0131labilir. Maliyeti s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in bo\u011fa call spread (daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyattan call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek fiyattan call satarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren yap\u0131) kurulabilir; hedef 4.900\u20135.000 dolar diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesi olabilir.\n\nBuna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n sert tutumunun s\u00fcrece\u011fini ve gerilimin t\u0131rmanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrsek, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve y\u00fcksek tahvil getirilerinden gelen bask\u0131 yeniden \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir. Bu senaryoda, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc 4.306 dolar dip seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almak, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n tekrar test edilmesine y\u00f6nelik do\u011frudan bir pozisyon olur. G\u00f6stergeler genel resimde sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fcn) h\u00e2l\u00e2 daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nJeopolitik sonucun \u201cya olacak ya olmayacak\u201d kadar net iki y\u00f6ne a\u00e7\u0131k olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, uzun straddle veya strangle (ayn\u0131 vade i\u00e7in hem call hem put alarak iki y\u00f6nde b\u00fcy\u00fck harekete oynama) daha temkinli bir tercih olabilir. Bu yap\u0131, belirsizlik da\u011f\u0131l\u0131p fiyat g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir harekete ge\u00e7ti\u011finde her iki y\u00f6nde de kazan\u00e7 potansiyeli ta\u015f\u0131r. CBOE Gold Volatility Index (GVZ) (alt\u0131n opsiyonlar\u0131nda beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6steren endeks) ge\u00e7en hafta 24\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131ktan sonra 19,8 civar\u0131nda seyrederek piyasan\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir hareketi fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alt\u0131nda dipten tepki: XAU\/USD d\u00f6rt ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden %2 s\u0131\u00e7ray\u0131p 4.566\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ate\u015fkes beklentisi petrol\u00fc gev\u015fetti. Dolar-getiri bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcrerken kritik e\u015fikler 4.619\/4.306; opsiyonlarda straddle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31169","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31169","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31169"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31169\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31169"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31169"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31169"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}