{"id":31167,"date":"2026-03-25T22:03:17","date_gmt":"2026-03-25T22:03:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abd-iran-arasinda-ateskese-dair-celiskili-haberler-dolari-desteklerken-euro-carsamba-gunu-eur-usd-islemlerinde-zorlaniyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-25T22:03:17","modified_gmt":"2026-03-25T22:03:17","slug":"abd-iran-arasinda-ateskese-dair-celiskili-haberler-dolari-desteklerken-euro-carsamba-gunu-eur-usd-islemlerinde-zorlaniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-iran-arasinda-ateskese-dair-celiskili-haberler-dolari-desteklerken-euro-carsamba-gunu-eur-usd-islemlerinde-zorlaniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD-\u0130ran aras\u0131nda ate\u015fkese dair \u00e7eli\u015fkili haberler Dolar\u2019\u0131 desteklerken, Euro \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc EUR\/USD i\u015flemlerinde zorlan\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"Euro, ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkes giri\u015fimlerine dair \u00e7eli\u015fkili haberlerin etkisiyle g\u00fcvenli liman olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na (Greenback: piyasan\u0131n ABD Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 lakap) kar\u015f\u0131 \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc geriledi. EUR\/USD 1,1585 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rerek yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,20 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) g\u00fcn i\u00e7i 99,07 dip seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 99,40\u2019ta kald\u0131.\n\nABD-\u0130ran hatt\u0131ndaki mesajlar net de\u011fildi. \u0130ran\u2019a yak\u0131n Press TV, Tahran\u2019\u0131n \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 yaln\u0131zca kendi \u015fartlar\u0131yla bitirece\u011fini yazd\u0131. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ko\u015fullar aras\u0131nda sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n ve suikastlar\u0131n durmas\u0131, sava\u015f\u0131n yeniden ba\u015flamayaca\u011f\u0131na dair g\u00fcvence, sava\u015f zararlar\u0131n\u0131n tazmini, b\u00f6lgesel cephelerde \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n sona ermesi ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerindeki kontrol\u00fcn\u00fcn tan\u0131nmas\u0131 yer ald\u0131.\n\n<h3>Ate\u015fkes G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri ve Piyasa Tepkisi<\/h3>\nHaberlere g\u00f6re ABD, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin ba\u015flamas\u0131 i\u00e7in bir ay s\u00fcrecek ate\u015fkesi de i\u00e7eren 15 maddelik bir plan sundu. Plan\u0131n, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131na s\u0131n\u0131rlamalar ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131k kalaca\u011f\u0131na dair g\u00fcvence kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda olas\u0131 yapt\u0131r\u0131m gev\u015femesi (sanctions relief: yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131) i\u00e7erdi\u011fi belirtiliyor.\n\nPiyasalar, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) iki faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tamamen fiyatlad\u0131 (priced in: fiyatlara \u00f6nceden yans\u0131tt\u0131). Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, bu y\u0131l ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz indirimi ihtimali b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde fiyatlardan \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Fiyatlamalar Fed\u2019in 2026 boyunca faizleri sabit tutmas\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nReuters\u2019\u0131n \u00c7ar\u015famba yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ankete g\u00f6re 60 ekonomistten 38\u2019i ECB\u2019nin mevduat faizinin (deposit rate: bankalar\u0131n ECB\u2019de tuttuklar\u0131 paraya uygulanan faiz) bu y\u0131l %2,00\u2019da kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Ankete g\u00f6re 21 ekonomist ise 2026\u2019da en az bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.\n\nABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki s\u00fcren gerilim, g\u00fcvenli liman talebiyle ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekleyerek EUR\/USD \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kuruyor. DXY 99,00\u2019un \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kal\u0131rken, k\u0131sa vadede Euro i\u00e7in a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn daha olas\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Piyasada \u015fu an ana belirleyici unsur bu jeopolitik risk.\n\n<h3>Oynakl\u0131k Sinyalleri ve \u0130\u015flem Pozisyonlanmas\u0131<\/h3>\nBu belirsizlik, beklenen fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor; bu durum t\u00fcrev piyasas\u0131nda (derivatives: de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 finansal \u00fcr\u00fcnler) g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. EUR\/USD opsiyonlar\u0131nda (option: belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) 1 ayl\u0131k ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015faret etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) %11,5\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Bu seviye, 2025 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fc sars\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131ndan bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015fti. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar yaln\u0131zca y\u00f6n tahmini yapmak yerine, bu artan oynakl\u0131ktan faydalanan stratejileri de\u011ferlendirebilir.\n\n\u00c7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n enerji fiyatlar\u0131na etkisi, enflasyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Brent petrol varil fiyat\u0131 115 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; bu seviye 2025 ortalamas\u0131 olan yakla\u015f\u0131k 85 dolar\u0131n belirgin \u00fczerinde. Bu da merkez bankalar\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. \u015eubat ay\u0131 verileri Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde enflasyonun %4,8, ABD\u2019de ise %4,5 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi. ECB \u00f6zellikle y\u00fcksek enerji maliyetlerinin ekonominin geneline yay\u0131l\u0131p yay\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 izliyor.\n\nPiyasalar\u0131n Fed ve ECB\u2019den bekledi\u011fi ad\u0131mlar aras\u0131ndaki fark b\u00fcy\u00fcyor. Piyasa, Fed\u2019in bu y\u0131l faiz indirimini tamamen d\u0131\u015flarken ECB\u2019den iki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor. Bu beklenti, bir\u00e7ok ekonomistin \u201cECB, mevduat faizini y\u0131l sonuna kadar %2,00\u2019da tutar\u201d g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne g\u00f6re daha sert.\n\nOpsiyon piyasas\u0131nda da EUR\/USD\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunma (hedge: riski azaltmak i\u00e7in koruma i\u015flemi) iste\u011fi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flayan put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) primi, y\u00fckseli\u015fe oynayan call opsiyonlar\u0131na (call: fiyat y\u00fckseli\u015finden faydalanan opsiyon) k\u0131yasla belirgin artt\u0131. Bu, bir\u00e7ok yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n paritenin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeleri, olas\u0131 olarak 1,1400 civar\u0131n\u0131 test etmesine haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ate\u015fkes s\u00f6ylentileri piyasay\u0131 kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131: Euro, g\u00fcvenli liman dolara kar\u015f\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. EUR\/USD 1,1585\u2019e inerken DXY 99 \u00fcst\u00fcnde. Jeopolitik risk, artan volatilite ve petrol 115$ beklentileri belirliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31167","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31167","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31167"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31167\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31167"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31167"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31167"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}