{"id":31154,"date":"2026-03-25T19:04:43","date_gmt":"2026-03-25T19:04:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/iranin-enerji-sokunun-ardindan-abn-amro-euro-bolgesinde-daha-zayif-buyume-daha-yuksek-enflasyon-ve-ecbden-2-ceyrekte-iki-faiz-artisi-bekliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-25T19:04:43","modified_gmt":"2026-03-25T19:04:43","slug":"iranin-enerji-sokunun-ardindan-abn-amro-euro-bolgesinde-daha-zayif-buyume-daha-yuksek-enflasyon-ve-ecbden-2-ceyrekte-iki-faiz-artisi-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/iranin-enerji-sokunun-ardindan-abn-amro-euro-bolgesinde-daha-zayif-buyume-daha-yuksek-enflasyon-ve-ecbden-2-ceyrekte-iki-faiz-artisi-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n enerji \u015fokunun ard\u0131ndan ABN AMRO, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde daha zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcme, daha y\u00fcksek enflasyon ve ECB\u2019den 2. \u00e7eyrekte iki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bekliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"ABN AMRO ekonomistleri, \u0130ran ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 enerji \u015foku sonras\u0131 Avro B\u00f6lgesi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fcncelledi; daha zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve daha y\u00fcksek enflasyon \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Banka, enflasyonun daha geni\u015f fiyatlara ve \u00fccret belirlemeye yans\u0131ma riskini azaltmak i\u00e7in yak\u0131n vadede daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 (faizlerin y\u00fcksek tutulmas\u0131\/ art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131) bekliyor.\n\nEnflasyonun mart ay\u0131ndan itibaren ECB\u2019nin (Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131) %2 hedefinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve sonraki aylarda %3\u2019\u00fcn \u00fcst\u00fcnde zirve yapmas\u0131 bekleniyor; bunun nedeni artan enerji maliyetlerinin fiyatlara yans\u0131mas\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca daha y\u00fcksek g\u00fcbre maliyetlerine ba\u011fl\u0131 g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131 ve enerji yo\u011fun \u00fcr\u00fcnlerden (\u00fcretiminde \u00e7ok enerji t\u00fcketilen mallar) ek yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.\n\n<h3>Enerji \u015eoku Sonras\u0131 Politika G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\nBanka, ECB\u2019nin nisan ve haziranda faiz art\u0131rarak mevduat faizini (ECB\u2019nin bankalar\u0131n ECB\u2019de tuttuklar\u0131 paraya uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 temel k\u0131sa vadeli faiz) %2,50\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131karaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fma belirsizli\u011fi nedeniyle nisan art\u0131\u015f\u0131na, haziran ad\u0131m\u0131na k\u0131yasla daha y\u00fcksek olas\u0131l\u0131k veriyor.\n\n2027 ba\u015f\u0131nda ABN AMRO, enflasyon hedefe yak\u0131n seyrederken ECB\u2019nin \u201cn\u00f6tr\u201d duru\u015fa (ekonomiyi ne destekleyen ne de frenleyen faiz seviyesi) do\u011fru gev\u015femeye ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. 2027\u2019nin 1. \u00e7eyre\u011finde (Q1: ocak-mart) bir, 2. \u00e7eyre\u011finde (Q2: nisan-haziran) bir faiz indirimi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor; b\u00f6ylece mevduat faizi yeniden %2\u2019ye iner.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130ran ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 enerji \u015foku, ABN AMRO\u2019ya g\u00f6re Avro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi zay\u0131flat\u0131p enflasyonu t\u0131rmand\u0131racak. ECB\u2019nin nisan-haziranda faizle %2,50\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, 2027\u2019de iki indirimle %2\u2019ye d\u00f6nmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31154","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31154","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31154"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31154\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31154"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31154"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31154"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}