{"id":31103,"date":"2026-03-25T06:04:23","date_gmt":"2026-03-25T06:04:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/daha-ilimli-gelen-tufe-verisinin-ardindan-aud-usd-07000-seviyesine-yakin-kalirken-asya-seansinda-yatay-konsolidasyonunu-surduruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-25T06:04:23","modified_gmt":"2026-03-25T06:04:23","slug":"daha-ilimli-gelen-tufe-verisinin-ardindan-aud-usd-07000-seviyesine-yakin-kalirken-asya-seansinda-yatay-konsolidasyonunu-surduruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/daha-ilimli-gelen-tufe-verisinin-ardindan-aud-usd-07000-seviyesine-yakin-kalirken-asya-seansinda-yatay-konsolidasyonunu-surduruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 gelen T\u00dcFE verisinin ard\u0131ndan AUD\/USD 0,7000 seviyesine yak\u0131n kal\u0131rken, Asya seans\u0131nda yatay konsolidasyonunu s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya seans\u0131nda dar bir bantta i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve 0,7000 seviyesine yak\u0131n seyretti. Hareket, Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n son enflasyon verisinin ard\u0131ndan geldi; parite g\u00fcn genelinde neredeyse de\u011fi\u015fmedi.\n\nAvustralya\u2019da man\u015fet T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE \u2013 t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131ndaki genel art\u0131\u015f) \u015eubat\u2019ta y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,7 artt\u0131. Bu oran \u00f6nceki aydaki %3,8\u2019in alt\u0131nda ve beklentilerin gerisinde kald\u0131. K\u0131rp\u0131lm\u0131\u015f Ortalama T\u00dcFE (Trimmed Mean \u2013 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\/azal\u0131\u015f g\u00f6steren kalemler \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131larak hesaplanan \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) ayl\u0131k %0,2, y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,3 y\u00fckseldi. Ayl\u0131k T\u00dcFE ise de\u011fi\u015fmedi ve tahminlerle uyumlu geldi.\n\n<h3>Avustralya Dolar\u0131 G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Kald\u0131<\/h3>\nDaha zay\u0131f enflasyon verisi, Avustralya dolar\u0131nda belirgin bir sat\u0131\u015f getirmedi. Para birimi, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) duru\u015fu sayesinde destek bulmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. RBA, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki belirsizli\u011fin \u00fclke i\u00e7i enflasyonu art\u0131rabilece\u011fi ve enflasyonun hedefin \u00fczerinde daha uzun s\u00fcre kalabilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunuyor. Piyasalar y\u0131l sonuna kadar yakla\u015f\u0131k iki ek faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor.\n\nABD dolar\u0131ndaki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilme de pariteyi destekledi. ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda bir ayl\u0131k ate\u015fkes mekanizmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik diplomatik \u00e7abalara ili\u015fkin haberler risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme e\u011filimi) iyile\u015ftirdi, enflasyon endi\u015felerini azaltt\u0131 ve ABD Hazine tahvili faizlerinin (Treasury yields \u2013 devlet tahvillerinin faiz oran\u0131) d\u00fc\u015fmesine katk\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131; bu da dolar \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131.\n\n<h3>Fed Politikas\u0131 ve Oynakl\u0131k G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\nABD dolar\u0131 taraf\u0131nda da tablo farkl\u0131: ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) faiz indirim s\u00fcrecine (gev\u015feme d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc) ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f durumda. Ancak ABD ekonomisindeki kal\u0131c\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7, dolar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayarak Avustralya dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in olumsuz bir etki (headwind) yarat\u0131yor. Bu durum, AUD\/USD\u2019yi bant i\u00e7inde tutuyor; Fed\u2019in daha g\u00fcvercin (faiz indirimi e\u011filimli) tarafa ge\u00e7mesine ra\u011fmen kal\u0131c\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015fi zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.\n\nT\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (vadeli i\u015flem ve opsiyon gibi fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 enstr\u00fcmanlar) yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in bu, AUD\/USD\u2019de ima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (implied volatility \u2013 opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lan beklenen dalgalanma) iki merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n farkl\u0131 anlat\u0131lar\u0131 nedeniyle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalm\u0131\u015f olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda her iki y\u00f6ne sert hareketten kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan stratejiler, \u00f6rne\u011fin straddle al\u0131m\u0131 (ayn\u0131 vade ve kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131yla hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu almak), etkili olabilir. Bu t\u00fcr bir pozisyon, RBA ile Fed\u2019in olas\u0131 faiz indirimlerinin h\u0131z\u0131na dair belirsizlikten fayda sa\u011flar.\n\nAyr\u0131ca Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 daha \u00f6nce destekleyen faiz fark\u0131nda (interest rate differential \u2013 iki \u00fclkenin faiz oranlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki fark) belirgin bir daralma g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Tarihsel olarak 2013-2014 gibi d\u00f6nemlerde RBA politika faizi ABD\u2019ye g\u00f6re y\u00fcksekken, uzun AUD pozisyonu ta\u015f\u0131mak (carry trade \u2013 y\u00fcksek faizli para birimini al\u0131p d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizli para birimini satarak faiz fark\u0131ndan kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flama) cazipti. Bu avantaj ortadan kalkt\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in para birimi \u00fczerinde temel bir bask\u0131 olu\u015fuyor; opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 bunu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimli (bearish) stratejilerle de\u011ferlendirebilir.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>S\u00fcrpriz enflasyona ra\u011fmen AUD\/USD 0,7000\u2019de s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: RBA\u2019n\u0131n \u015fahin tonu Aussie\u2019yi desteklerken, Fed\u2019in gev\u015femesi ve daralan faiz fark\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. Opsiyonlarda straddle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31103","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31103","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31103"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31103\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31103"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31103"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31103"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}