{"id":31096,"date":"2026-03-25T04:02:47","date_gmt":"2026-03-25T04:02:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/gerilimlerin-surmesiyle-usd-chf-024-yukseldi-07859-dip-seviyesinden-toparlanmasinin-ardindan-07881-civarinda-islem-goruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-25T04:02:47","modified_gmt":"2026-03-25T04:02:47","slug":"gerilimlerin-surmesiyle-usd-chf-024-yukseldi-07859-dip-seviyesinden-toparlanmasinin-ardindan-07881-civarinda-islem-goruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gerilimlerin-surmesiyle-usd-chf-024-yukseldi-07859-dip-seviyesinden-toparlanmasinin-ardindan-07881-civarinda-islem-goruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Gerilimlerin s\u00fcrmesiyle USD\/CHF %0,24 y\u00fckseldi; 0,7859 dip seviyesinden toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 0,7881 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/CHF Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,24 y\u00fckseldi. Jeopolitik gerilimler y\u00fcksek seyrini korurken, Al Arabiya\u2019n\u0131n \u0130srail Kanal 12\u2019ye dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ayl\u0131k ate\u015fkes haberine ra\u011fmen parite al\u0131m g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Kur, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i 0,7859 dip seviyesinden toparlanarak 0,7881\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.\n\nTeknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm yataydan yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fcye d\u00f6n\u00fck. Ancak fiyat, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (SMA: belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki fiyatlar\u0131n ortalamas\u0131; uzun vadeli e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterir) 0,7949 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) al\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor; piyasada \u00fcst diren\u00e7lere odaklan\u0131l\u0131yor.\n\nParite 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n (orta vadeli e\u011filim) 0,7893 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karsa 0,7900 test edilebilir. Y\u00fckseli\u015fin s\u00fcrmesi halinde 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 0,7949 g\u00fcndeme gelir; ard\u0131ndan 0,8000 seviyesi izlenir.\n\nUSD\/CHF, 23 Mart dip seviyesi 0,7834\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131na sarkarsa bu kez 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA deste\u011fi (k\u0131sa-orta vadeli destek alan\u0131) 0,7798 takip edilir. Zay\u0131fl\u0131k devam ederse bir sonraki seviye 10 Mart\u2019taki \u201cswing low\u201d (k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f dip seviyesi) 0,7748 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n\nUSD\/CHF\u2019de yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lenme g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bunda merkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131ndaki ayr\u0131\u015fma etkili. \u015eubat 2026 ABD enflasyonu %2,8 ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelirken, \u0130svi\u00e7re enflasyonu %1,1 ile d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kald\u0131. Bu tablo, Fed\u2019in \u201csab\u0131rl\u0131\u201d duru\u015funu desteklerken; SNB\u2019nin \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d (faiz indirimi veya gev\u015fek politika e\u011filimi) duru\u015funu \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Bu, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde g\u00f6r\u00fclen g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme benziyor.\n\nGe\u00e7erli teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, Mart 2025 sonundaki tabloya olduk\u00e7a benzer. O d\u00f6nemde de parite 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamada zorlanm\u0131\u015f, ard\u0131ndan al\u0131c\u0131lar \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck kurmu\u015ftu. \u015eimdi de momentum (fiyat hareketinin g\u00fcc\u00fc) art\u0131yor; RSI kademeli y\u00fckseliyor.\n\nGe\u00e7en y\u0131lki \u201cbreakout\u201d (k\u0131r\u0131lma: \u00f6nemli diren\u00e7 seviyesinin net bi\u00e7imde a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131) senaryosunun tekrarlanmas\u0131n\u0131 bekleyenler i\u00e7in \u201ccall opsiyonu\u201d (al\u0131m hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon; belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Parite 0,7893\u2019\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde a\u015farsa, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA testinin \u00f6n\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131labilir. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda vadesi dolacak 0,7950 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun i\u015flem hakk\u0131 verdi\u011fi fiyat) call al\u0131m\u0131, 0,8000\u2019e olas\u0131 hareketten faydalanmay\u0131 hedefleyebilir.\n\nDuyarl\u0131l\u0131k verileri de y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisini destekliyor. Son CFTC raporu, spek\u00fclatif net uzun (net long: y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisiyle ta\u015f\u0131nan pozisyonlar\u0131n neti) dolar pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n son bir ayda %8 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu artan kurumsal inan\u00e7, k\u0131r\u0131lma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseldi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Tarihsel olarak 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerine kal\u0131c\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar, daha uzun s\u00fcreli y\u00fckseli\u015fleri tetikleyebiliyor.\n\nAncak bu kritik diren\u00e7te ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131k ihtimali de masada. Parite Mart 2025 \u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fcnde g\u00f6r\u00fclen 0,7834 deste\u011finin alt\u0131na sert bi\u00e7imde iner ve kal\u0131rsa, sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n yeniden kontrol\u00fc ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 mesaj\u0131 verir. Bu senaryoya kar\u015f\u0131 \u201cput opsiyonu\u201d (sat\u0131m hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon; belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) ile, 0,7800 alt\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 pozisyonlar korunma (hedge: riski azaltma) ya da ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki dip b\u00f6lgesine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f beklentisi i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CHF g\u00fc\u00e7 topluyor: Jeopolitik g\u00fcr\u00fclt\u00fcye ra\u011fmen %0,24 y\u00fckseldi. 0,7893 \u00fcst\u00fc 0,7900-0,7949-0,8000 yolunu a\u00e7abilir; 0,7834 alt\u0131 0,7798-0,7748 riski. Fed-SNB ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, opsiyonlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31096","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31096","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31096"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31096\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31096"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31096"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31096"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}