{"id":31071,"date":"2026-03-24T23:03:22","date_gmt":"2026-03-24T23:03:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/scotiabank-analistleri-sterlin-mart-diplerinden-toparlanmasinin-ardindan-134-civarinda-tutunurken-dolar-karsisinda-hafif-zayif-seyrediyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-24T23:03:22","modified_gmt":"2026-03-24T23:03:22","slug":"scotiabank-analistleri-sterlin-mart-diplerinden-toparlanmasinin-ardindan-134-civarinda-tutunurken-dolar-karsisinda-hafif-zayif-seyrediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/scotiabank-analistleri-sterlin-mart-diplerinden-toparlanmasinin-ardindan-134-civarinda-tutunurken-dolar-karsisinda-hafif-zayif-seyrediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Scotiabank analistleri: Sterlin, Mart diplerinden toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 1,34 civar\u0131nda tutunurken Dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda hafif zay\u0131f seyrediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"Sterlin, ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %0,2 geriledi ve mart ortas\u0131 diplerinden toparland\u0131ktan sonra 1,34 seviyesine yak\u0131n i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Son fiyat hareketleri s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131; parite dar bir bantta yatay seyrediyor.\n\n\u0130ngiltere PMI (Sat\u0131n Alma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi: \u015firketlerin \u00fcretim ve hizmet faaliyetlerindeki e\u011filimi \u00f6l\u00e7en \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6sterge) verileri kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k geldi; imalat hafif g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken hizmetler biraz zay\u0131flad\u0131. Her iki endeks de 50\u2019lik n\u00f6tr e\u015fik (50 \u00fcst\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme, 50 alt\u0131 daralma) seviyesinin biraz \u00fczerinde kalarak s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir geni\u015flemeye i\u015faret ediyor.\n\n

BoE Konu\u015fmas\u0131 Odakta<\/h3>\nPiyasalar, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) Ba\u015fekonomisti Huw Pill\u2019in TS\u0130\u2019ye \u00e7evrildi\u011finde 16:30\u2019daki konu\u015fmas\u0131na odakland\u0131. Faiz fiyatlamas\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fti; beklentiler art\u0131k aral\u0131k ay\u0131na kadar toplam 60 baz puan\u0131n (bps: faizde y\u00fczde puan\u0131n y\u00fczde biri; 100 bps = 1 puan) biraz \u00fczerinde s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nTeknik g\u00f6stergeler, g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI\u2019\u0131n (G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: 0-100 aras\u0131 momentum g\u00f6stergesi; 30 alt\u0131 \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m\u201d, 70 \u00fcst\u00fc \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\u201d olarak izlenir) a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinden toparland\u0131ktan sonra 50\u2019nin hemen alt\u0131nda oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. K\u0131sa vadede 1,3450 diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran seviye) olarak izlenirken, 1,3350\u20131,3450 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli bant olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n\nFiyat hareketinin, 13 Mart diplerinden gelen y\u00fckseli\u015fle birlikte \u201cy\u00fckseli\u015fe d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u201d (bullish reversal: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn bitip y\u00f6n\u00fcn yukar\u0131 d\u00f6nmesi) sinyali verdi\u011fi ve yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir trend olu\u015fturdu\u011fu belirtiliyor. Yak\u0131n vadede sterlin i\u00e7in ana belirleyici unsur jeopolitik geli\u015fmeler.\n\n

Opsiyon Oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Ve Strateji<\/h3>\nMevcut \u0130ngiltere enflasyonu (CPI\/T\u00dcFE: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi) sonunda so\u011fudu; \u015eubat 2026 CPI verisi %2,3 ile Banka\u2019n\u0131n hedef seviyesine daha yak\u0131n geldi. Ancak bunun bedeli b\u00fcy\u00fcme taraf\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc; 2025\u2019in son \u00e7eyre\u011finde ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme yaln\u0131zca %0,1 ile neredeyse durgun kald\u0131. Bu zay\u0131f zemin, BoE\u2019nin faizleri mevcut seviyelerde uzun s\u00fcre tutmas\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.\n\nABD ile \u201cpolitika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131\u201d (iki merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n farkl\u0131 y\u00f6nde faiz\/para politikas\u0131 izlemesi) beklentisi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, t\u00fcrev (fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 enstr\u00fcman) i\u015flem yapanlar\u0131n sterlinin zay\u0131flamas\u0131ndan faydalanan stratejileri de\u011ferlendirmesi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u0130kinci \u00e7eyrekte vadeli GBP\/USD put opsiyonu almak (put opsiyonu: belli tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131; kur d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flamay\u0131 hedefler), ge\u00e7en y\u0131l sonundaki 1,29 seviyesine do\u011fru bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye pozisyon alma yolu sunar. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, azami zarar\u0131 ba\u015ftan s\u0131n\u0131rlar ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc harekete maruziyeti (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden etkilenme) korur.\n\nMerkez bankas\u0131 y\u00f6nlendirmesindeki de\u011fi\u015fim, sterlin opsiyon piyasas\u0131nda \u201cz\u0131mni oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) da yukar\u0131 itti. GBP\/USD\u2019de 1 ayl\u0131k z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k %8,5 civar\u0131nda seyrederken, 2025\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde g\u00f6r\u00fclen %7 alt\u0131 seviyelerin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu tablo, \u00f6nemli BoE toplant\u0131 tarihleri etraf\u0131nda beklenen fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131n\u0131 i\u015flemlemek i\u00e7in uzun straddle veya strangle gibi stratejilerin (straddle: ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m+sat\u0131m opsiyonu; strangle: farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m+sat\u0131m opsiyonu; y\u00f6n de\u011fil hareket b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc hedeflenir) kullan\u0131labilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sterlin\/dolar 1,34\u2019e yak\u0131n yatay: PMI kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k, dar bant s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. G\u00f6zler 16:30\u2019daki BoE Pill konu\u015fmas\u0131nda; 60 bp s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma fiyatlan\u0131yor. Oynakl\u0131k y\u00fckseldi, put\/straddle stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31071","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31071","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31071"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31071\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31071"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31071"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31071"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}