{"id":31067,"date":"2026-03-24T21:06:51","date_gmt":"2026-03-24T21:06:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/scotiabank-usd-cad-137-orta-bandi-direncini-test-ediyor-kanada-dolari-yatay-seyrini-koruyor-daha-fazla-yukselisi-sinirliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-24T21:06:51","modified_gmt":"2026-03-24T21:06:51","slug":"scotiabank-usd-cad-137-orta-bandi-direncini-test-ediyor-kanada-dolari-yatay-seyrini-koruyor-daha-fazla-yukselisi-sinirliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/scotiabank-usd-cad-137-orta-bandi-direncini-test-ediyor-kanada-dolari-yatay-seyrini-koruyor-daha-fazla-yukselisi-sinirliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Scotiabank: USD\/CAD 1,37 orta band\u0131 direncini test ediyor; Kanada dolar\u0131 yatay seyrini koruyor, daha fazla y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/CAD b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde de\u011fi\u015fmedi; parite son aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yoklad\u0131 ancak 1,37\u2019nin ortalar\u0131 \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 olamad\u0131. Kanada Dolar\u0131 (CAD) tahmini \u201cadil de\u011fer\u201d (kurun temel verilere g\u00f6re uzun vadeli dengesi) olan 1,3402 civar\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. USD\u2019nin 1,37 ortalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerindeki g\u00fcc\u00fc ise s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ve k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli olarak tan\u0131mland\u0131.\n\nPetrol fiyatlar\u0131 ve Kanada\u2019n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ticaret hadleri (ihracat fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ithalat fiyatlar\u0131na oran\u0131; oran y\u00fckselirse \u00fclkenin al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fc artar) CAD\u2019i destekleyen unsurlar aras\u0131nda g\u00f6sterildi. Buna ek olarak getiri farklar\u0131n\u0131n daralmas\u0131 (iki \u00fclkenin tahvil faizleri aras\u0131ndaki fark) da destekleyici bir unsur olarak belirtildi. Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoC) faiz art\u0131rma risklerini de tart\u0131yordu. BoC ge\u00e7en hafta politika faizini (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n ana faiz oran\u0131) de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi ve K\u00f6rfez\u2019deki duruma ba\u011fl\u0131 \u201cbekle ve g\u00f6r\u201d yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131na i\u015faret etti.\n\nCAD i\u00e7in teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn (grafik ve fiyat seviyelerine dayal\u0131 analiz) b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde de\u011fi\u015fmedi\u011fi ifade edildi. 1,37\u2019nin ortalar\u0131 \u201cdiren\u00e7\u201d (y\u00fckseli\u015fin zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) b\u00f6lgesi olarak an\u0131l\u0131rken, 1,3690\/00 band\u0131 \u201cdestek\u201d (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) olarak kaydedildi.\n\nUSD\/CAD paritesinin 1,37\u2019nin ortalar\u0131nda direnci zorlamay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, ancak bu hareketlerin kal\u0131c\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor. Bu b\u00f6lgenin \u00fczerindeki y\u00fckseli\u015fler k\u0131sa \u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor; bu da sat\u0131\u015f iste\u011finin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bu durum, yak\u0131n vadede piyasada net bir \u201ctavan\u201d olu\u015ftu\u011fu anlam\u0131na geliyor.\n\nKanada dolar\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7, \u00f6zellikle WTI ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) bu ay varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde dengelenmesiyle destekleniyor. \u015eubat verilerinde Kanada enflasyonunun %2,8\u2019de kalmas\u0131yla BoC temkinli \u201cbekle ve g\u00f6r\u201d modunu koruyor. Bu da yak\u0131n zamanda faiz indirimi (faizin d\u00fc\u015fmesi, para birimini zay\u0131flatabilir) ihtimalini azalt\u0131yor.\n\nParite \u015fu anda bizim \u201cadil de\u011fer\u201d tahminimize g\u00f6re belirgin \u015fekilde daha yukar\u0131da; bu seviyeyi 1,3400\u2019e daha yak\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. 2025\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde benzer bir tablo izlendi; 1,3800 \u00fczerindeki y\u00fckseli\u015fler d\u00fczenli olarak sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131. Bu ge\u00e7mi\u015f fiyat davran\u0131\u015f\u0131, mevcut direncin \u00f6nemli oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.\n\nBu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tavan nedeniyle 1,3750-1,3800 b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru y\u00fckseli\u015fler sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilmeli. Paritenin yukar\u0131 k\u0131rmay\u0131 ba\u015faramamas\u0131ndan kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan opsiyon stratejileri (belirli fiyattan al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) uygun g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin 1,3750 \u00fczerindeki \u201ckullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131\u201d (opsiyonun ge\u00e7erli oldu\u011fu seviye) \u201ccall spread satmak\u201d (belirli aral\u0131kta al\u0131m opsiyonu sat\u0131p kar\u015f\u0131 bacakla riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamak). Bu t\u00fcr pozisyonlar, parite d\u00fc\u015ferse ya da mevcut aral\u0131kta kal\u0131rsa kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilir.\n\nEn yak\u0131n destek 1,3690-1,3700 band\u0131nda. Bu seviyenin net \u015fekilde k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 (a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lma) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir. Bu nedenle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, bu deste\u011fin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon a\u00e7ma sinyali olarak kullanabilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin \u201cput\u201d almak (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan sat\u0131m opsiyonu) ve 1,35\u2019li seviyelere do\u011fru bir hareketi hedeflemek.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CAD 1,37 ortalar\u0131nda tavan yapt\u0131: y\u00fckseli\u015fler kal\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil. Petrol ve daralan getiri fark\u0131 CAD\u2019i destekliyor, BoC temkinli. 1,3750-1,3800 sat\u0131\u015f; 1,3690 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,35 hedef.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31067","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31067","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31067"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31067\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31067"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31067"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31067"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}