{"id":31014,"date":"2026-03-24T10:03:46","date_gmt":"2026-03-24T10:03:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/orta-dogudaki-catismanin-yeni-desteklemesiyle-eur-jpy-18400-seviyesinin-altina-sarkarak-18385e-yaklasti-100-gunluk-emanin-uzerinde-tutunuyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-24T10:03:46","modified_gmt":"2026-03-24T10:03:46","slug":"orta-dogudaki-catismanin-yeni-desteklemesiyle-eur-jpy-18400-seviyesinin-altina-sarkarak-18385e-yaklasti-100-gunluk-emanin-uzerinde-tutunuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/orta-dogudaki-catismanin-yeni-desteklemesiyle-eur-jpy-18400-seviyesinin-altina-sarkarak-18385e-yaklasti-100-gunluk-emanin-uzerinde-tutunuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n yeni desteklemesiyle EUR\/JPY 184,00 seviyesinin alt\u0131na sarkarak 183,85\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131; 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutunuyor"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/JPY, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 184,00 seviyesinin alt\u0131na inerek 183,85 civar\u0131na geriledi. Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ortam\u0131nda g\u00fcvenli liman talebiyle Yen g\u00fc\u00e7 kazand\u0131. Haberlerde \u0130srail ordusunun Tahran\u2019a yeni bir sald\u0131r\u0131 dalgas\u0131 ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilirken, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump \u0130ran\u2019la yap\u0131lan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin ard\u0131ndan ABD\u2019nin enerji altyap\u0131s\u0131na y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lara ara verilece\u011fini ima etti.\n\nBeklentiden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelen Japonya enflasyonu, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) k\u0131sa vadede faiz art\u0131rma bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azaltt\u0131. Bu durum Yen\u2019deki ek de\u011fer kazanc\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir ve pariteyi destekleyebilir.\n\n<h3>Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Ve Kritik Seviyeler<\/h3>\nG\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte EUR\/JPY, yakla\u015f\u0131k 181,70 seviyesindeki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcssel hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (EMA: son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren hareketli ortalama) \u00fczerinde kalarak s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 da olsa yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimi koruyor. Fiyat 183,53 seviyesindeki Bollinger orta band\u0131na (Bollinger Bantlar\u0131: oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en \u00fcst-orta-alt bantlar) yak\u0131n; bu da yatay seyri i\u015faret ediyor. RSI 52,71 seviyesinde ve n\u00f6tr b\u00f6lgenin hafif \u00fczerinde (RSI: 0-100 aras\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7 g\u00f6stergesi, 50 civar\u0131 n\u00f6tr kabul edilir).\n\nDestekler 183,50 ve 182,00; daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek 181,70 civar\u0131nda. Diren\u00e7 184,70; \u00fcst Bollinger band\u0131 185,80 civar\u0131nda.\n\nOrtado\u011fu gerilimi nedeniyle EUR\/JPY zay\u0131flarken, Yen\u2019in g\u00fcvenli liman olarak tercih edilmesi talebi art\u0131r\u0131yor. Jeopolitik risk, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda daha sert fiyat hareketlerine (volatilite: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve geni\u015f aral\u0131kta dalgalanmas\u0131) yol a\u00e7abilir. 183,85 civar\u0131ndaki geri \u00e7ekilme, riskten ka\u00e7\u0131nan paran\u0131n g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesinin sonucu.\n\nBuna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, y\u0131llard\u0131r bu pariteyi etkileyen para politikas\u0131 ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 da dikkate al\u0131nmal\u0131. BoJ\u2019un Mart 2024\u2019te negatif faizi bitirmesi \u00f6nemli bir de\u011fi\u015fimdi; ancak enflasyon verilerindeki dalgalanma nedeniyle sonraki faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 temkinli kald\u0131. Bu durum, 2024 ortas\u0131nda faiz indirim d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne ba\u015flayan Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) ile z\u0131t y\u00f6nde ilerleyerek parite i\u00e7in temel bir destek unsuru olu\u015fturdu.\n\nT\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlar i\u00e7in \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan ba\u015fl\u0131k, 2025 sonlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerden sonra \u00f6rt\u00fck volatilitenin (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen oynakl\u0131k) y\u00fckselme ihtimali. CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX: ABD hisse piyasas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d) bu ay 15\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; bu genel risk alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir ve d\u00f6viz opsiyon fiyatlamas\u0131na da yans\u0131yabilir. Bu da opsiyon al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 daha pahal\u0131 hale getirir; ancak riskten korunma (hedge: zarar riskini azaltmak i\u00e7in kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon almak) ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 da art\u0131rabilir.\n\n<h3>Opsiyonlarla Riskten Korunma Yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131<\/h3>\n\u00c7at\u0131\u015fma b\u00fcy\u00fcrse sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu almak daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olur. Kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun i\u015flem hakk\u0131 verdi\u011fi fiyat) 181,70 civar\u0131ndaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA deste\u011finin alt\u0131nda se\u00e7ilebilir. Bu, eldeki uzun pozisyonlar i\u00e7in bir sigorta g\u00f6revi g\u00f6rerek piyasa yap\u0131s\u0131nda ani bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flar.\n\n\u00d6te yandan, Japonya enflasyonunun zay\u0131f gelmesi jeopolitik endi\u015feler azal\u0131rsa y\u00fckseli\u015fin yeniden ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu teknik yap\u0131dan yararlanmak i\u00e7in para d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money: mevcut fiyat\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalan, \u015fu an k\u00e2rda olmayan) al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131labilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin 185,80 direncinin \u00fczerindeki bir kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131yla. Bu al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 satmaktan elde edilen prim (premium: opsiyonun bedeli), koruyucu put al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n maliyetini k\u0131smen kar\u015f\u0131layabilir ve \u201ckolye\u201d (collar: put al\u0131p call satarak getiriyi belirli aral\u0131\u011fa s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131ran strateji) olu\u015fturarak riski belirli bir bantta tutar.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/JPY 184 alt\u0131na sark\u0131p 183,85\u2019e indi: Ortado\u011fu gerilimi Yen\u2019i g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Zay\u0131f Japon enflasyonu BoJ bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azaltt\u0131. Teknikte 183,50\/182,00 destek, 184,70\/185,80 diren\u00e7; opsiyonda put+call collar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31014","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31014","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31014"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31014\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31014"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31014"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31014"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}