{"id":31008,"date":"2026-03-24T09:07:21","date_gmt":"2026-03-24T09:07:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/artan-riskten-kacinma-ortaminda-guclu-abd-dolarinin-baskisiyla-nzd-usd-05830-civarina-geriliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-24T09:07:21","modified_gmt":"2026-03-24T09:07:21","slug":"artan-riskten-kacinma-ortaminda-guclu-abd-dolarinin-baskisiyla-nzd-usd-05830-civarina-geriliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/artan-riskten-kacinma-ortaminda-guclu-abd-dolarinin-baskisiyla-nzd-usd-05830-civarina-geriliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Artan riskten ka\u00e7\u0131nma ortam\u0131nda, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n bask\u0131s\u0131yla NZD\/USD 0,5830 civar\u0131na geriliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"NZD\/USD, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya seans\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 0,5830\u2019a gerileyerek bir \u00f6nceki g\u00fcnk\u00fc kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 geri verdi. Hareket, \u0130srail\u2019in Tahran\u2019a yeni bir sald\u0131r\u0131 dalgas\u0131 ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemesinin ard\u0131ndan artan riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015fla (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klar yerine daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle geldi.\n\n\u0130srail, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n Tahran\u2019la \u201cverimli\u201d olarak tan\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin ard\u0131ndan enerji altyap\u0131s\u0131na y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lara ara verilebilece\u011fi sinyali vermesinden sonra \u0130ran\u2019a son sald\u0131r\u0131y\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. \u0130srail Savunma Kuvvetleri, h\u00fck\u00fcmet talimatlar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda ikinci bir duyuruya kadar operasyonlar\u0131n s\u00fcrece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.\n\n<h3>Jeopolitik Gerilimler Riskten Ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131 Tetikliyor<\/h3>\n\u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Abbas Araghchi, Washington ile hi\u00e7bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme yap\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Meclis Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf da Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD ile m\u00fczakere olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtirken, dan\u0131\u015fman Mohsen Rezaei \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n zararlar\u0131n\u0131n \u201ctamam\u0131\u201d kar\u015f\u0131lanana kadar s\u00fcrece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.\n\nReuters\u2019a g\u00f6re, San Francisco Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Mary Daly, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma h\u0131zla yat\u0131\u015fmad\u0131k\u00e7a ve Fed (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) ge\u00e7ici bir petrol fiyat\u0131 s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131n\u0131 \u201cg\u00f6rmezden gelemedik\u00e7e\u201d faiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn belirsiz kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. RBNZ (Yeni Zelanda Merkez Bankas\u0131) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Anna Breman, enerji kaynakl\u0131 \u015foklar (enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda ani y\u00fckseli\u015f) nedeniyle k\u0131sa vadede enflasyonun (fiyat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131) y\u00fckselebilece\u011fini ve enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131 s\u00fcrerse faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n gerekebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.\n\nPiyasada Orta Do\u011fu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 nedeniyle riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in NZD\/USD paritesi \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesi bekleniyor. Yak\u0131n vadede yakla\u015f\u0131m, 0,5700 seviyesine do\u011fru hareket hedefiyle k\u0131sa pozisyon (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen i\u015flem) a\u00e7mak veya sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put; belirli bir fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn) almak y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. 2025 sonundaki y\u00fcksek dalgalanma (fiyatlar\u0131n sert ve s\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fmesi) d\u00f6nemine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, yo\u011fun jeopolitik stres s\u0131ras\u0131nda destek seviyelerinin (fiyat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lge) kolay k\u0131r\u0131labildi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.\n\n\u0130srailli, \u0130ranl\u0131 ve ABD\u2019li yetkililerden gelen \u00e7eli\u015fkili a\u00e7\u0131klamalar, sorunun h\u0131zl\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmeyebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ederek piyasa belirsizli\u011fini art\u0131r\u0131yor. NZD opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (implied volatility; opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) %15\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; Brent ham petrol vadeli kontratlar\u0131 (futures; ileri tarihte teslimat\/uzla\u015fma i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan standart s\u00f6zle\u015fme) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 115 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine t\u0131rman\u0131yor. Bu ortam, b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketlerinden faydalanmay\u0131 ama\u00e7layan \u201cuzun straddle\u201d (ayn\u0131 vadede hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu almak; b\u00fcy\u00fck hareket beklenir, y\u00f6n belirsizdir) gibi stratejilere uygun. Ancak bu stratejilerin maliyeti daha y\u00fcksektir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00f6denen prim (opsiyonun pe\u015fin maliyeti) artar.\n\n<h3>Merkez Bankas\u0131 Oda\u011f\u0131 ve G\u00fcvenli Liman Talebi<\/h3>\nFed ve RBNZ, kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyonun (ge\u00e7ici olmayan fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131) faizleri etkileyebilece\u011fini i\u015faret etse de \u015fimdilik belirleyici unsur ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (kriz d\u00f6nemlerinde daha az riskli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131k) talebi. RBNZ\u2019den gelebilecek \u015fahin mesajlar (hawkish; faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yanl\u0131s\u0131 duru\u015f) k\u00fcresel g\u00fcvenli limana ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f nedeniyle etkisini s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 g\u00f6sterebilir ve Kiwi dolar\u0131ndaki (Yeni Zelanda dolar\u0131) olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi k\u0131s\u0131tlayabilir. 2025\u2019te \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon (g\u0131da ve enerji gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) yeniden %3 hedefine yakla\u015fm\u0131\u015fken, bu yeni enerji \u015foku merkez bankalar\u0131 i\u00e7in ciddi bir geri ad\u0131m anlam\u0131na geliyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jeopolitik tansiyon t\u0131rmand\u0131, Kiwi nefes ald\u0131ramad\u0131! NZD\/USD 0,5830\u2019a gerilerken \u0130srail-\u0130ran hatt\u0131 riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor; petrol 115$, oynakl\u0131k %15+; 0,5700 hedefleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31008","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31008","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31008"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31008\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31008"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31008"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31008"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}