{"id":30995,"date":"2026-03-24T07:04:57","date_gmt":"2026-03-24T07:04:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/iran-geriliminin-azalacagina-yonelik-beklentiler-dxyyi-10015-zirvesinden-9912ye-cekti-genel-olarak-05-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-24T07:04:57","modified_gmt":"2026-03-24T07:04:57","slug":"iran-geriliminin-azalacagina-yonelik-beklentiler-dxyyi-10015-zirvesinden-9912ye-cekti-genel-olarak-05-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/iran-geriliminin-azalacagina-yonelik-beklentiler-dxyyi-10015-zirvesinden-9912ye-cekti-genel-olarak-05-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran geriliminin azalaca\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentiler DXY\u2019yi 100,15 zirvesinden 99,12\u2019ye \u00e7ekti; genel olarak %0,5 geriledi."},"content":{"rendered":"ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY), 100,00 seviyesini a\u015farak yakla\u015f\u0131k 100,15\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra 99,12 civar\u0131na geriledi; g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,5 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaydetti. Zirveden dibe 125 puan\u0131n \u00fczerinde hareket etti ve birka\u00e7 saat i\u00e7inde t\u00fcm y\u00fckseli\u015fi geri verdi.\n\nHareket, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019daki elektrik santralleri ve enerji tesislerine planlanan sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n be\u015f g\u00fcn ertelenece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemesinin ard\u0131ndan geldi. Petrol d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; WTI (ABD ham petrol\u00fc) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 90 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na inerken %9\u2019dan fazla geriledi, Brent (Kuzey Denizi petrol\u00fc) ise g\u00fcn i\u00e7i diplerde %13\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.\n\n

Jeopolitik \u015eok ve Piyasa Tepkisi<\/h3>\n\u0130ran, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 iddias\u0131n\u0131 reddetti; H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 (k\u00fcresel petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik dar ge\u00e7it) tanker trafi\u011finin b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131na kapal\u0131 kalmaya devam ediyor. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fma d\u00f6rt haftad\u0131r s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.\n\nABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed), 18 Mart\u2019ta faizi %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tuttu. Tahminler, PCE fiyat endeksini (Fed\u2019in en \u00e7ok izledi\u011fi enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) y\u0131l i\u00e7in %2,7 seviyesinde g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; 2026 i\u00e7in h\u00e2l\u00e2 bir faiz indirimi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.\n\n5 dakikal\u0131k grafikte DXY spot 99,12\u2019de ve 200 periyotluk EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcssel hareketli ortalama; fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc yumu\u015fatan teknik g\u00f6sterge) yakla\u015f\u0131k 99,33 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda. Diren\u00e7 (yukar\u0131 hareketi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran seviye) 99,20\u2019de, ard\u0131ndan 99,33 ve 99,45; destek (a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 hareketi s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilen seviye) 99,10 ve sonra 98,90.\n\nDolar Endeksi\u2019ndeki sert sal\u0131n\u0131m, jeopolitik ba\u015fl\u0131klara a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 hassasiyeti g\u00f6steriyor ve y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon almak i\u00e7in zor bir ortam yarat\u0131yor. 125 puanl\u0131k g\u00fcn i\u00e7i bant, kur opsiyonlar\u0131nda (belirli tarihte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) \u201c\u00f6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u201d (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) \u00f6zellikle USD paritelerinde h\u0131zla y\u00fckselebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. ABD ve \u0130ran\u2019dan gelen \u00e7eli\u015fkili haberler belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131rken, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n sert ve h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015fimlerine haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekiyor.\n\n

\u0130\u015flem Etkileri ve Strateji Kurulumu<\/h3>\n\u00c7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n \u201cya h\u0131zla yumu\u015fama ya da ani t\u0131rmanma\u201d gibi iki uca a\u00e7\u0131k olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, oynakl\u0131\u011fa oynayan stratejiler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. USD endeksi vadeli i\u015flemleri veya EUR\/USD gibi maj\u00f6r paritelerde \u201cat-the-money\u201d (mevcut fiyata yak\u0131n kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131) straddle\/strangle (fiyat\u0131n hangi y\u00f6ne gidece\u011fi bilinmezken b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketten faydalanmay\u0131 ama\u00e7layan opsiyon stratejileri) de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Cboe verilerine g\u00f6re FX Volatility Index (FXV) (d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131nda beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) jeopolitik gerilim d\u00f6nemlerinde tarihsel olarak sert y\u00fckselir; bu da opsiyon primlerinin (opsiyon i\u00e7in \u00f6denen bedel) g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc fiyat hareketi ihtimalini \u015fimdiden yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir.\n\nFed\u2019in \u015fahin duru\u015fu (faizleri y\u00fcksek tutma e\u011filimi), Ocak 2025\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fclen %3,1\u2019lik T\u00dcFE gibi (t\u00fcketici enflasyonu) y\u00fcksek enflasyon verileriyle desteklenerek dolar i\u00e7in temel bir taban olu\u015fturuyor. Ger\u00e7ek bir bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131 petrol\u00fc sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcr, enflasyon endi\u015felerini azalt\u0131r ve Fed\u2019in birden fazla faiz indirimi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmesini kolayla\u015ft\u0131rabilir; bu da dolar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olumsuz olur. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olursa petrol\u00fcn yeniden 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcne s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn; bu da Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131 kalma ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirerek DXY\u2019yi son zirvelerine ta\u015f\u0131yabilir.\n\nYat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, verilen teknik seviyelerle olas\u0131 senaryolara g\u00f6re pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 planlayabilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin 98,90 destek seviyesine yak\u0131n kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put opsiyonu (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kazand\u0131ran sat\u0131\u015f opsiyonu) almak, diplomatik bir ilerleme senaryosuna d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetle pozisyon almak olabilir. Tersine, 99,33 diren\u00e7 seviyesinin yeniden net bi\u00e7imde a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131, 100,00\u2019\u0131n tekrar test edilmesini hedefleyen call opsiyonu (y\u00fckseli\u015ften kazand\u0131ran al\u0131m opsiyonu) stratejileri i\u00e7in tetikleyici say\u0131labilir.\n\nDolar\u0131n \u00f6tesinde, ham petroldeki sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f di\u011fer varl\u0131k s\u0131n\u0131flar\u0131nda da f\u0131rsat yarat\u0131yor. Enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ETF\u2019lerindeki (borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren fon) opsiyonlarda hareketlilik artabilir; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ya kal\u0131c\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ya da sert bir tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fine pozisyon al\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca petrol ihra\u00e7 eden \u00fclkelerin para birimleri izlenmeli; Kanada dolar\u0131 ve Norve\u00e7 kronu belirgin bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131 zay\u0131f kal\u0131rsa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcrebilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Son dakika: Trump\u2019\u0131n sald\u0131r\u0131 ertelemesiyle DXY 100\u2019\u00fc a\u015f\u0131p 99,12\u2019ye indi; petrol WTI %9, Brent %13 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. 125 puanl\u0131k bant oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131; opsiyonlarda straddle\/strangle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30995","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30995","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30995"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30995\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30995"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30995"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30995"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}