{"id":30985,"date":"2026-03-24T02:03:20","date_gmt":"2026-03-24T02:03:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-jpy-geriliyor-jpy-gucleniyor-ayilar-15900u-savunuyor-15800in-altinda-kapanis-hedefliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-24T02:03:20","modified_gmt":"2026-03-24T02:03:20","slug":"usd-jpy-geriliyor-jpy-gucleniyor-ayilar-15900u-savunuyor-15800in-altinda-kapanis-hedefliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-jpy-geriliyor-jpy-gucleniyor-ayilar-15900u-savunuyor-15800in-altinda-kapanis-hedefliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY geriliyor, JPY g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor; ay\u0131lar 159,00\u2019u savunuyor, 158,00\u2019in alt\u0131nda kapan\u0131\u015f hedefliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,67 geriledi ve 158,06 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Hareket, \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n be\u015f g\u00fcn ertelenmesini ve ABD\u2019nin Tahran\u2019la yap\u0131lan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin \u201c\u00e7ok verimli\u201d ge\u00e7ti\u011fine dair a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131 izledi.\n\nParite cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimindeydi, ancak pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle birlikte dikkat 156,46 civar\u0131ndaki deste\u011fe d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Buras\u0131 5 Mart\u2019taki \u201csal\u0131n\u0131m dip\u201d (fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede d\u00f6n\u00fcm yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 dip seviye). G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en teknik g\u00f6sterge) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor ve 50 \u201cn\u00f6tr\u201d seviyesine yakla\u015ft\u0131.\n\n<h3>D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f Y\u00f6nl\u00fc Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\nG\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n (Basit Hareketli Ortalama: son 20 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131) 157,91\u2019in alt\u0131na gelmesi, \u201cay\u0131 yutan\u201d (bearish engulfing: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sinyali veren, \u00f6nceki y\u00fckseli\u015f mumunu tamamen i\u00e7ine alan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f mumu) formasyonunu olu\u015fturabilir. Bu durumda 157,50, ard\u0131ndan 157,00 ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA (son 100 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131) olan 156,16 g\u00fcndeme gelir.\n\n156,16\u2019n\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 (deste\u011fin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7ilmesi) halinde bir sonraki seviye 23 \u015eubat\u2019taki g\u00fcnl\u00fck dip 153,99. Di\u011fer tarafta, 159,00 \u00fczerine geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f 160,00 yolunu a\u00e7abilir.\n\n<h3>Opsiyon Pozisyonlanmas\u0131<\/h3>\nT\u00fcrev i\u015flemler yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in (t\u00fcrev: de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnler, \u00f6r. opsiyon) bu ortam, onlarca y\u0131ld\u0131r g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen zirvelere yakla\u015f\u0131rken oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (volatilite: fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131) y\u00fckseldi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. 162,00 \u00fczerindeki i\u015flemlerle birlikte Japonya maliye yetkililerinin s\u00f6zl\u00fc y\u00f6nlendirmesi (piyasay\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarla etkileme) artt\u0131; bu da \u201clong straddle\u201d veya \u201cstrangle\u201d stratejilerini cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu pozisyonlar, fiyat\u0131n iki y\u00f6nde de sert hareket etmesinden kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilir; ister yukar\u0131 s\u0131\u00e7rama olsun ister resmi ad\u0131m kaynakl\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f.\n\n2025\u2019teki fiyat hareketlerine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, belirgin her geri \u00e7ekilmenin sonunda uzun vadeli e\u011filimi oynayanlar taraf\u0131ndan al\u0131mla kar\u015f\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 hafta vadeli \u201cout-of-the-money put\u201d satmay\u0131 (kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyat\u0131n alt\u0131nda olan sat\u0131m opsiyonu; fiyat d\u00fc\u015fmezse prim geliri sa\u011flar) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir; 160,00 \u201cpsikolojik seviye\u201d (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yuvarlak say\u0131lar nedeniyle \u00f6nem atfetti\u011fi seviye) civar\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131 hedeflenebilir. Bu strateji, geri \u00e7ekilmelerde dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalaca\u011f\u0131 ve destek olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131m\u0131yla \u201cprim\u201d (opsiyon primi: opsiyonu satarken\/alerken \u00f6denen bedel) toplamay\u0131 ama\u00e7lar.\n\nAna risk, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) do\u011frudan ve ani m\u00fcdahalesi (kur piyasas\u0131na al\u0131m\/sat\u0131mla giri\u015f) olmaya devam ediyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131, mevcut piyasa fiyat\u0131n\u0131n olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda \u201cucuz\u201d k\u0131sa vadeli put opsiyonlar\u0131 almak, bir t\u00fcr sigorta i\u015flevi g\u00f6rebilir; yukar\u0131 hareketten faydalan\u0131rken sert bir ters harekete kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flar.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jeopolitik tansiyonun yumu\u015famas\u0131yla USD\/JPY %0,67 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcp 158,06\u2019ya indi: 156,46-156,16 destek hatt\u0131 kritik. RSI zay\u0131f. 159-160 direnci izleniyor; opsiyonlarda volatilite art\u0131\u015f\u0131, m\u00fcdahale riski \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30985","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30985","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30985"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30985\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30985"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30985"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30985"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}