{"id":30917,"date":"2026-03-23T09:05:56","date_gmt":"2026-03-23T09:05:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/asya-seansinda-dususte-alim-yapanlar-gbp-jpyyi-21185-civarina-tasirken-parite-21200nin-orta-seviyelerinin-altinda-yatay-seyrediyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-23T09:05:56","modified_gmt":"2026-03-23T09:05:56","slug":"asya-seansinda-dususte-alim-yapanlar-gbp-jpyyi-21185-civarina-tasirken-parite-21200nin-orta-seviyelerinin-altinda-yatay-seyrediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/asya-seansinda-dususte-alim-yapanlar-gbp-jpyyi-21185-civarina-tasirken-parite-21200nin-orta-seviyelerinin-altinda-yatay-seyrediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Asya seans\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte al\u0131m yapanlar GBP\/JPY\u2019yi 211,85 civar\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131rken, parite 212,00\u2019nin orta seviyelerinin alt\u0131nda yatay seyrediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"GBP\/JPY, Pazartesi Asya i\u015flemlerinde 211,85 yak\u0131n\u0131nda gelen al\u0131mlarla dipten toparland\u0131 ve haftan\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131nda olu\u015fan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc (ay\u0131) fiyat bo\u015flu\u011funu (gap: fiyat\u0131n bir seviyeyi i\u015flem g\u00f6rmeden atlayarak bo\u015fluk b\u0131rakmas\u0131) kapatt\u0131. Ard\u0131ndan duruldu ve son bir haftan\u0131n band\u0131 i\u00e7inde kald\u0131; 212,00 ortalar\u0131n\u0131n hemen alt\u0131nda, g\u00fcn genelinde yataya yak\u0131n seyretti.\n\nSterlin, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da artan gerilim ise g\u00fcvenli liman (risk artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda talep g\u00f6ren varl\u0131k) olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen yeni destekledi. Yen zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in Japonya\u2019n\u0131n ad\u0131m atabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki s\u00f6ylemler de pariteyi bask\u0131lad\u0131.\n\n<h3>Japon Yetkililer M\u00fcdahale Riskine \u0130\u015faret Ediyor<\/h3>\nJaponya\u2019n\u0131n en \u00fcst d\u00fczey kur yetkilisi, Uluslararas\u0131 \u0130\u015flerden Sorumlu Maliye Bakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Atsushi Mimura, kurdaki oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (volatilite: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert dalgalanmas\u0131) s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in t\u00fcm se\u00e7eneklerin de\u011ferlendirilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klamalar, GBP\/JPY\u2019de yeni y\u00fckseli\u015fler konusunda temkinli duru\u015fu art\u0131rd\u0131.\n\nJaponya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ), Mart toplant\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131 politika normalle\u015fmesine (\u00e7ok gev\u015fek politikadan daha s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015fa ge\u00e7i\u015f) e\u011filimini korudu ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmayla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 y\u00fckselen ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rabilece\u011fini belirtti. \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) ise \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131yla ili\u015fkili enflasyon endi\u015feleri nedeniyle Nisan gibi erken bir tarihte faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimaline i\u015faret etti.\n\nJaponya ve \u0130ngiltere\u2019den \u00f6nemli veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, hareketler yeni \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma haberlerine ba\u011fl\u0131 olabilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ayr\u0131ca 207,25 civar\u0131ndaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamay\u0131 (SMA: belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki kapan\u0131\u015flar\u0131n ortalamas\u0131) ve \u015eubat ay\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen y\u0131l i\u00e7i (YTD: y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bug\u00fcne) en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeyi izliyor.\n\nGBP\/JPY \u00e7apraz\u0131 dar bir bantta s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Bir ayl\u0131k GBP\/JPY opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen volatilite (opsiyon fiyat\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kan beklenen oynakl\u0131k) 8,5 civar\u0131na gerileyerek 2025\u2019in son \u00e7eyre\u011finden bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeye indi; bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm piyasadaki karars\u0131zl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret ediyor.\n\n<h3>Opsiyon Piyasas\u0131 Yatay Seyri Fiyatl\u0131yor<\/h3>\nJapon yetkililerin do\u011frudan m\u00fcdahale (kurda a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 hareketi s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in piyasaya al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m yoluyla girme) ihtimali, paritenin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. 2022 sonundaki b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli i\u015flemler hat\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlama uyar\u0131lar\u0131 ciddiye al\u0131n\u0131yor. Bu da 213,00 diren\u00e7 (fiyat\u0131n zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 yukar\u0131 seviye) seviyesinin kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131na oynayan i\u015flemleri riskli k\u0131l\u0131yor.\n\nDi\u011fer yandan, enflasyon dinamikleri iki para birimini de destekleyerek fiyat\u0131 bant i\u00e7inde tutuyor. \u0130ngiltere\u2019de \u015eubat 2026 T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) %3,1 ile beklentinin \u00fczerinde gelerek yak\u0131n vadede BoE faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisini art\u0131rd\u0131. Ancak Tokyo \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE\u2019nin (g\u0131da ve enerji gibi oynak kalemler \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131larak hesaplanan enflasyon) %2,9 ile \u00e7ok uzun y\u0131llar\u0131n zirvesine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, BoJ\u2019un \u015fahin duru\u015funu (faiz art\u0131rmaya daha yatk\u0131n tutum) g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor ve yenin belirgin zay\u0131flamas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.\n\nT\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fme) i\u015flemi yapanlar i\u00e7in bu ortam, yatay hareketten kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Straddle ya da strangle sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 (opsiyon primi toplamak i\u00e7in ayn\u0131 vade i\u00e7inde farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 birlikte satma) ve kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 son bant d\u0131\u015f\u0131na yerle\u015ftirmek, parite bantta kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece prim (opsiyonun pe\u015fin fiyat\u0131) geliri sa\u011flayabilir. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ima edilen volatilite, prim toplama stratejilerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.\n\nBu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck risk, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n t\u0131rmanmas\u0131. Bu durum Brent petrol\u00fc varil ba\u015f\u0131na 110 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutuyor. Petrolde ani bir s\u0131\u00e7rama, merkez bankalar\u0131ndan birini beklenenden daha sert ad\u0131m atmaya zorlayarak mevcut s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 bozabilir. Bu nedenle, toplanan primin bir k\u0131sm\u0131yla \u00e7ok daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 ve \u00e7ok uzak kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (far out-of-the-money: mevcut fiyattan \u00e7ok uzakta olan) opsiyon almak, ani k\u0131r\u0131lmaya kar\u015f\u0131 koruma (hedge: riski azaltmak i\u00e7in ters y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon) sa\u011flayabilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>GBP\/JPY Asya\u2019da gap\u2019i kapat\u0131p 212 alt\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131; opsiyon volatilitesi 8,5\u2019le dipte. Yen m\u00fcdahale riski ve Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor; k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m riski petrolde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30917","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30917","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30917"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30917\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30917"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30917"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30917"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}