{"id":30886,"date":"2026-03-23T01:02:44","date_gmt":"2026-03-23T01:02:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/sterlin-orta-dogu-geriliminin-dolara-talebi-artirip-gbp-usdde-risk-istahini-azaltmasiyla-13320-civarina-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-23T01:02:44","modified_gmt":"2026-03-23T01:02:44","slug":"sterlin-orta-dogu-geriliminin-dolara-talebi-artirip-gbp-usdde-risk-istahini-azaltmasiyla-13320-civarina-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/sterlin-orta-dogu-geriliminin-dolara-talebi-artirip-gbp-usdde-risk-istahini-azaltmasiyla-13320-civarina-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Sterlin, Orta Do\u011fu geriliminin dolara talebi art\u0131r\u0131p GBP\/USD\u2019de risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 azaltmas\u0131yla 1,3320 civar\u0131na geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya seans\u0131n\u0131n erken saatlerinde 1,3320\u2019ye do\u011fru geriledi. Riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f e\u011filiminin (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klardan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p daha g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) artmas\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 olu\u015fturdu. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar, g\u00fcvenli liman para birimlerine (belirsizlikte talep g\u00f6ren para birimleri) ve ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na talebi destekledi.\n\nThe Jerusalem Post, ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Kharg Adas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 ele ge\u00e7irmek i\u00e7in bir kara operasyonu (askerlerin karadan y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc askeri operasyon) se\u00e7ene\u011fini de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fini yazd\u0131. Bir ABD yetkilisi, ABD ordusunun Orta Do\u011fu\u2019ya binlerce Deniz Piyadesi ve Donanma personeli sevkiyat\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.\n\n<h3>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda Gerilim T\u0131rman\u0131yor<\/h3>\nABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, Cumartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 48 saat i\u00e7inde a\u00e7\u0131lmazsa \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n enerji santrallerinin (elektrik \u00fcreten tesisler) hedef al\u0131naca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, en b\u00fcy\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden ba\u015flanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131, enerji sevkiyat\u0131 (petrol ve gaz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131) i\u00e7in kritik bir ge\u00e7i\u015f hatt\u0131.\n\nBirle\u015fik Krall\u0131k Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Keir Starmer, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Andrew Bailey ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 Rachel Reeves\u2019in, \u0130ran\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131n ekonomi \u00fczerindeki etkisini (ekonomik sonu\u00e7lar) g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmek \u00fczere Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc acil toplant\u0131ya kat\u0131lmas\u0131 bekleniyor. \u0130ngiltere h\u00fck\u00fcmeti toplant\u0131y\u0131 do\u011frulad\u0131.\n\nBoE, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc Mart toplant\u0131s\u0131nda politika faizini (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n belirledi\u011fi temel faiz oran\u0131) beklentilere paralel \u015fekilde %3,75\u2019te sabit tuttu. Bailey, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede enflasyonu (genel fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) y\u00fckseltebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda g\u00fcvenli deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n yeniden sa\u011flanmas\u0131yla ili\u015fkilendirdi.\n\n<h3>Petrol Oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Korunma (Hedging)<\/h3>\n2025\u2019teki H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 krizinin en b\u00fcy\u00fck etkisi enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; Brent petrol (Kuzey Denizi referans ham petrol fiyat\u0131) k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine varil ba\u015f\u0131na 150 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine s\u0131\u00e7ray\u0131p sonras\u0131nda dengelenmi\u015fti. \u015eu anda petrol varil ba\u015f\u0131na 95 dolar civar\u0131nda gergin bir seviyede seyrederken, enerji t\u00fcrevlerinde (fiyat\u0131 petrol gibi bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 finansal \u00fcr\u00fcnler) z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) kriz \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re y\u00fcksek kal\u0131yor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, b\u00f6lgedeki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma riskine kar\u015f\u0131 petrol vadeli i\u015flem s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerinde al\u0131m opsiyonu (belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) kullanarak korunmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir.\n\nBailey\u2019nin 2025\u2019te uyard\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi enerji \u015foku ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti ve \u0130ngiltere enflasyonu ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde %7,1\u2019e kadar \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u0130ngiltere T\u00dcFE\u2019si (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi; enflasyonun temel g\u00f6stergesi) \u015fimdi %4,3\u2019e gerilese de y\u00fcksek kal\u0131yor; bu da BoE\u2019yi politika faizini %5,0 seviyesinde tutmaya zorluyor (2025\u2019in sonlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen seviye). Bu tablo, BoE\u2019nin faizleri uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutaca\u011f\u0131 senaryoya kar\u015f\u0131 faiz swaplar\u0131 (taraflar\u0131n faiz \u00f6demelerini takas etti\u011fi s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) ile pozisyon al\u0131nabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nSterlin de bu bask\u0131y\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor; dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda 1,2510 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor ve 2025 krizinin zirvesine k\u0131yasla belirgin \u015fekilde daha zay\u0131f. Y\u00fcksek faizler para birimini desteklerken, zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc bask\u0131 kuruyor. Bu nedenle GBP\/USD\u2019de strangle gibi opsiyon stratejileri (fiyat\u0131n yukar\u0131 ya da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareket etmesinden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen, ayn\u0131 vadede al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu alma stratejisi) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n\nBirle\u015fik Krall\u0131k ekonomisi resesyondan (ekonomik daralma) k\u0131l pay\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131nd\u0131; ancak 2025\u2019in 4. \u00e7eyre\u011finde GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi (ekonominin toplam \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131) %0,0 ile yatay kald\u0131 ve son \u015firket yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 verileri zay\u0131f geldi. Bu k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131k, dolar\u0131n yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi halinde GBP\/USD\u2019nin kriz sonras\u0131 diplerine yakla\u015fabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor; bu risk i\u00e7in koruyucu sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta i\u015flevi g\u00f6ren opsiyon) tercih edilebilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ortado\u011fu gerilimi risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 bozdu; GBP\/USD 1,3320\u2019ye gerilerken dolar g\u00fcvenli liman talebiyle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz tehdidi petrol oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor; BoE enflasyon kayg\u0131s\u0131yla faizi y\u00fcksek tutabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30886","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30886","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30886"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30886\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30886"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30886"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30886"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}