{"id":30881,"date":"2026-03-22T17:01:40","date_gmt":"2026-03-22T17:01:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abd-israilin-iranla-catismalari-dorduncu-haftaya-girerken-trumptan-irana-hurmuz-icin-48-saatlik-ultimatom\/"},"modified":"2026-03-22T17:01:40","modified_gmt":"2026-03-22T17:01:40","slug":"abd-israilin-iranla-catismalari-dorduncu-haftaya-girerken-trumptan-irana-hurmuz-icin-48-saatlik-ultimatom","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-israilin-iranla-catismalari-dorduncu-haftaya-girerken-trumptan-irana-hurmuz-icin-48-saatlik-ultimatom\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD-\u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019la \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc haftaya girerken Trump\u2019tan \u0130ran\u2019a H\u00fcrm\u00fcz i\u00e7in 48 saatlik \u00fcltimatom"},"content":{"rendered":"ABD, \u0130srail ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n d\u00e2hil oldu\u011fu sava\u015f d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc haftas\u0131na girdi. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, \u0130ran 48 saat i\u00e7inde H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 a\u00e7mazsa, en b\u00fcy\u00fc\u011f\u00fcyle ba\u015flayarak \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n elektrik santrallerini \u201ctamamen yok edeceklerini\u201d s\u00f6yledi.  \n\n\u0130ran, ABD\u2019nin elektrik santrallerine sald\u0131rmas\u0131 h\u00e2linde Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da ABD ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 enerji altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 hedef alarak kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verece\u011fini bildirdi. Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130ran Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131, ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n enerji tesislerine y\u00f6nelik tehditlerini hayata ge\u00e7irmesi h\u00e2linde H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n tamamen kapat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131 ve ABD ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 bulunan \u015firketlerin \u201ctamamen yok edilece\u011fini\u201d \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc.  \n\n<h3>Strait Of Hormuz Shipping Status<\/h3>  \n\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n BM\u2019ye ba\u011fl\u0131 denizcilik kurulu\u015fundaki temsilcisi, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmanlar\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 gemiler d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda t\u00fcm deniz trafi\u011fine a\u00e7\u0131k oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.  \n\nG7 d\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri bakanlar\u0131, cumartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u201ct\u00fcm sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 derhal ve ko\u015fulsuz durdurmas\u0131n\u0131\u201d istediklerini belirtti. G7 ayr\u0131ca k\u00fcresel enerji arz\u0131n\u0131 desteklemek i\u00e7in ad\u0131m atmaya haz\u0131r oldu\u011funu ifade etti.  \n\n\u0130ran, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmada ilk kez uzun menzilli f\u00fczeler (uzak hedefleri vurabilen f\u00fczeler) kulland\u0131 ve \u0130srail\u2019in g\u00fcneyindeki Dimona\u2019y\u0131, askeri \u00fcsler ve Negev N\u00fckleer Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi yak\u0131nlar\u0131n\u0131 vurdu. Uluslararas\u0131 Atom Enerjisi Ajans\u0131 (IAEA, n\u00fckleer tesisleri denetleyen kurum) n\u00fckleer tesiste hasar oldu\u011funa dair bulgu olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. BBC ise 160\u2019tan fazla ki\u015finin yaraland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, baz\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n durumunun a\u011f\u0131r oldu\u011funu bildirdi.  \n\nPiyasalar\u0131n ilk oda\u011f\u0131 ham petrol. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sinin ge\u00e7ti\u011fi dar ge\u00e7it (bo\u011faz\u0131n kapanmas\u0131 h\u00e2linde arz\u0131n h\u0131zla kesilebilece\u011fi kritik nokta). Bu nedenle a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 oynakl\u0131k (fiyatlar\u0131n \u00e7ok sert ve h\u0131zl\u0131 dalgalanmas\u0131) beklenmeli. Olas\u0131 arz \u015fokunda y\u00fckseli\u015fi yakalamak i\u00e7in Brent ve WTI vadeli i\u015flemleri (belirli tarihte al\u0131m-sat\u0131m anla\u015fmas\u0131) \u00fczerine al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call, belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan strateji olur. Ancak bu opsiyonlar\u0131n maliyeti, yani z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyat\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek olur; bu da piyasan\u0131n korkusunu yans\u0131t\u0131r.  \n\n<h3>Volatility And Hedging Approaches<\/h3>  \nBu tablo daha \u00f6nce g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc ve olas\u0131 fiyat hareketi b\u00fcy\u00fck. 1990 K\u00f6rfez Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019nda petrol fiyatlar\u0131 birka\u00e7 ay i\u00e7inde iki kattan fazla artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. 2019\u2019da Suudi tesislerine y\u00f6nelik \u0130HA (insans\u0131z hava arac\u0131) sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 da tek g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019lik s\u0131\u00e7ramaya yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. ABD ve \u0130ran\u2019dan gelen sert s\u00f6ylem, ge\u00e7mi\u015f \u00f6rneklerden daha a\u011f\u0131r bir kesintinin g\u00fcndemde olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.  \n\nEnerjinin \u00f6tesinde, piyasan\u0131n \u201ckorku g\u00f6stergesi\u201d olarak bilinen CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX; S&#038;P 500 i\u00e7in beklenen dalgalanmay\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) izlenmeli. VIX\u2019in 2020 pandemi \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden beri g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen seviyelere \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, 50-60 band\u0131n\u0131 zorlamas\u0131 olas\u0131. VIX vadeli i\u015flemlerinde i\u015flem yapmak veya endeks \u00fczerine al\u0131m opsiyonu almak, piyasadaki panik ve belirsizli\u011fin s\u00fcrmesine y\u00f6nelik do\u011frudan pozisyon almak anlam\u0131na gelir.  \n\nBu kadar y\u00fcksek risk alg\u0131s\u0131nda, hisse portf\u00f6y\u00fcn\u00fc korumak i\u00e7in endeks sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (put; belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) kullan\u0131labilir. S&#038;P 500 veya Nasdaq 100 \u00fczerine put almak, genel bir sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f korumas\u0131 sa\u011flar. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f enflasyon ve durgunluk endi\u015felerini b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcrse bu koruma daha de\u011ferli h\u00e2le gelir; bu t\u00fcr pozisyonlar portf\u00f6y i\u00e7in sigorta i\u015flevi g\u00f6r\u00fcr.  \n\nBaz\u0131 sekt\u00f6rler farkl\u0131 y\u00f6nde etkilenir; bu da \u201c\u00e7ift i\u015flem\u201d (pairs trade: bir varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 al\u0131p benzerini satma\/ters pozisyon alma) f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 yarat\u0131r. Basra K\u00f6rfezi d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan savunma \u015firketleri ve deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 firmalar\u0131 i\u00e7in al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, yak\u0131t maliyetlerinden ve jeopolitik riskten do\u011frudan olumsuz etkilenen havayollar\u0131 ve kruvaziyer \u015firketlerinde sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 mant\u0131kl\u0131 bir koruma olabilir.  \n\nY\u00fcksek z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k, \u201cprim sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131\u201d (opsiyon satarak gelir elde etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar) i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek riskli bir f\u0131rsat yarat\u0131r. Petrolde ve hisse endekslerinde \u00e7ok uzak fiyat seviyeli put ve call satmak (far out-of-the-money: mevcut fiyattan \u00e7ok uzakta) piyasa korkusu nedeniyle y\u00fcksek prim (opsiyon \u00fccreti) sa\u011flar. Ancak ani bir t\u0131rmanma h\u00e2linde kay\u0131plar \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fcyebilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu yakla\u015f\u0131m \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n mevcut beklentilerin \u00f6tesine ge\u00e7memesine dayan\u0131r.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz alarm\u0131: ABD-\u0130ran gerilimi 4. haftada t\u0131rman\u0131yor; Trump \u201c48 saatte a\u00e7\u0131lmazsa santralleri vururuz\u201d dedi. \u0130ran misilleme ve bo\u011faz\u0131 kapatma tehdidi savurdu; petrol ve VIX\u2019te sert oynakl\u0131k bekleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30881","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30881","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30881"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30881\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30881"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30881"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30881"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}