{"id":30870,"date":"2026-03-21T01:03:23","date_gmt":"2026-03-21T01:03:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/iran-savasi-korkulari-artarken-sahin-fed-faizleri-sabit-tutuyor-abd-dolari-zayifliyor-dxy-100un-altina-geriliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-21T01:03:23","modified_gmt":"2026-03-21T01:03:23","slug":"iran-savasi-korkulari-artarken-sahin-fed-faizleri-sabit-tutuyor-abd-dolari-zayifliyor-dxy-100un-altina-geriliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/iran-savasi-korkulari-artarken-sahin-fed-faizleri-sabit-tutuyor-abd-dolari-zayifliyor-dxy-100un-altina-geriliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 korkular\u0131 artarken \u015fahin Fed faizleri sabit tutuyor, ABD Dolar\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131yor; DXY 100\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131na geriliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"ABD Dolar Endeksi, Federal Rezerv\u2019in (Fed) faizi %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan hafta ortas\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen y\u00fckseli\u015ften sonra cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yeniden 100,00 seviyesinin alt\u0131na inerek 99,60\u2019a geriledi. \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc haftas\u0131n\u0131 bitirmeye yakla\u015f\u0131yor; H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 fiilen kapal\u0131 kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor ve haberlere g\u00f6re Pentagon binlerce Deniz Piyadesi (Marines) daha g\u00f6nderiyor.\n\nEUR\/USD 2026\u2019n\u0131n yeni diplerini test ettikten sonra 1,1550 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Piyasalar bu y\u0131l Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) faiz art\u0131rma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %85 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor. GBP\/USD, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) faizi sabit tutmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen enerji kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon s\u00fcrerse \u201cs\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma\u201d (faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ya da finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131rma) g\u00fcndeme gelebilece\u011fi sinyalini vermesi sonras\u0131 1,3330 \u00e7evresinde seyretti.\n\nUSD\/JPY, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) para politikas\u0131n\u0131 \u201cnormalle\u015ftirmeye\u201d (ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc gev\u015fek politikadan kademeli \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f) d\u00f6nebilece\u011fine i\u015faret etmesiyle 159,30 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. AUD\/USD, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) art arda ikinci faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sonras\u0131 0,7010 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131.\n\nWTI (ABD tipi ham petrol) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 98 dolar civar\u0131nda, haftal\u0131k zirvesine yak\u0131n i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Alt\u0131n, daha y\u00fcksek ABD Hazine tahvili getirileri ve zorunlu sat\u0131\u015flar (\u00f6rne\u011fin teminat tamamlama nedeniyle yap\u0131lan sat\u0131\u015flar) e\u015fli\u011finde 4.583 dolara geriledi.\n\nPazartesiden cumartesiye ECB, Fed, BoE ve RBNZ\u2019den (Yeni Zelanda Merkez Bankas\u0131) \u00e7ok say\u0131da yetkilinin konu\u015fmas\u0131 bekleniyor. \u00d6ne \u00e7\u0131kan veriler: Euro B\u00f6lgesi g\u00fcven endeksleri, PMI\u2019lar (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; ekonomik faaliyetin nabz\u0131n\u0131 tutar) ve HICP (uyumla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f t\u00fcketici enflasyonu; Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin standart enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi), Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k enflasyonu ve perakende sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131, ABD ADP istihdam verisi (\u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam tahmini), i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 ve Michigan g\u00fcven endeksi; ayr\u0131ca Japonya T\u00dcFE (CPI) ve BoJ tutanaklar\u0131.\n\n\u0130ran\u2019daki s\u00fcregelen \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma, WTI petrol t\u00fcrevlerini (vadeli i\u015flem ve opsiyon gibi petrol fiyat\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) oda\u011fa ta\u015f\u0131yor. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 kapal\u0131yken ve WTI 98 dolar civar\u0131ndayken, 2024 ve 2025\u2019teki K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz aksamalar\u0131na k\u0131yasla daha a\u011f\u0131r bir arz \u015foku (tedarik kesintisi) ya\u015fan\u0131yor. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak EIA (ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi) stok raporu yak\u0131ndan izlenecek. Beklenti, ge\u00e7en haftaya benzer bir \u201cdraw\u201d (stoklarda azalma) gelmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde; gerilim d\u00fc\u015fmezse bu durum fiyatlar\u0131 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yabilir.\n\nBelirsizlik nedeniyle varl\u0131k s\u0131n\u0131flar\u0131 genelinde ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility; opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen beklenen dalgalanma) y\u00fcksek kalacakt\u0131r; bu da opsiyon primlerini (opsiyonun maliyeti) pahal\u0131 yapar. Bu ortam, b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketlerinden faydalanan stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131r; \u00f6rne\u011fin jeopolitik haberler \u00f6ncesinde petrol vadeli i\u015flemlerinde straddle almak (ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu birlikte; fiyat\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareket etmesine oynar). Ayr\u0131ca \u201criskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d (risk-off; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) havas\u0131 izlenmeli; RBA\u2019n\u0131n faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na ra\u011fmen bu e\u011filim Avustralya dolar\u0131 gibi para birimlerini bask\u0131lamay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz krizi piyasay\u0131 kilitledi: Dolar endeksi 99,60\u2019a inerken euro\/dolar 1,1550\u2019de. WTI 98 dolarda; stok verisi 100 dolar\u0131 tetikleyebilir. Merkez bankac\u0131lar\u0131, enflasyon-PMI g\u00fcndemi. Oynakl\u0131k\/opsiyon primleri y\u00fcksek. Straddle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30870","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30870","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30870"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30870\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30870"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30870"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30870"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}