{"id":30869,"date":"2026-03-21T01:02:36","date_gmt":"2026-03-21T01:02:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/altin-yukselen-petrol-fiyatlari-abd-tahvil-getirileri-ve-guclenen-dolarin-guvenli-liman-talebinin-etkisiyle-sekiz-seanslik-kayip-serisinin-ardindan-4-500-dolara-yaklasti\/"},"modified":"2026-03-21T01:02:36","modified_gmt":"2026-03-21T01:02:36","slug":"altin-yukselen-petrol-fiyatlari-abd-tahvil-getirileri-ve-guclenen-dolarin-guvenli-liman-talebinin-etkisiyle-sekiz-seanslik-kayip-serisinin-ardindan-4-500-dolara-yaklasti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/altin-yukselen-petrol-fiyatlari-abd-tahvil-getirileri-ve-guclenen-dolarin-guvenli-liman-talebinin-etkisiyle-sekiz-seanslik-kayip-serisinin-ardindan-4-500-dolara-yaklasti\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n, y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131, ABD tahvil getirileri ve g\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman talebinin etkisiyle sekiz seansl\u0131k kay\u0131p serisinin ard\u0131ndan 4.500 dolara yakla\u015ft\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n, cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00fcst \u00fcste sekizinci kez geriledi ve haftay\u0131 y\u00fczde 8,50\u2019den fazla kay\u0131pla kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. XAU\/USD 4.560 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i kay\u0131p y\u00fczde 2\u2019ye yakla\u015ft\u0131. ABD Dolar Endeksi ise y\u00fczde 0,43 y\u00fckseli\u015fle 99,58\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.\n\nY\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ve ABD Hazine tahvili faizlerindeki art\u0131\u015f alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kurdu. 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD tahvil faizi (devletin 10 y\u0131l vadeli bor\u00e7lanma faizi) yakla\u015f\u0131k 14 baz puan (y\u00fczde 0,14 puan) artarak y\u00fczde 4,384\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Piyasalar faiz indirimi beklentisinden uzakla\u015f\u0131rken, bu y\u0131l faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131.\n\nOrta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilim, Pentagon\u2019un b\u00f6lgeye ek asker g\u00f6nderdi\u011fine dair haberlerin ard\u0131ndan enerji piyasalar\u0131ndaki hareketi h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131. WTI ham petrol (ABD tipi ham petrol) \u0130ran ve K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkelerinde, Suudi Arabistan, Katar ve Kuveyt dahil enerji tesisleri ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131 ve misilleme haberleri sonras\u0131 y\u00fczde 4\u2019e yak\u0131n y\u00fckselerek varil ba\u015f\u0131na 98,29 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.\n\nABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) cephesinden gelen a\u00e7\u0131klamalar enflasyona (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131) kar\u015f\u0131 daha s\u0131k\u0131 bir duru\u015fa i\u015faret etti. Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell, faiz indirimlerini enflasyonda daha net bir yava\u015flama g\u00f6r\u00fclmesine ba\u011flad\u0131. Fed \u00fcyesi Christopher Waller, enflasyonun y\u00fckseldi\u011fini belirtirken, uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek kalan petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ekirdek enflasyona (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) yans\u0131yabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Fed \u00fcyesi Michelle Bowman ise bu y\u0131l \u00fc\u00e7 faiz indirimi bekledi\u011fini ifade etti.\n\nTeknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde alt\u0131n, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (SMA: belirli g\u00fcnlerin ortalama fiyat\u0131; trendi \u00f6l\u00e7mek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) bulundu\u011fu 4.581 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 4.402 dolar ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fi 4.066 dolar destek olarak izleniyor. 4.600 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n bulundu\u011fu 4.961 dolar\u0131 yeniden g\u00fcndeme getirebilir. RSI (G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinde olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) ise \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m\u201d b\u00f6lgesine yakla\u015f\u0131yor.\n\nAlt\u0131nda k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n netle\u015fmesiyle k\u0131sa vadeli yakla\u015f\u0131m a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc olmal\u0131. Petrol\u00fcn sert y\u00fckselmesi, tahvil faizlerindeki art\u0131\u015f ve Fed\u2019in daha \u015fahin (enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 faizleri y\u00fcksek tutmaya e\u011filimli) duru\u015fu, faiz getirisi olmayan varl\u0131klar i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir olumsuz r\u00fczg\u00e2r yarat\u0131yor. Daha fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften yararlanmak i\u00e7in sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) al\u0131nmas\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilebilir; \u00f6zellikle momentumun (fiyat hareketinin h\u0131z\u0131 ve y\u00f6n\u00fc) sat\u0131c\u0131lardan yana oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.\n\nVolatilite (fiyat oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131) yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ana oda\u011f\u0131 haline geldi. CBOE Alt\u0131n Volatilite Endeksi (GVZ: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen beklenen oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi) 25\u2019in \u00fczerine s\u0131\u00e7rayarak 2025 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki dalgal\u0131 d\u00f6nemden bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyelere \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu, opsiyonlar\u0131n daha pahal\u0131 hale geldi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor; ayn\u0131 zamanda piyasada sert fiyat hareketi beklentisini de teyit ediyor. Put almak, hem d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnden hem de artan belirsizlikten faydalanma imk\u00e2n\u0131 sa\u011flar.\n\n\u0130zlenecek kritik teknik seviye 4.402 dolar. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinin h\u0131zlanmas\u0131na i\u015faret edebilir ve 4.000 dolar e\u015fi\u011fini g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. 4.400 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131ndaki kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131na (strike: opsiyonun hakk\u0131 kulland\u0131ran fiyat\u0131) sahip pozisyonlar art\u0131r\u0131labilir veya yeni a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir; hedef olarak 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama izlenebilir.\n\nRSI \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m\u201d b\u00f6lgesine yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli bir tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn; ancak bu hareket sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. B\u00fcy\u00fck alt\u0131n ETF\u2019lerinde (borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren fon) put\/call oran\u0131 (sat\u0131m opsiyonu \/ al\u0131m opsiyonu oran\u0131; piyasan\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f-y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimini g\u00f6sterir) bu hafta 1,5\u2019e 1\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; bu da genel pozisyonlanman\u0131n daha fazla zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret etti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. 4.900 dolar direncinin \u00fczerinde \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 piyasaya g\u00f6re uzak; ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi zor) al\u0131m opsiyonu spread\u2019leri (ayn\u0131 vadede farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 opsiyonlar\u0131 birlikte kullanma stratejisi) satmak, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc beklentiyi korurken gelir yaratman\u0131n bir yolu olabilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alt\u0131nda sert sat\u0131\u015f: XAU\/USD sekizinci g\u00fcn d\u00fc\u015ferek haftal\u0131k %8,5 kayba gidiyor. Petrol ve ABD tahvil faizleri y\u00fckselirken Fed \u015fahinle\u015fti. 4.402 kritik destek; volatilite s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131, put talebi artt\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30869","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30869","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30869"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30869\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30869"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30869"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30869"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}