{"id":30862,"date":"2026-03-21T00:03:37","date_gmt":"2026-03-21T00:03:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/eur-usd-hafif-geriliyor-11600-altinda-saticilar-baskin-daha-guclu-dolar-eurodaki-toparlanma-denemelerini-sinirliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-21T00:03:37","modified_gmt":"2026-03-21T00:03:37","slug":"eur-usd-hafif-geriliyor-11600-altinda-saticilar-baskin-daha-guclu-dolar-eurodaki-toparlanma-denemelerini-sinirliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/eur-usd-hafif-geriliyor-11600-altinda-saticilar-baskin-daha-guclu-dolar-eurodaki-toparlanma-denemelerini-sinirliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD hafif geriliyor, 1,1600 alt\u0131nda sat\u0131c\u0131lar bask\u0131n; daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar eurodaki toparlanma denemelerini s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc hafif geriledi. ABD Dolar\u0131 toparlan\u0131rken parite 1,1600 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kalamad\u0131. Yaz\u0131n\u0131n yaz\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131rada 1,1542 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131; g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,38 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. \n\nG\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ra\u011fmen EUR\/USD, art arda iki haftal\u0131k gerilemenin ard\u0131ndan haftay\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fle kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yordu. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) 99,67 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131; per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %1,10 d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \n\n

Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ve Trend Ba\u011flam\u0131<\/h3> \nG\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte EUR\/USD, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalamalar\u0131n (SMA: belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki kapan\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ortalamas\u0131; trendi g\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Parite, 1,2000 b\u00f6lgesinden ba\u015flayan d\u00fczeltme (\u00f6nceki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareket sonras\u0131 ge\u00e7ici geri \u00e7ekilme) s\u00fcrecinden bu yana daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tepeler (her y\u00fckseli\u015f denemesinde daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck zirve) serisi i\u00e7inde hareket ediyor. \n\nMomentum (fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm) zay\u0131ft\u0131; 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: 0-100 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 30 alt\u0131 \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m\u201d, 70 \u00fcst\u00fc \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\u201d olarak izlenir) 43 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. RSI daha \u00f6nce 30\u2019un alt\u0131na inmi\u015fti; ancak yukar\u0131 ya da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde belirgin bir h\u0131zlanma g\u00f6r\u00fclmedi. \n\nDiren\u00e7 (fiyat y\u00fckselirken zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) 1,1600\u2019de. Daha geni\u015f diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesi 1,1670-1,1730 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda. Fiyat bu band\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karsa 1,1900 ve ard\u0131ndan 1,2000 g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. \n\nDestek (fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferken tutunmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) 1,1400 civar\u0131nda. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na sarkma 1,1300-1,1200 band\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karabilir. \n\n

Makro Zeminde De\u011fi\u015fim<\/h3> \nGe\u00e7en y\u0131lki de\u011ferlendirmeye d\u00f6n\u00fcp bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, EUR\/USD\u2019nin 1,15 civar\u0131nda kritik hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 negatif (ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 e\u011filimi: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisi) bir hava \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yordu. Odak, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmayd\u0131; RSI da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyordu. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m 2025\u2019te yayg\u0131nd\u0131; piyasa bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n merkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131n\u0131 sindiriyordu. \n\nSonras\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm de\u011fi\u015fti. 1,2000\u2019den gelen geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 d\u00fczeltme taban buldu ve parite ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n sonuna do\u011fru 1,1730 diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesini net bi\u00e7imde a\u015ft\u0131. \u015eimdi 1,1850 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; bu, \u00f6nceki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f yap\u0131s\u0131na k\u0131yasla belirgin bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f. Bu hareketin ana nedeni, o d\u00f6nemde hen\u00fcz fiyatlara tam yans\u0131mam\u0131\u015f olan merkez bankas\u0131 beklentilerindeki ayr\u0131\u015fmayd\u0131 (ECB ve Fed\u2019in faiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn farkl\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131). \n\nSon veriler bu de\u011fi\u015fimi destekliyor. \u015eubat ay\u0131 Euro B\u00f6lgesi Uyumla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (HICP: \u00fclkeler aras\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131labilir enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) %3,1 ile y\u00fcksek seyrini korudu ve Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, ABD\u2019de tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (Non-Farm Payrolls: tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerde ayl\u0131k istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131) 155 bin oldu; beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kalarak i\u015f art\u0131\u015f\u0131nda yava\u015flamaya i\u015faret etti. Bu da piyasan\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) daha \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na daha az istekli, daha gev\u015fek para politikas\u0131na yak\u0131n) bir \u00e7izgiye kayabilece\u011fini fiyatlamas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131. ABD Dolar Endeksi bu zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yans\u0131tarak 95,50 civar\u0131na geriledi. \n\n\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketin s\u00fcrmesinden veya bu y\u00fcksek seviyelerde yatay seyrin (belli bir bant i\u00e7inde dalgalanma) devam\u0131ndan faydalanan stratejiler izlenebilir. \u201cCall\u201d opsiyonu almak (belirli bir vadede belirli fiyattan al\u0131m hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) ve kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131n\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131n\u0131n kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 fiyat) psikolojik 1,2000 seviyesine koymak olas\u0131 bir yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir. Bu y\u00f6ntemle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131, euronun g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesinden yararlan\u0131rken azami riskini \u00f6dedi\u011fi primle (opsiyon bedeli) s\u0131n\u0131rlar. \n\nRallinin (h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f) sindirilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler i\u00e7in, paran\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda (out-of-the-money: mevcut fiyata g\u00f6re hemen k\u00e2rda olmayan) \u201cput\u201d opsiyonu satmak (belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131 tarafa vermek) ve kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131n\u0131 1,1700 destek seviyesine yak\u0131n belirlemek alternatif olabilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, prim geliri toplama imk\u00e2n\u0131 verir ve paritenin k\u0131sa vadede belirgin bi\u00e7imde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne dayan\u0131r. Mevcut z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen, piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi dalgalanma) yakla\u015f\u0131k %8,5 oldu\u011fundan prim toplama stratejileri g\u00f6rece cazip g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. \n\nRisk y\u00f6netimi i\u00e7in, hik\u00e2yeyi de\u011fi\u015ftirebilecek sert veri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fleri izlenmeli. Korunma (hedge: portf\u00f6y riskini azaltma) amac\u0131yla 1,1550 civar\u0131nda \u00e7ok daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (far out-of-the-money: cari fiyattan \u00e7ok uzak) put opsiyonu almak, ABD dolar\u0131nda beklenmedik bir g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeye kar\u015f\u0131 portf\u00f6y\u00fc koruyabilir. Bu, dolar\u0131n ani toparlanmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli \u201csigorta\u201d i\u015flevi g\u00f6r\u00fcr.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kritik soru: EUR\/USD\u2019de y\u00f6n neresi? Parite 1,1600\u2019\u00fc a\u015famad\u0131; momentum zay\u0131f, RSI 43. 1,1400 destek, 1,1670-1,1730 diren\u00e7. Fed-ECB ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, opsiyon stratejilerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30862","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30862","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30862"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30862\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30862"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30862"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30862"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}