{"id":30860,"date":"2026-03-21T00:02:16","date_gmt":"2026-03-21T00:02:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/orta-dogudaki-artan-catisma-ve-yukselen-petrol-fiyatlari-riskten-kacisi-tetikledi-dolarin-guclenmesiyle-gbp-usd-13350nin-altina-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-21T00:02:16","modified_gmt":"2026-03-21T00:02:16","slug":"orta-dogudaki-artan-catisma-ve-yukselen-petrol-fiyatlari-riskten-kacisi-tetikledi-dolarin-guclenmesiyle-gbp-usd-13350nin-altina-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/orta-dogudaki-artan-catisma-ve-yukselen-petrol-fiyatlari-riskten-kacisi-tetikledi-dolarin-guclenmesiyle-gbp-usd-13350nin-altina-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki artan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ve y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131 riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131 tetikledi; dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle GBP\/USD 1,3350\u2019nin alt\u0131na geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,84 geriledi. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131n t\u0131rmanmas\u0131yla risk i\u015ftah\u0131 zay\u0131flad\u0131 ve piyasalar 2026\u2019da ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz indirimi yapmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlad\u0131. Parite, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i 1,3442 zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 1,3350\u2019nin alt\u0131na indi.\n\nHam petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekledi. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY, dolar\u0131n di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) %0,48 artt\u0131. Enerji kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon (genel fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) endi\u015feleriyle dolara talep y\u00fckseldi.\n\n<h3>Merkez Bankas\u0131 Mesajlar\u0131 ve Piyasa Fiyatlamas\u0131<\/h3>\n\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) politika faizini (Bank Rate) de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi. Karar 9\u2019a 0 oyla al\u0131nd\u0131. ABD-\u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sava\u015f\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 d\u0131\u015f enflasyon \u015foklar\u0131 (\u00fclke d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan gelen fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Para piyasalar\u0131 (k\u0131sa vadeli faizlerin i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc piyasa) daha sonra y\u0131l sonuna kadar toplam 78 baz puan (bp, faiz oran\u0131nda %0,01\u2019lik de\u011fi\u015fim) faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatlad\u0131.\n\nFed de faizleri sabit tuttu. Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell, faiz indirimlerinin ek enflasyon ilerlemesine ba\u011fl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi ve \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131 yapt\u0131. Christopher Waller, petrol\u00fcn aylarca y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ekirdek enflasyona (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) yans\u0131yabilece\u011fini belirtti. Michelle Bowman ise bu y\u0131l \u00fc\u00e7 faiz indirimi \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yledi.\n\nPrime Market Terminal verilerine g\u00f6re piyasalar, bir sonraki toplant\u0131da Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131rma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %13 olarak fiyatlad\u0131. Gelecek hafta ABD\u2019de \u00f6nc\u00fc PMI verileri (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; b\u00fcy\u00fcme\/daralma sinyali veren anket), i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 ve toptan stoklar; \u0130ngiltere\u2019de ise \u00f6nc\u00fc PMI, T\u00dcFE (CPI, t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi) ve \u00dcFE (PPI, \u00fcretici fiyat endeksi) izlenecek.\n\nTeknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde GBP\/USD 1,3313 seviyesindeydi. Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlan\u0131lan seviye) 1,3400, 1,3500 ve 1,3650; destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma seviyesi) 1,3313, 1,3250 ve 1,3035 olarak izleniyor. 1,3250 alt\u0131nda kapan\u0131\u015f 1,30\u2019lu seviyelere i\u015faret ederken, 1,3500 \u00fczeri hareket oda\u011f\u0131 1,3650\u2019ye \u00e7evirebilir.\n\n<h3>Y\u00fcksek Oynakl\u0131kta Opsiyon Konumlanmas\u0131<\/h3>\nA\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc beklenti i\u00e7in, maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek ad\u0131na do\u011frudan \u201cput\u201d (sat\u0131m opsiyonu; belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almak yerine \u201cbear put spread\u201d (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe y\u00f6nelik sat\u0131m spread\u2019i; bir sat\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 sat\u0131m opsiyonu satarak maliyeti azaltan strateji) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Jeopolitik gerilim y\u00fcksek kald\u0131k\u00e7a k\u0131sa vadede 1,3250 deste\u011fine do\u011fru hareket hedefi makul g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu strateji riskin s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131 belirlerken mevcut a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumu (fiyat\u0131n y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmesi) de\u011ferlendirmeyi ama\u00e7lar.\n\nAncak yakla\u015fan \u0130ngiltere enflasyon verisi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir belirsizlik unsuru. \u015eubatta \u0130ngiltere T\u00dcFE\u2019si beklenmedik \u015fekilde %3,5\u2019e y\u00fckselmi\u015fti; yeniden y\u00fcksek bir veri, BoE \u00fczerinde piyasalar\u0131n zaten fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 78 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n da \u00f6tesinde daha sert ad\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131 yaratabilir. Bu nedenle veri a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131na k\u0131sa pozisyonla (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc i\u015flem) girmek \u00f6nemli risk ta\u015f\u0131r.\n\n\u0130ngiltere T\u00dcFE a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 \u00e7evresindeki olas\u0131 sert oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u015flemlemek i\u00e7in \u201clong strangle\u201d (iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc opsiyon stratejisi; kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 piyasa fiyat\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda olan bir al\u0131m opsiyonu ve bir sat\u0131m opsiyonu alarak fiyat\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareketinden yararlanmay\u0131 hedefler) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Piyasa d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda (out-of-the-money, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyattan daha uzak) bir \u201ccall\u201d (al\u0131m opsiyonu; belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) ve bir \u201cput\u201d sat\u0131n alarak, fiyat\u0131n iki y\u00f6nde de sert hareketinden kazan\u00e7 hedeflenir. Bu, verinin piyasay\u0131 belirgin \u015fekilde \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisine dayal\u0131, do\u011frudan oynakl\u0131k odakl\u0131 bir i\u015flemdir.\n\nTeknik a\u00e7\u0131dan 1,3400 ve 1,3500 \u00e7evresindeki diren\u00e7ler \u015fimdilik g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Y\u00fckseli\u015fin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131na inanan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in 1,3450 \u00fczerindeki bir kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan k\u0131sa pozisyonla \u201ccall spread\u201d satmak (al\u0131m opsiyonu spread\u2019i; bir al\u0131m opsiyonu sat\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m opsiyonu alarak riski s\u0131n\u0131rlayan strateji) gelir yaratabilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, opsiyon primlerinin (opsiyon fiyat\u0131) y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu d\u00f6nemde primi de\u011ferlendirmeyi ve riskin s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131 korumay\u0131 hedefler.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jeopolitik gerilim ve y\u00fckselen petrol dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi: GBP\/USD cuma %0,84 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, 1,3350 alt\u0131na indi. BoE sabit kal\u0131rken piyasalar 78 bp art\u0131\u015f, Fed\u2019de 2026\u2019ya kadar indirim yok senaryosunu fiyatlad\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30860","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30860","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30860"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30860\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30860"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30860"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30860"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}