{"id":30854,"date":"2026-03-20T21:03:38","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T21:03:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/scotiabank-getiri-farklari-daralirken-cad-usd-karsisinda-hafif-yukselerek-g10un-zirvesine-cikti-boc-temkinli-kaldi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-20T21:03:38","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T21:03:38","slug":"scotiabank-getiri-farklari-daralirken-cad-usd-karsisinda-hafif-yukselerek-g10un-zirvesine-cikti-boc-temkinli-kaldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/scotiabank-getiri-farklari-daralirken-cad-usd-karsisinda-hafif-yukselerek-g10un-zirvesine-cikti-boc-temkinli-kaldi\/","title":{"rendered":"Scotiabank: Getiri farklar\u0131 daral\u0131rken CAD, USD kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda hafif y\u00fckselerek G10\u2019un zirvesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; BoC temkinli kald\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"Kanada dolar\u0131, ABD dolar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 hafif g\u00fc\u00e7lendi ve di\u011fer G10 para birimlerinin \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ti. Bu hareket, ABD\/\u0130ran geriliminin ilk a\u015famas\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen erken d\u00f6nemdeki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc performans\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi.\n\nGetiri farklar\u0131n\u0131n daralmas\u0131 ana etken olarak g\u00f6sterildi. Piyasada s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tepki yaratan Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoC) toplant\u0131s\u0131 da hareketle ili\u015fkilendirildi.\n\nPiyasalar, y\u0131l sonuna kadar BoC\u2019nin toplam yakla\u015f\u0131k 60 baz puan (bps) faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yordu. \u201cBaz puan\u201d, faiz oranlar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0,01\u2019lik (y\u00fczde birin y\u00fczde biri) de\u011fi\u015fimi ifade eder. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki iki toplant\u0131 i\u00e7in ise fiyatlama \u00e7ok s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yd\u0131; bu da politika beklentileri de\u011fi\u015firse kurun yeniden fiyatlanmas\u0131na a\u00e7\u0131k kap\u0131 b\u0131rak\u0131yordu.\n\n\u201cAdil de\u011fer\u201d (kurun temel g\u00f6stergelere g\u00f6re makul seviyesi) tahmini, getiri farklar\u0131ndaki son harekete ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak 1,3413 ile 1,34\u2019l\u00fc seviyelerin alt band\u0131na yerle\u015ftirildi. USDCAD\u2019nin (ABD dolar\u0131\/Kanada dolar\u0131) ocak sonundaki yerel bant \u00fcst\u00fcn\u00fc a\u015fmakta ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z oldu\u011fu, 1,37\u2019nin orta b\u00f6lgesinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir diren\u00e7 bulundu\u011fu belirtildi.\n\nKanada dolar\u0131 ABD dolar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 belirgin g\u00fc\u00e7 g\u00f6steriyor; bunu USDCAD\u2019de (ABD dolar\u0131\/Kanada dolar\u0131) daha fazla geri \u00e7ekilme i\u00e7in sinyal olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7lenme, Kanada ile ABD aras\u0131ndaki faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n daralmas\u0131yla destekleniyor. Piyasa \u015fu anda BoC\u2019nin y\u0131l sonuna kadar faizi yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,60 art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.\n\nBu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc destekleyen unsur olarak, Kanada\u2019n\u0131n \u015eubat 2026 t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (CPI: t\u00fcketicinin \u00f6dedi\u011fi fiyatlardaki art\u0131\u015f) verisinin %2,9 ile, beklenti olan %2,7\u2019nin biraz \u00fczerinde gelmesi ve BoC\u2019nin daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faiz art\u0131rmaya daha yatk\u0131n) olabilece\u011fi alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca WTI ham petrol (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) fiyatlar\u0131 varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131; bu da emtia fiyatlar\u0131na duyarl\u0131 \u201cloonie\u201d (Kanada dolar\u0131n\u0131n piyasa takma ad\u0131) i\u00e7in destekleyici bir zemin olu\u015fturdu. Bu unsurlar, USDCAD i\u00e7in adil de\u011ferin 1,34 seviyesine daha yak\u0131n oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.\n\nT\u00fcrev piyasada i\u015flem yapanlar i\u00e7in (t\u00fcrev: de\u011feri kur ve faiz gibi bir g\u00f6stergeden t\u00fcretilen \u00fcr\u00fcnler), USDCAD\u2019nin 1,37\u2019nin orta b\u00f6lgesini k\u0131ramamas\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan bir f\u0131rsat olarak de\u011ferlendiriliyor. Nisan ve May\u0131s 2026 vadeli 1,3750 veya 1,3800 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun devreye girdi\u011fi kur seviyesi) USDCAD al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n (call: kur y\u00fckselirse kazand\u0131ran opsiyon) sat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n dikkat \u00e7ekici bir strateji oldu\u011fu ifade ediliyor. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, s\u00f6z konusu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 seviyesinin k\u0131sa vadede korunaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle \u201cprim\u201d (opsiyon sat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n pe\u015fin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 gelir) toplamay\u0131 ama\u00e7lar.\n\nBenzer bir yap\u0131n\u0131n 2025\u2019in \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde de g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc; o d\u00f6nemde getiri farklar\u0131n\u0131n daralmas\u0131n\u0131n USDCAD y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve paritenin benzer seviyelerden haftalar i\u00e7inde geri \u00e7ekildi\u011fi hat\u0131rlat\u0131ld\u0131. Bu ge\u00e7mi\u015f \u00f6rnek, USDCAD\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften ya da yatay seyirden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen stratejiler i\u00e7in mevcut ortam\u0131n elveri\u015fli oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Loonie G10\u2019un y\u0131ld\u0131z\u0131: Getiri fark\u0131 daral\u0131nca CAD g\u00fc\u00e7lendi, USDCAD geri \u00e7ekilme sinyali veriyor. BoC\u2019de 60 bp art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131, %2,9 CPI ve 85$+ WTI 1,34 \u201cadil de\u011ferini\u201d destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30854","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30854","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30854"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30854\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30854"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30854"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30854"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}