{"id":30802,"date":"2026-03-20T08:09:49","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T08:09:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/asya-islemlerinde-usd-jpy-15833e-toparlandi-15750-civarindaki-20-gunluk-ema-destegi-etkili-oldu\/"},"modified":"2026-03-20T08:09:49","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T08:09:49","slug":"asya-islemlerinde-usd-jpy-15833e-toparlandi-15750-civarindaki-20-gunluk-ema-destegi-etkili-oldu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/asya-islemlerinde-usd-jpy-15833e-toparlandi-15750-civarindaki-20-gunluk-ema-destegi-etkili-oldu\/","title":{"rendered":"Asya i\u015flemlerinde USD\/JPY 158,33\u2019e toparland\u0131; 157,50 civar\u0131ndaki 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA deste\u011fi etkili oldu"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde %0,4 y\u00fckselerek 158,33 civar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Japon Yeni, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131na (enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faizleri art\u0131rmaya daha yak\u0131n duru\u015f) i\u015faret eden g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc korumas\u0131na ra\u011fmen zay\u0131flad\u0131.\n\nBoJ, politika faizini %0,75\u2019te sabit b\u0131rakt\u0131. BoJ Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kazuo Ueda, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma kaynakl\u0131 olas\u0131 bir ekonomik yava\u015flaman\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcrmesi halinde faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.\n\nBoJ yetkilileri, ABD ve \u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik ortak sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesiyle b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye dair belirsizli\u011fin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. ABD Dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken, Dolar Endeksi (DXY \u2014 dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011ferini g\u00f6steren endeks) %0,2 art\u0131\u015fla 99,35 civar\u0131na y\u00fckseldi.\n\nPiyasalar, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faizleri sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. CME FedWatch arac\u0131 (faiz beklentilerini vadeli i\u015flemler \u00fczerinden olas\u0131l\u0131\u011fa \u00e7eviren g\u00f6sterge) Fed\u2019in bu y\u0131l faiz indirmesinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ihtimal oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. USD\/JPY, 157,50 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki y\u00fckselen 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019dan (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama \u2014 fiyata daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k vererek trendi izleyen ortalama) toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 pozitif g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc korudu.\n\n14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi \u2014 fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7erek a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m sinyali \u00fcreten g\u00f6sterge) 60,00\u201380,00 band\u0131ndan 40,00\u201360,00 band\u0131na indi. Destek seviyeleri 157,50; ard\u0131ndan 156,46 ve 155,35. Diren\u00e7 ise 159,00; ard\u0131ndan 159,90 ve 160,50.\n\nBoJ, enflasyonu yakla\u015f\u0131k %2 seviyesinde hedefliyor ve 2013\u2019te QQE (niceliksel ve niteliksel parasal geni\u015fleme \u2014 piyasaya b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli para vererek tahvil al\u0131m\u0131 yapma) ile \u00e7ok gev\u015fek politikaya ba\u015flad\u0131; 2016\u2019da negatif faiz (bankalar\u0131n BoJ\u2019da tuttuklar\u0131 fazla paradan \u201cfaiz \u00f6demesi\u201d, yani maliyet) ve 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faiz kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc (getiri e\u011frisi kontrol\u00fc \u2014 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k faizleri belirli bir seviyede tutma) devreye ald\u0131. Mart 2024\u2019te faiz art\u0131rd\u0131. Uzun s\u00fcre ABD-Japonya faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n Yen\u2019i zay\u0131flatmas\u0131yla enflasyon %2\u2019nin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; bunda zay\u0131f Yen, artan enerji maliyetleri ve \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentileri etkili oldu.\n\nGerginlik, tek y\u00f6ne iddial\u0131 pozisyon almay\u0131 riskli k\u0131l\u0131yor ve bu durum opsiyon piyasas\u0131na da yans\u0131yor. Bir ayl\u0131k USD\/JPY opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility \u2014 opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015faret etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) %11,5\u2019e t\u0131rmand\u0131; bu oran 2025\u2019in son \u00e7eyre\u011finde g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz %8,9 ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n belirgin \u00fczerinde. Bu tablo, uzun straddle veya strangle gibi stratejilerle (fiyat\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcnden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z, sert hareketten kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen opsiyon kombinasyonlar\u0131) \u201coynakl\u0131k sat\u0131n alman\u0131n\u201d avantajl\u0131 olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc kurun iki y\u00f6nde de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir hareket yapmas\u0131ndan kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flanabilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Piyasalarda alarm: USD\/JPY 158,33\u2019e toparland\u0131; BoJ \u015fahin sinyale ra\u011fmen Yen zay\u0131f. Fed sabit bekleniyor, DXY g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor. 157,50 destek; implied vol %11,5\u2014opsiyonda oynakl\u0131k al\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30802","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30802","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30802"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30802\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30802"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30802"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30802"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}