{"id":30790,"date":"2026-03-20T05:04:14","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T05:04:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/sterlin-dolar-yuzde-13-yukseldi-dolarin-zayifladigi-ortamda-boenin-sahin-donusu-piyasalari-sasirtirken-13400in-uzerinde-13430-civarinda-tamamladi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-20T05:04:14","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T05:04:14","slug":"sterlin-dolar-yuzde-13-yukseldi-dolarin-zayifladigi-ortamda-boenin-sahin-donusu-piyasalari-sasirtirken-13400in-uzerinde-13430-civarinda-tamamladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/sterlin-dolar-yuzde-13-yukseldi-dolarin-zayifladigi-ortamda-boenin-sahin-donusu-piyasalari-sasirtirken-13400in-uzerinde-13430-civarinda-tamamladi\/","title":{"rendered":"Sterlin\/dolar y\u00fczde 1,3 y\u00fckseldi; dolar\u0131n zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortamda BoE\u2019nin \u015fahin d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc piyasalar\u0131 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131rken 1,3400\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde 1,3430 civar\u0131nda tamamlad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %1,3 y\u00fckseldi; yeniden 1,3400 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve 1,3430 civar\u0131nda kapand\u0131. Parite 1,3250 civar\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131 ve yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3470 seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. B\u00f6ylece ocak sonundaki 1,3870 civar\u0131ndaki zirveden gelen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 geri ald\u0131.\n\n\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) politika faizini %3,75\u2019te sabit tuttu. Karar 9-0 oyla oybirli\u011fiyle al\u0131nd\u0131. Piyasa, \u015fubattaki 5-4\u2019l\u00fck \u201csabit tutma\u201d karar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan bu kez 7-2\u2019lik bir oy da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 bekliyordu.\n\nPara Politikas\u0131 Kurulu (MPC), 3. \u00e7eyrek enflasyon tahminini \u015fubatta \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen yakla\u015f\u0131k %2,0 seviyesinden %3,5\u2019e y\u00fckseltti. Bu revizyonun ana nedeni, \u0130ran\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmayla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 enerji maliyetlerindeki art\u0131\u015f olarak g\u00f6sterildi. \u0130ngiltere i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc verileri kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kt\u0131: ILO i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 (uluslararas\u0131 standartlara g\u00f6re hesaplanan i\u015fsizlik) %5,2 ile %5,3\u2019l\u00fck beklentinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. \u0130stihdamdaki de\u011fi\u015fim 84 bin oldu. Primler hari\u00e7 kazan\u00e7 art\u0131\u015f\u0131 (maa\u015f art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ikramiye\/prim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f hali) %4,1\u2019den %3,8\u2019e yava\u015flad\u0131.\n\nABD\u2019de Fed (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) faizi %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit b\u0131rakt\u0131 ve bu y\u0131l bir faiz indirimi \u00f6ng\u00f6rmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. \u201cDot plot\u201d (Fed yetkililerinin gelecek faiz patikas\u0131na dair bireysel tahminlerini g\u00f6steren nokta grafi\u011fi) 19 yetkiliden 7\u2019sinin 2026\u2019da hi\u00e7 indirim beklemedi\u011fine i\u015faret etti. Yeni konut sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ise ayl\u0131k bazda %17,6 geriledi.\n\nGBP\/USD 1,3427 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131; 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama: son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren ortalama) 1,3452 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n 1,3373 civar\u0131ndaki seviyesinin \u00fczerindeydi. \u00d6ne \u00e7\u0131kan seviyeler: 1,3550; 1,3620\/1,3650; 1,3375; 1,3320; 1,3250.\n\nBu ortam, opsiyon oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131 beklentisi) y\u00fcksek tutuyor. GBP\/USD\u2019de 1 ayl\u0131k \u201cimplied volatility\u201d (piyasan\u0131n fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k) yakla\u015f\u0131k %9,5 seviyesinde. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu, opsiyon primlerinin (opsiyon i\u00e7in \u00f6denen fiyat) pahal\u0131 oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na gelir. Y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin s\u00fcrmesi bekleniyorsa, \u00f6nemli desteklerin alt\u0131nda \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d put (kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyat\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalan, \u015fu an k\u00e2rda olmayan sat\u0131\u015f opsiyonu) satmak bir se\u00e7enek olabilir. Ancak b\u00fcy\u00fck spot (anl\u0131k piyasada) pozisyonu ta\u015f\u0131yanlar i\u00e7in belirsizlik nedeniyle koruma maliyeti y\u00fcksek olsa da riskten korunma gerekebilir.\n\nPiyasa, yaz aylar\u0131na kadar BoE\u2019den bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha gelme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %60\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde fiyatl\u0131yor. Bu nedenle yakla\u015fan toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131 y\u00f6n a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik. Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan, 2026 ba\u015f\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlayan 1,3650 seviyesi art\u0131k \u00f6nemli bir destek b\u00f6lgesi olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bu b\u00f6lgenin alt\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 ini\u015f daha derin bir d\u00fczeltmeye i\u015faret edebilir; \u00fczerinde kal\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece odak 1,3800 seviyesinde olur.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sterlin dolara kar\u015f\u0131 sert s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131: GBP\/USD %1,3 art\u0131\u015fla 1,3430\u2019da kapand\u0131. BoE faizi sabit, enflasyon tahmini y\u00fckseldi. Fed bekle-g\u00f6r. Kritik teknik seviyeler 1,3650\/1,3800; oynakl\u0131k y\u00fcksek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30790","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30790","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30790"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30790\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30790"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30790"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30790"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}