{"id":30783,"date":"2026-03-20T04:04:19","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T04:04:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/ecbnin-faizleri-sabit-tutmasinin-ardindan-eur-usd-116-yukseldi-sizinti-nisanda-faiz-artisi-tartismalarinin-gundeme-gelebilecegine-isaret-etti\/"},"modified":"2026-03-20T04:04:19","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T04:04:19","slug":"ecbnin-faizleri-sabit-tutmasinin-ardindan-eur-usd-116-yukseldi-sizinti-nisanda-faiz-artisi-tartismalarinin-gundeme-gelebilecegine-isaret-etti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/ecbnin-faizleri-sabit-tutmasinin-ardindan-eur-usd-116-yukseldi-sizinti-nisanda-faiz-artisi-tartismalarinin-gundeme-gelebilecegine-isaret-etti\/","title":{"rendered":"ECB\u2019nin faizleri sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan EUR\/USD %1,16 y\u00fckseldi; s\u0131z\u0131nt\u0131, Nisan\u2019da faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcndeme gelebilece\u011fine i\u015faret etti"},"content":{"rendered":"ECB\u2019nin faizleri sabit tutmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen EUR\/USD %1,16\u2019dan fazla y\u00fckseldi. S\u0131zan bir bilgiye g\u00f6re politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar Nisan gibi erken bir tarihte faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 tart\u0131\u015fabilir. Parite, 1,1440 civar\u0131ndan toparland\u0131ktan sonra 1,1582 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.\n\nECB, mevduat faizi oran\u0131n\u0131 (bankalar\u0131n ECB\u2019de tuttuklar\u0131 gecelik paraya \u00f6denen faiz) %2\u2019de, ana refinansman faizini (bankalara ana fonlama faizi) %2,15\u2019te ve marjinal bor\u00e7 verme faizini (bankalar\u0131n g\u00fcn sonu acil bor\u00e7lanma faizi) %2,40\u2019ta b\u0131rakt\u0131. Banka, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131n enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak k\u0131sa vadeli enflasyon \u00fczerinde belirgin bir etkisi olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131; orta vadeli etkinin ise \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n seyrine ve enerji maliyet art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n fiyatlara ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yans\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.\n\n<h3>Merkez Bankalar\u0131 ve Piyasa Tepkisi<\/h3>\nABD\u2019de Fed faizleri sabit tuttu; ABD Dolar endeksi %1\u2019den fazla d\u00fc\u015ferek 99,21\u2019e geriledi. \u0130lk i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 (haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik yard\u0131m\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131) 213 binden 205 bine indi; beklenti 215 bindi. Yeni konut sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ise Ocak\u2019ta ayl\u0131k bazda (MoM: bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re) %17,6 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; Aral\u0131k\u2019ta %1,7 gerilemi\u015fti.\n\nABD tahvil faizleri (Hazine tahvillerinin getirisi) g\u00fcn i\u00e7i y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan geri \u00e7ekildi. Prime Market Terminal verileri, 2026\u2019ya kadar Fed\u2019den faiz indirimi beklenmedi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Yakla\u015fan Euro B\u00f6lgesi verileri aras\u0131nda cari denge, d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi ve Almanya \u00dcFE (\u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi: \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fim) yer al\u0131yor. ABD veri takvimi bo\u015f.\n\nTeknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde EUR\/USD 1,1585\u2019e yak\u0131nken RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m durumunu \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) 45,65 seviyesindeydi. Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlan\u0131lan seviye) 1,1636, 1,1730, 1,1820 ve 1,1900; destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma seviyesi) 1,1567, 1,1512 ve 1,1417 olarak belirtildi.\n\n<h3>Faizler, Enflasyon ve Oynakl\u0131k<\/h3>\nGe\u00e7en y\u0131l yetkilileri endi\u015felendiren enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc de belirgin \u015fekilde sakinledi; bu da ECB\u2019nin ek ad\u0131m atma ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 azaltt\u0131. \u015eubat 2026 verileri Euro B\u00f6lgesi man\u015fet enflasyonunu %2,4 g\u00f6sterdi; 2025 zirvelerinin olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda. ABD\u2019de \u00e7ekirdek PCE (ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 fiyat endeksi, g\u0131da ve enerji hari\u00e7: enflasyonun daha kal\u0131c\u0131 k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 izlemek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) daha inat\u00e7\u0131 kalarak %2,8 civar\u0131nda. 2025\u2019teki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmada s\u0131\u00e7rayan Brent petrol istikrar kazand\u0131 ve varil ba\u015f\u0131na 88 dolar civar\u0131nda bantta hareket ederek Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n enerji ithalat maliyeti bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azaltt\u0131.\n\nBu istikrarla birlikte euroda ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lan beklenen dalgalanma) geriledi. CBOE EuroCurrency Volatility Index (EVZ) 5,8 ile d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerde. Bu, opsiyon primlerinin (opsiyon i\u00e7in \u00f6denen fiyat) g\u00f6rece ucuz oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor ve dar i\u015flem band\u0131ndan olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya (band\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131na hareket) pozisyon almak isteyenler i\u00e7in alan yarat\u0131yor. Daha sonra oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rabilecek bir tetikleyici bekleyen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar straddle veya strangle (ayn\u0131 vadede, farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131nda al\u0131m-sat\u0131m opsiyonu kombinasyonlar\u0131) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. \u00d6te yandan faiz fark\u0131 (iki b\u00f6lgenin faizleri aras\u0131ndaki fark) euronun aleyhine oldu\u011fundan, euroda \u201cshort\u201d (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde pozisyon) stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ECB faizi sabit tuttu ama euro u\u00e7tu: EUR\/USD %1,16\u2019dan fazla y\u00fckselip 1,1582\u2019ye geldi. S\u0131z\u0131nt\u0131 Nisan\u2019da faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 diyor; Fed beklemede, dolar zay\u0131f, enerji\/enflasyon izleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30783","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30783","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30783"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30783\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30783"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30783"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30783"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}