{"id":30773,"date":"2026-03-20T02:05:56","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T02:05:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/aud-usd-dolarin-zayiflamasiyla-047-yukseldi-50-gunluk-smanin-uzerine-cikti-07050-yakinindaki-07100u-hedefliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-20T02:05:56","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T02:05:56","slug":"aud-usd-dolarin-zayiflamasiyla-047-yukseldi-50-gunluk-smanin-uzerine-cikti-07050-yakinindaki-07100u-hedefliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/aud-usd-dolarin-zayiflamasiyla-047-yukseldi-50-gunluk-smanin-uzerine-cikti-07050-yakinindaki-07100u-hedefliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, dolar\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla %0,47 y\u00fckseldi; 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131, 0,7050 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki 0,7100\u2019u hedefliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, ABD dolar\u0131ndaki zay\u0131flama ile per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,47 y\u00fckseldi. ABD tipi ham petrol %4,21 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; bu da ABD dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde ek bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131. Parite 0,7050 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.\n\nGrafik, hafif yukar\u0131 e\u011filimli bir s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmaya i\u015faret ediyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, daha y\u00fcksek zirveler ve daha y\u00fcksek diplerle destekleniyor. Ancak parite 3 Mart\u2019taki g\u00fcnl\u00fck dip olan 0,6944\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131na inerse bu yap\u0131 bozulur.\n\n<h3>Teknik E\u011filim ve Kritik Seviyeler<\/h3>\nG\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: fiyat hareketinin h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 ve g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc destekliyor, ancak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n riski s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. 0,7100 \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde 0,7123 (18 Mart zirvesi), ard\u0131ndan 0,7187 (y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesi) ve 0,7200 g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.\n\nAUD\/USD\u2019nin 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (SMA: belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ortalama fiyat\u0131) 0,6981\u2019deki seviyesinin alt\u0131na inmesi halinde 0,6944 ve ard\u0131ndan 0,6900 yeniden test edilebilir. Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 etkileyen ana unsurlar aras\u0131nda RBA\u2019n\u0131n (Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131) faiz kararlar\u0131, %2\u20133 enflasyon hedefi ve nicel gev\u015feme\/s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma yer al\u0131r (nicel gev\u015feme: piyasaya para vererek faizleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme; nicel s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma: likiditeyi azaltarak para \u00e7ekme).\n\nDi\u011fer belirleyiciler \u00c7in ekonomisinin performans\u0131 ve Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi. Demir cevheri Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ihracat\u0131; 2021 verilerine g\u00f6re y\u0131ll\u0131k 118 milyar dolar ve ana al\u0131c\u0131 \u00c7in.\n\n2025\u2019in bu d\u00f6nemine d\u00f6n\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, Avustralya dolar\u0131 0,7000 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karken y\u00fckseli\u015f yap\u0131s\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenmi\u015fti. Bug\u00fcn tablo daha karma\u015f\u0131k; parite 0,6650 \u00e7evresinde yatay seyrediyor. O d\u00f6nemki belirgin y\u00fckseli\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n yerini, 2026\u2019n\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fine girerken daha yatay bir piyasa ald\u0131.\n\nTemel belirleyici faiz fark\u0131 (iki \u00fclkenin faizleri aras\u0131ndaki fark) olmaya devam ediyor ve ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fti. Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 politika faizini %4,35\u2019te sabit tutarken, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) 2025 sonlar\u0131nda ba\u015flayan temkinli bir faiz indirim s\u00fcrecine girdi. Bu fark\u0131n daralmas\u0131, Avustralya dolar\u0131na temel destek sa\u011flar ve \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.\n\n<h3>Makro Etkenler ve Oynakl\u0131k G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\n\u00c7in yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli; ekonomik gidi\u015fat, ticaret ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 do\u011frudan etkiler. \u015eubat imalat PMI verisi (Sat\u0131n Alma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi: 50 \u00fcst\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme, 50 alt\u0131 daralma) 49,9 ile zay\u0131f kald\u0131; toparlanman\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lgan oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bu durum demir cevheri fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor; ton ba\u015f\u0131na 115 dolar civar\u0131nda seyrediyor ve y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen 130 dolarl\u0131k diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran seviye) a\u015f\u0131lamad\u0131.\n\nFaiz taraf\u0131nda g\u00f6rece destekleyici g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm varken \u00c7in talebine dair soru i\u015faretleri s\u00fcrerken, AUD\/USD opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lan beklenen dalgalanma) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalm\u0131\u015f olabilir. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilecek bir strateji, uzun vadeli \u201cstrangle\u201d almak olabilir (ayn\u0131 vade i\u00e7in biri al\u0131m, biri sat\u0131m opsiyonu alma; fiyat\u0131n hangi y\u00f6ne gidece\u011fini de\u011fil, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir hareket olmas\u0131n\u0131 hedefler). B\u00f6ylece ikinci \u00e7eyrek bitmeden iki y\u00f6nden birinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareketten faydalanmak ama\u00e7lan\u0131r; y\u00f6n tahmini zorunlu de\u011fildir.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dolar zay\u0131flad\u0131, AUD\/USD %0,47 y\u00fckselip 0,7050\u2019de: 0,7100 \u00fczeri 0,7200 hedeflenirken, 0,6981 alt\u0131 0,6944\/0,6900 riski. Fed indirimleri destek, \u00c7in\/emtia bask\u0131; volatilite d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Strangle opsiyon fikri.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30773","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30773","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30773"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30773\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30773"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30773"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30773"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}