{"id":30763,"date":"2026-03-19T23:04:54","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T23:04:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abdnin-dort-haftalik-hazine-bonosu-ihalesinde-getiri-3615e-geriledi-onceki-364\/"},"modified":"2026-03-19T23:04:54","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T23:04:54","slug":"abdnin-dort-haftalik-hazine-bonosu-ihalesinde-getiri-3615e-geriledi-onceki-364","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abdnin-dort-haftalik-hazine-bonosu-ihalesinde-getiri-3615e-geriledi-onceki-364\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD\u2019nin d\u00f6rt haftal\u0131k hazine bonosu ihalesinde getiri %3,615\u2019e geriledi (\u00f6nceki: %3,64)"},"content":{"rendered":"ABD, 4 haftal\u0131k Hazine bonolar\u0131n\u0131 (k\u0131sa vadeli devlet bor\u00e7lanma senedi) ihalede %3,615 getiriyle satt\u0131. \u00d6nceki 4 haftal\u0131k bono ihalesinde getiri %3,64 olmu\u015ftu.\n\nBu de\u011fi\u015fim, ihale getirisinin 0,025 y\u00fczde puan d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. Yeni getiri, \u00f6nceki sonuca g\u00f6re s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck.\n\n<h3>Yak\u0131n Vadede Fed Faiz \u0130ndirimi Sinyali<\/h3>\n4 haftal\u0131k bono getirisindeki bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, piyasan\u0131n ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) yak\u0131n vadede faiz indirece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu, g\u00fcvenli ve k\u0131sa vadeli kamu borcuna talebin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, talep art\u0131nca getirilerin (faizlerin) geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6steren do\u011frudan bir sinyal olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, CME FedWatch arac\u0131yla da uyumlu: Ara\u00e7, haziran ay\u0131ndaki FOMC (Fed\u2019in faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 alan komite toplant\u0131s\u0131) toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k (0,25 y\u00fczde puan) indirim olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %70 g\u00f6steriyor; bu oran ge\u00e7en hafta %50\u2019ydi.\n\nHisse senedi t\u00fcrev i\u015flemlerinde (opsiyon gibi, getirisi ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnler) bu durum daha olumlu bir duru\u015fu destekliyor; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz genelde hisse de\u011ferlemelerini destekler. \u0130kinci \u00e7eyrek i\u00e7in S&#038;P 500 ve Nasdaq 100 gibi endekslerde al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak veya put kredi spreadi (sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131nda prim toplayarak kurulan, risk s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 strateji) satmak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. 2025\u2019teki fiyat hareketlerine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Fed\u2019in y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftirece\u011fine dair sinyallerin \u00e7o\u011fu zaman birka\u00e7 hafta s\u00fcren g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fleri, \u00f6zellikle b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye duyarl\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerde, \u00f6nceledi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.\n\nFaiz taraf\u0131nda ise bu ihale sonucu, \u00f6zellikle yaz aylar\u0131nda vadeli s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerde, SOFR (teminatl\u0131 gecelik fonlama oran\u0131; bankalar\u0131n teminat kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 gecelik bor\u00e7lanma maliyetini g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) vadeli i\u015flemlerinde al\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc opsiyonlar\u0131 daha cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor. Getiri e\u011frisinin (farkl\u0131 vadelerdeki faizlerin da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131) k\u0131sa ucu, uzun vadeli ekonomik verilerden \u00e7ok politika beklentilerine tepki veriyor. 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k ve 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD tahvil faizi aras\u0131ndaki fark (getiri fark\u0131) mart ay\u0131nda 8 baz puan artt\u0131; bu da yak\u0131n vadede daha h\u0131zl\u0131 bir gev\u015feme (faiz indirimleri) ihtimalini destekliyor.\n\nBu ortam, piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) da azaltabilir; bu da VIX (S&#038;P 500\u2019\u00fcn beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d) al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 satmak veya benzer \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oynakl\u0131k y\u00f6n\u00fcnde pozisyon almak i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat yaratabilir.\n\n<h3>Dolar ve Oynakl\u0131k Etkileri<\/h3>\nAyr\u0131ca Fed\u2019in g\u00fcvercin (faiz indirimine daha a\u00e7\u0131k) bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme y\u00f6nelmesi genelde ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131r. Dolar, bu ay ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerinden olu\u015fan sepete kar\u015f\u0131 %1,2 geriledi. EUR\/USD gibi paritelerde (iki para biriminin birbirine kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011feri) al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131yla, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 1,0950 \u00fczeri hareket hedeflenebilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>S\u00fcrpriz sinyal: ABD 4 haftal\u0131k Hazine bonosu getirisi %3,615\u2019e geriledi (\u00f6nceki %3,64). Piyasa Fed\u2019den haziranda 25 baz puan indirim olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %70\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rken, dolar ve oynakl\u0131k bask\u0131lan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30763","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30763","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30763"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30763\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30763"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30763"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30763"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}