{"id":30742,"date":"2026-03-19T18:02:15","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T18:02:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/scotiabank-fed-ve-boc-toplantilari-sonrasi-getiri-farklari-usd-lehine-acilirken-kanada-dolari-g10-muadillerinin-gerisinde-kaliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-19T18:02:15","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T18:02:15","slug":"scotiabank-fed-ve-boc-toplantilari-sonrasi-getiri-farklari-usd-lehine-acilirken-kanada-dolari-g10-muadillerinin-gerisinde-kaliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/scotiabank-fed-ve-boc-toplantilari-sonrasi-getiri-farklari-usd-lehine-acilirken-kanada-dolari-g10-muadillerinin-gerisinde-kaliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Scotiabank: Fed ve BoC toplant\u0131lar\u0131 sonras\u0131 getiri farklar\u0131 USD lehine a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131rken Kanada Dolar\u0131 G10 muadillerinin gerisinde kal\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"Kanada Dolar\u0131, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc Kuzey Amerika seans\u0131nda ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde de\u011fi\u015fmedi, ancak G10 para birimlerinin \u00e7o\u011funun gerisinde kald\u0131. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) ve Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoC) toplant\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi. Toplant\u0131lar sonras\u0131 \u201cgetiri farklar\u0131\u201d (iki \u00fclkenin tahvil faizleri aras\u0131ndaki fark) ABD Dolar\u0131 lehine biraz daha a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131.\n\nScotiabank, getiri farklar\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fime ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak USD\/CAD i\u00e7in \u201cadil de\u011fer\u201d (model bazl\u0131 teorik kur seviyesi) tahminini 1,3498\u2019e y\u00fckseltti. Banka ayr\u0131ca Fed\u2019in y\u00f6nlendirmesini \u201cdaha az g\u00fcvercin\u201d (faiz indirimi sinyalinin daha zay\u0131f olmas\u0131) olarak de\u011ferlendirdi; bu da getiri farklar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131yla ili\u015fkilendirildi.\n\n<h3>Teknik Momentum ve Kritik Seviyeler<\/h3>\nTeknik g\u00f6stergelere g\u00f6re USD\/CAD i\u00e7in g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm \u201cn\u00f6trden y\u00fckseli\u015fe d\u00f6n\u00fck\u201d olarak tan\u0131mland\u0131. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: fiyat hareketinin h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en teknik g\u00f6sterge) y\u00fckseldi ve yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmenin g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fine i\u015faret etti. Banka 1,3750\u2019nin alt\u0131nda n\u00f6tr duru\u015funu korurken, bu seviyenin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekti.\n\nK\u0131sa vadede 1,3700\u20131,3750 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir i\u015flem band\u0131 olarak belirtildi. Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran seviye) 1,3802\u2019deki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama (200 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131n\u0131 izleyen trend g\u00f6stergesi) civar\u0131nda konumland\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131.\n\n<h3>USD\/CAD Y\u00fckseli\u015fi \u0130\u00e7in T\u00fcrev Strateji Fikirleri<\/h3>\nBu politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, BoC\u2019nin Haziran 2025\u2019te faiz indirim d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc ba\u015flatmas\u0131yla somutla\u015ft\u0131; Fed\u2019in ilk ad\u0131m\u0131ndan daha \u00f6nce hareket etti. Kanada\u2019da enflasyon yakla\u015f\u0131k %2,1 seviyesindeyken, ABD\u2019de enflasyonun daha \u201cinat\u00e7\u0131\u201d bi\u00e7imde %2,7\u2019de kalmas\u0131 (yani daha yava\u015f gerilemesi) bu ayr\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 desteklemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Sonu\u00e7 olarak 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k devlet tahvillerindeki faiz fark\u0131 60 baz puan\u0131n (0,60 y\u00fczde puan) \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; bu da USD\/CAD i\u00e7in temel bir destekleyici unsur (kurun y\u00fckselmesini destekleyen fakt\u00f6r) olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.\n\nBu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (fiyat\u0131 kur gibi ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) i\u015flemi yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar USD\/CAD\u2019de olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalanan stratejileri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. USD\/CAD \u201cal\u0131m opsiyonu\u201d (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon) almak, beklenen y\u00fckseli\u015fe do\u011frudan pozisyon almakt\u0131r. Daha kontroll\u00fc bir y\u00f6ntem olarak \u201cy\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc al\u0131m spreadi\u201d (call spread: bir al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p daha yukar\u0131 fiyattan ba\u015fka bir al\u0131m opsiyonu satmak) kullan\u0131labilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin 1,3850 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call al\u0131p 1,4000 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call satmak, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalan\u0131rken riski daha net s\u0131n\u0131rlar.\n\n2025\u2019teki teknik de\u011ferlendirmede belirtilen n\u00f6trden y\u00fckseli\u015fe d\u00f6n\u00fck e\u011filim, art\u0131k daha net bir y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f durumda; \u00f6nceki 1,3750 direnci bu kez bir \u201ctaban\/destek\u201d (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayan seviye) gibi \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Daha yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc kademeli hareket bekleyenler i\u00e7in USD\/CAD vadeli i\u015flem s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerinde (futures: ileri tarihte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc veren standart s\u00f6zle\u015fme) uzun pozisyon almak daha do\u011frudan bir y\u00f6ntemdir. Alternatif olarak \u201crisk reversal\u201d (bir opsiyonu al\u0131p ba\u015fka bir opsiyonu satarak pozisyon kurma yap\u0131s\u0131; genelde maliyeti azaltmak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) ile USD\/CAD\u2019de y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetle kurulabilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CAD\u2019de yeni perde: Fed-BoC sonras\u0131 getiri fark\u0131 ABD lehine a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131. Scotiabank adil de\u011feri 1,3498\u2019e y\u00fckseltti. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm n\u00f6trden yukar\u0131, 1,3750 kritik; 1,3802 diren\u00e7. Opsiyon\/call spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30742","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30742","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30742"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30742\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30742"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30742"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30742"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}