{"id":30736,"date":"2026-03-19T16:04:03","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T16:04:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abd-calisma-bakanligi-ilk-issizlik-maasi-basvurularinin-205-bine-geriledigini-ve-beklenti-olan-215-bin-seviyesinin-altinda-gerceklestigini-bildirdi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-19T16:04:03","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T16:04:03","slug":"abd-calisma-bakanligi-ilk-issizlik-maasi-basvurularinin-205-bine-geriledigini-ve-beklenti-olan-215-bin-seviyesinin-altinda-gerceklestigini-bildirdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-calisma-bakanligi-ilk-issizlik-maasi-basvurularinin-205-bine-geriledigini-ve-beklenti-olan-215-bin-seviyesinin-altinda-gerceklestigini-bildirdi\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, ilk i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131n 205 bine geriledi\u011fini ve beklenti olan 215 bin seviyesinin alt\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini bildirdi."},"content":{"rendered":"ABD\u2019de ilk kez i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131, 14 Mart\u2019ta sona eren haftada 205 bin oldu. Bu rakam, \u00f6nceki haftan\u0131n revize edilmemi\u015f verisine g\u00f6re 8 bin azald\u0131 ve piyasa beklentisi olan 215 binin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.\n\nD\u00f6rt haftal\u0131k hareketli ortalama (k\u0131sa vadeli dalgalanmalar\u0131 azaltmak i\u00e7in son d\u00f6rt haftan\u0131n ortalamas\u0131) 750 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 210 bin 750\u2019ye geriledi. Mevsimsellikten ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f sigortal\u0131 i\u015fsiz say\u0131s\u0131 (i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 alanlar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131), 7 Mart\u2019ta sona eren haftada 1 milyon 857 bine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; bu seviye \u00f6nceki haftan\u0131n revize edilmi\u015f d\u00fczeyine g\u00f6re 10 bin art\u0131\u015f anlam\u0131na geliyor.\n\nVeri sonras\u0131 ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endeks) g\u00fcn i\u00e7indeki dar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n alt band\u0131nda kald\u0131. Son olarak %0,15 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 100,08 seviyesinde izlendi.\n\n205 binlik g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ba\u015fvuru verisi, i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n (istihdam\u0131n genel durumu) bir\u00e7ok ki\u015finin bekledi\u011finden daha s\u0131k\u0131 (i\u015f arayanlara g\u00f6re eleman ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek) oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bu, ekonominin dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterirken ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz indirimi yolunu zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7, Fed\u2019in yak\u0131n vadede faiz indirimi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmesi \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 azalt\u0131yor.\n\nBuna kar\u015f\u0131n dolar\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015f \u00fcretememesi dikkat \u00e7ekici. Bunun, ge\u00e7en hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan \u015eubat T\u00dcFE verisine (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 endeksi, enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) tepki oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz; \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7) y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %2,7\u2019ye gerileyerek fiyat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131nda yava\u015flamaya i\u015faret etti. B\u00f6ylece piyasada g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam ile yava\u015flayan enflasyon aras\u0131nda net bir \u00e7eli\u015fki olu\u015fuyor.\n\nBu \u00e7eli\u015fkili tablo, piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) art\u0131rabilir ve buna g\u00f6re pozisyon almak gerekebilir. Fiyat hareketlerinden yararlanan opsiyonlarda (belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) f\u0131rsat g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; \u00f6rne\u011fin bir sonraki Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde S&#038;P 500 endeksi \u00fczerinde \u201cuzun straddle\u201d (ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alarak b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketten kazan\u00e7 hedefleme) stratejisi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, piyasan\u0131n karars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131na do\u011frudan oynar.\n\nFaiz t\u00fcrevleri piyasas\u0131 (faiz beklentilerine dayal\u0131 vadeli i\u015flem ve opsiyonlar), bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in yakla\u015f\u0131k 75 baz puan (1 baz puan = %0,01) faiz indirimi fiyatl\u0131yor. Bu, istihdam verisi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda iddial\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. SOFR vadeli i\u015flemleri \u00fczerindeki opsiyonlarla (SOFR: ABD\u2019de gecelik teminatl\u0131 fonlama faizi, faiz piyasalar\u0131nda temel g\u00f6sterge) piyasan\u0131n bu beklentileri yeniden fiyatlamak zorunda kalaca\u011f\u0131na dair pozisyon al\u0131nabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu i\u015flem, piyasan\u0131n fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d bir Fed\u2019e (enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in daha s\u0131k\u0131 politika\/ daha y\u00fcksek faiz e\u011filimi) oynama imk\u00e2n\u0131 verir.\n\nDolar\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tepkisi nedeniyle d\u00f6viz paritelerine de bak\u0131labilir. Dolar\u0131n olumlu yurti\u00e7i haberlere ra\u011fmen g\u00fc\u00e7lenememesi, Euro gibi di\u011fer para birimlerinde alttan gelen bir g\u00fc\u00e7 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret edebilir. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f, EUR\/USD \u00fczerinde al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: fiyat y\u00fckselirse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) al\u0131narak ifade edilebilir; Avrupa\u2019dan gelecek veriler beklentileri a\u015farsa kurda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lma (diren\u00e7 \u00fcst\u00fcne ge\u00e7i\u015f) ihtimaline kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon olu\u015fturur.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>S\u00fcrpriz veri: ABD i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 205 bine inerek beklentiyi a\u015ft\u0131; Fed\u2019in indirimi zorla\u015f\u0131yor. Ancak DXY g\u00fc\u00e7lenemedi. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam-yava\u015f enflasyon \u00e7eli\u015fkisi oynakl\u0131k yaratabilir; opsiyon f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30736","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30736","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30736"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30736\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30736"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30736"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30736"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}