{"id":30729,"date":"2026-03-19T14:04:33","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T14:04:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/td-securities-abdde-tuketici-ivmesi-zayifliyor-reel-harcamalar-2026-basina-kadar-surunerek-ilerliyor-1c-zayif-2c-iade-odemeleriyle-destekliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-19T14:04:33","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T14:04:33","slug":"td-securities-abdde-tuketici-ivmesi-zayifliyor-reel-harcamalar-2026-basina-kadar-surunerek-ilerliyor-1c-zayif-2c-iade-odemeleriyle-destekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/td-securities-abdde-tuketici-ivmesi-zayifliyor-reel-harcamalar-2026-basina-kadar-surunerek-ilerliyor-1c-zayif-2c-iade-odemeleriyle-destekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"TD Securities: ABD\u2019de t\u00fcketici ivmesi zay\u0131fl\u0131yor; reel harcamalar 2026 ba\u015f\u0131na kadar s\u00fcr\u00fcnerek ilerliyor; 1\u00c7 zay\u0131f, 2\u00c7 iade \u00f6demeleriyle destekliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"ABD\u2019de t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131 2026\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131na girerken h\u0131z kesiyor. Enflasyondan ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f (reel) harcama, Kas\u0131m ve Aral\u0131k\u2019ta ayl\u0131k %0,1 (aydan aya) ortalama art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi; Ocak\u2019ta da %0,1 y\u00fckseldi. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, 1. \u00e7eyrek i\u00e7in zay\u0131f bir ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 zemini olu\u015fturuyor.\n\n\u015eubat verilerinin yaln\u0131zca s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir toparlanma g\u00f6stermesi bekleniyor. \u00d6nc\u00fc bir tahmin, enflasyondan ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f kontrol grubu perakende sat\u0131\u015flarda ayl\u0131k %0,2 art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret ediyor. (Kontrol grubu: oynak kalemleri d\u0131\u015flayan ve t\u00fcketim hesab\u0131na daha yak\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fclen perakende sat\u0131\u015f alt grubu.) Chicago Fed ise otomobil hari\u00e7 reel perakende sat\u0131\u015flarda %0,1 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.\n\n\u00c7eyreklik t\u00fcketim art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n 1. \u00e7eyrekte, bir \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyrekteki %2,0\u2019den %1,8\u2019e (\u00e7eyrekten \u00e7eyre\u011fe y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f) yava\u015flamas\u0131 bekleniyor. (Y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f: \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n y\u0131l geneline \u00e7evrilmi\u015f g\u00f6sterimi.) Y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda harcamalar\u0131n 1. \u00e7eyrekte %2,4 artaca\u011f\u0131, vergi iadesi \u00f6demelerinin ise y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131na k\u0131yasla 2. \u00e7eyrekte daha fazla destek sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.\n\nRiskler i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 ve fiyatlar cephesinde art\u0131yor. Ocak\u2019taki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc verilerin ard\u0131ndan \u015eubat\u2019ta i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc ko\u015fullar\u0131 daha zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcrken, \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6stergeler Mart istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n 0\u201350 bin band\u0131nda kalabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. (\u00d6nc\u00fc g\u00f6sterge: gelecekteki e\u011filimi erken sinyal veren veri.)\n\nPetrol ve akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n g\u00fcven \u00fczerindeki etkisi ve Mart-Nisan d\u00f6neminde enflasyonun s\u00fcrmesi, reel gelirleri (sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc) a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir. Vergi iadesi takvimi ve hisse piyasas\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler de haneler aras\u0131nda harcama farklar\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fctebilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ABD\u2019de t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131nda fren: Reel art\u0131\u015f %0,1\u2019e s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131, 1\u00c7 t\u00fcketim b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi %2,0\u2019den %1,8\u2019e inebilir. \u0130stihdam zay\u0131fl\u0131yor; petrol, enflasyon ve borsa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc riskleri b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30729","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30729","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30729"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30729\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30729"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30729"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30729"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}