{"id":30700,"date":"2026-03-19T08:09:33","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T08:09:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/gbp-usd-avrupa-erken-saatlerinde-13290a-dogru-yukseliyor-orta-dogu-gerilimleri-ve-sahin-fed-kazanclari-sinirliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-19T08:09:33","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T08:09:33","slug":"gbp-usd-avrupa-erken-saatlerinde-13290a-dogru-yukseliyor-orta-dogu-gerilimleri-ve-sahin-fed-kazanclari-sinirliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gbp-usd-avrupa-erken-saatlerinde-13290a-dogru-yukseliyor-orta-dogu-gerilimleri-ve-sahin-fed-kazanclari-sinirliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD, Avrupa erken saatlerinde 1,3290\u2019a do\u011fru y\u00fckseliyor; Orta Do\u011fu gerilimleri ve \u015fahin Fed kazan\u00e7lar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD, per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3290 seviyesine hafif y\u00fckseldi. Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda \u0130ngiltere istihdam raporu ve \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) faiz karar\u0131 var. Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi ve ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi (daha de\u011ferli hale gelmesi) y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.\n\nOrta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma, WTI ham petrol\u00fc varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolara yakla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131. Bu durum, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na y\u00f6nelmesini destekledi. G\u00fcvenli liman, belirsizlik art\u0131nca daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck riskli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131klara talebin y\u00fckselmesi demektir. Bloomberg\u2019e g\u00f6re \u0130ran ve \u0130srail, kritik enerji tesislerine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar d\u00fczenledi. Bu geli\u015fme, \u0130ran Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (IRGC) G\u00fcney Pars do\u011falgaz sahas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik bir sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan K\u00f6rfez\u2019deki baz\u0131 enerji sahalar\u0131n\u0131n \u201cme\u015fru hedef\u201d olaca\u011f\u0131 uyar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 takip etti.\n\n<h3>Sterlin \u0130\u00e7in Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\nGBP\/USD, \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,7 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; 1,3300 seviyesinin alt\u0131na inerek ocak sonundaki yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3870 zirvesinden ba\u015flayan geri \u00e7ekilmeyi (k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc) s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Parite \u015fu anda \u00f6nemli g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda. Hareketli ortalama, fiyat\u0131n belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131 boyunca ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 alarak trendi daha net g\u00f6steren bir g\u00f6stergedir. Son fiyat hareketi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nFed, faizi %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tuttu ve 2026 i\u00e7in bir faiz indirimi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc korudu. \u00d6te yandan 2026 \u201c\u00e7ekirdek enflasyon\u201d tahmini %2,5\u2019ten %2,7\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi. \u00c7ekirdek enflasyon, oynak kalemler (genellikle enerji ve g\u0131da) \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131larak hesaplanan enflasyondur. ABD\u2019de man\u015fet \u00dcFE (\u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi) ayl\u0131k bazda %0,7 artt\u0131; piyasa beklentisi %0,3\u2019t\u00fc. \u00dcFE, \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fimi \u00f6l\u00e7er ve maliyet bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir.\n\nGBP\/JPY \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,20 geriledi ve g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 212,73\u2019\u00fc g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 211,82\u2019de i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Daha \u00f6nce 215,00 seviyesini test etmi\u015f, 207,00\u2019ye yak\u0131n b\u00f6lgeye gerilemi\u015fti. Parite 210,00\u2013214,00 band\u0131nda yatay seyrediyor. 50 ve 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019lar\u0131n (Basit Hareketli Ortalama: belirli g\u00fcnlerin kapan\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n basit ortalamas\u0131) \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rken RSI 50\u2019nin \u00fczerinde. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi), momentum g\u00f6stergesidir; 50\u2019nin \u00fcst\u00fc genelde al\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funa i\u015faret eder.\n\nSterlinin 1,3290 \u00e7evresinde k\u0131r\u0131lgan konumu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, yak\u0131n vadede \u0259sas g\u00fcndem BoE karar\u0131 olmal\u0131. Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi petrol\u00fc 100 dolara iterken, Fed\u2019in \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faizleri y\u00fcksek tutmaya e\u011filimli) duru\u015fu Sterlin i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. Bu belirsizlik, GBP opsiyonlar\u0131nda \u201c\u00f6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u201d artmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir. \u00d6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131k, opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi gelecekteki fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131 beklentisidir.\n\n<h3>BoE \u00d6ncesi Oynakl\u0131k Stratejileri<\/h3>\nBoE a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde oynakl\u0131k sat\u0131n almak de\u011ferlendirilebilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc s\u00fcrpriz bir karar, fiyat\u0131 her iki y\u00f6ne de sert oynatabilir. Oynakl\u0131k sat\u0131n almak, \u201cfiyat\u0131n \u00e7ok hareket edece\u011fine\u201d pozisyon almakt\u0131r. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte stres d\u00f6nemlerinde, piyasa korku g\u00f6stergesi olarak bilinen VIX endeksi 2022\u2019de Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda 35\u2019in \u00fczerine s\u0131\u00e7ram\u0131\u015ft\u0131; bu da d\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131nda daha geni\u015f dalgalara yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. VIX, ABD hisse piyasas\u0131 oynakl\u0131k beklentisini \u00f6l\u00e7en bir endekstir ve genel risk alg\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in referans kabul edilir. Benzer bir ortam olu\u015furken, GBP\/USD\u2019de long straddle veya strangle gibi stratejiler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir. Straddle, ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131yla hem al\u0131m (call) hem sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu almakt\u0131r. Strangle ise al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 farkl\u0131 se\u00e7mektir; genelde daha ucuzdur ancak daha b\u00fcy\u00fck hareket ister.\n\nTemel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, Sterlinin dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda zay\u0131flamas\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Fed\u2019in 2026 i\u00e7in yaln\u0131zca tek faiz indirimi sinyali g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir mesaj. \u015eubat ay\u0131na ait son ABD \u201c\u00e7ekirdek PCE\u201d verisi enflasyonun %2,8\u2019de kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. \u00c7ekirdek PCE, Fed\u2019in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 enflasyon g\u00f6stergesidir ve fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 daha geni\u015f \u00f6l\u00e7er. Bu nedenle GBP\/USD\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisiyle sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu almak, son diplerin alt\u0131na olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon almak anlam\u0131na gelebilir. Put opsiyonu, belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 verir; fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazan\u0131r.\n\n\u0130ngiltere\u2019de Ulusal \u0130statistik Ofisi (ONS) verilerine g\u00f6re t\u00fcketici enflasyonu \u015fubatta %3,1\u2019de \u201cyap\u0131\u015fkan\u201d kald\u0131; yani d\u00fc\u015fmesi zorla\u015f\u0131yor. Bu durum BoE\u2019yi zor bir tercihle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya b\u0131rak\u0131yor. Bu tablo, Fed\u2019in kararl\u0131 duru\u015fuyla birle\u015fince dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi ihtimalini art\u0131r\u0131yor. GBP\/USD vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f yapmak veya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc opsiyon kombinasyonlar\u0131 (bearish spread: riski ve maliyeti s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in opsiyonlar\u0131 birlikte kullanma) politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131ndan (ABD daha s\u0131k\u0131, \u0130ngiltere daha gev\u015fek\/karars\u0131z) yararlanabilir.\n\nRiskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f (risk-off: yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klardan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p daha g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) Japon Yeni\u2019ni de destekliyor. Bu, teknik olarak olumlu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne ra\u011fmen GBP\/JPY \u00e7apraz\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor. 2022 Mart\u2019\u0131nda WTI fiyatlar\u0131 jeopolitik endi\u015felerle 130 dolara do\u011fru s\u0131\u00e7ram\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u015eimdi 100 dolara do\u011fru kal\u0131c\u0131 bir hareket, Yeni\u2019ye g\u00fcvenli liman giri\u015flerini art\u0131rabilir. \u00c7apraz parite, iki para biriminin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc bir para birimi olmadan birbirine kar\u015f\u0131 fiyat\u0131d\u0131r. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fma yat\u0131\u015fana kadar GBP\/JPY uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 korumak (hedge: risk azaltmak i\u00e7in ters y\u00f6nde i\u015flemle dengeleme) veya put opsiyonlar\u0131yla k\u0131sa y\u00f6nl\u00fc spek\u00fclatif pozisyon almak temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilir.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BoE karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi Sterlin\u2019de f\u0131rt\u0131na kap\u0131da: GBP\/USD 1,3290\u2019a tutunuyor. Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi petrol\u00fc 100$\u2019a ta\u015f\u0131rken, \u015fahin Fed ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor; oynakl\u0131k stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30700","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30700","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30700"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30700\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30700"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30700"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30700"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}